My very best wishes (talk | contribs) ←Replaced content with '---' Tag: Replaced |
My very best wishes (talk | contribs) No edit summary Tag: Disambiguation links added |
||
Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
Vysotsky |
|||
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eL3coVqNAgM], |
|||
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QyAYf5niVY], |
|||
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdT_JGn7iwE] |
|||
Russia: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
"Поддалась лихому подговору, |
|||
Отдалась разбойнику и вору, |
|||
Подожгла посады и хлеба, |
|||
Разорила древнее жилище, |
|||
И пошла поруганной и нищей, |
|||
И рабой последнего раба." |
|||
([[Maximilian Voloshin]] - [https://slova.org.ru/voloshin/svyatayarus/]) |
|||
Локоны вьются не зная оков, |
|||
Взгляд простодушный и ясный - |
|||
Словно явился из бездны веков |
|||
Лик Синдереллы прекрасной. |
|||
Но в ожиданье устало плечо, |
|||
И появился избранник - |
|||
Жутин-Малютин, качок-стукачок, |
|||
Сам же и вор, и охранник. |
|||
Так-то свешилось веленье Судьбы, |
|||
Русской судьбины кромешной, |
|||
И красоту простодушной рабы |
|||
Обнял Кощей-кагебешник. |
|||
“Что же?” - сказала она через год - |
|||
“Сбылось мое назначенье. |
|||
Пусть же детишки мои - мой народ |
|||
Радуют папку-Кощея!” |
|||
2016 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
Oh, my... I wrote this in 2016 because of a very different story. But could it be about A.K.? Yes, absolutely. |
|||
--- |
--- |
||
[https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/11-osypalis-listya1914-razdolina-z.mp3 Tsvetaeva], [https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/20-uzh-skolko-ih-upalo-v-jetu-bezdnu1913minkov-m-pugachyova-a.mp3] |
|||
[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b1%d1%80%d0%be%d0%b4%d1%81%d0%ba%d0%b8%d0%b9-2/ Brodsky] |
|||
[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b5%d1%81%d0%b5%d0%bd%d0%b8%d0%bd/ Yesenin],[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b5%d1%81%d0%b5%d0%bd%d0%b8%d0%bd/] |
|||
--- |
|||
[https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/09-noch1916-novoselceva-l.mp3], [https://cloud.mail.ru/public/4Fy6/mDgpB7eQq Tsvetaeva] |
|||
[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/7TV1/etpaNpfum Mandelshtam] |
|||
[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/6D6g/aYs2ws7H7 Akhmatova],[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/BjFV/ns5WjV3yn] |
|||
--- |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Сгинет Трамп без Твиттера, |
|||
Сдохнет без Фэйсбука. |
|||
Закопали Гитлера, |
|||
Осрамился, сука! |
|||
Деньги в Дойче-банке |
|||
Он отмыть не сможет. |
|||
Впрочем, есть "[[VK (service)|В Конакте]]” - |
|||
ФСБ поможет. |
|||
1/13/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/26/politics/marjorie-taylor-greene-democrats-violence/index.html] - Her election show that her voters think more or less the same, just as people who voted for Trump this year. And speaking about one of the claims, |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Кто же, кто же Qanon? |
|||
Ну конечно Путин! |
|||
Отравитель-чемпион, |
|||
Педофил-Распутин. |
|||
1/28/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/01/putin-blames-poland-world-war-ii/604426/] (link by VM) - Yes, exactly. And of course [[Smolensk air disaster|Putin also killed Polish President]], just as many others. But I see a problem: this is not just Putin. This is the entire current Russian top establishment, people who lead this [[Mafia state]]. If Putin dies tomorrow (some tell he is sick), very little will change in the country. He will be replaced by someone else from the same FSB. That's why [[Alexander Radishchev]] invoked the image of "The Beast with a hundred of heads" aka [[Leviathan (2014 film)|Leviathan]]. These guys will not give up their power because they do not want to end up as Muammar Gaddafi and Nicolae Ceaușescu. Right now they will do as Lukashenko. But if needed, they will do as Bashar al-Assad. That's why Putin helped Assad. Syria was a training ground, just in case. So, here my perception of this, in style of [[bylina]]: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Жил да был Навальный |
|||
В стороне провальной, |
|||
Патриот нормальный, |
|||
Диссидент опальный. |
|||
В той стране заборы, |
|||
Звери прокуроры, |
|||
Сроки-приговоры, |
|||
Жулики, да воры. |
|||
Но решил Алеша: |
|||
"Я людей не брошу". |
|||
В логово Дракона |
|||
Запустил он дрона. |
|||
Да и сам к Дракону |
|||
Он пришел и сдался: |
|||
Посреди Омона |
|||
Он один остался. |
|||
Стражники Дракона |
|||
Всю его дружину - |
|||
Им ведь нет закона - |
|||
В землю уложили. |
|||
На Руси великой |
|||
Так уж испокону: |
|||
У Кремлевской клики |
|||
Сто голов Дракона. |
|||
2/17/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*So, I am really surprised he did it. Here is proper analogy. A mafia boss orders killing of a witness. By a miracle that witness survived, but then gives up voluntarily. The henchmen s xoxotom sakatavaet glupogo "loxa" v asfalt. Did not he read Shalamov? Gessen [https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/why-alexey-navalny-returned-to-russia] completely misses the point. "Prison versus exile"? No, Navalny ''is'' already convicted to death (when someone ordered to poison him), just as Viktor Suvorov was convicted. This is returning back only to be executed: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Но сердце, как бы ты хотело, |
|||
чтоб это вправду было так: |
|||
Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела |
|||
и весь в черемухе овраг. |
|||
(by [[Vladimir Nabokov]], [https://www.culture.ru/poems/21785/rasstrel Shooting down]) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
Now, that poem by Nabokov reminds me something |
|||
:("Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела" -> "Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека") |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека |
|||
Бессмысленный и тусклый свет. |
|||
Живи еще хоть четверть века — |
|||
Всё будет так. Исхода нет. |
|||
Умрешь — начнешь опять сначала |
|||
И повторится всё, как встарь: |
|||
Ночь, ледяная рябь канала, |
|||
Аптека, улица, фонарь. |
|||
(by [[Alexander Blok]]) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
:''That'' is real understanding of Russian history. Besides, the poem by Nabokov is a pure imagination, nothing ''real''. Actually, the eternal goal of Arts is to ''become'' [[reality]] ("make me real" asks David in [[A.I. Artificial Intelligence]], but he is already real): |
|||
<poem> |
|||
О, я хочу безумно жить: |
|||
Всё сущее — увековечить, |
|||
Безличное — вочеловечить, |
|||
Несбывшееся — воплотить! |
|||
[[Alexander Blok]] |
|||
Когда строку диктует чувство, |
|||
Оно на сцену шлет раба, |
|||
И тут кончается искусство, |
|||
И дышат почва и судьба. |
|||
[[Boris Pasternak]] |
|||
:So, speaking about something ''real'', that would be [[Osip Mandelstam]] : |
|||
Петербург, у меня еще есть адреса, |
|||
По которым найду мертвецов голоса.[https://www.culture.ru/poems/41608/leningrad] |
|||
(1930) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
:Is not he talking about himself and a lot of other people in ''real life'', including [[Galina Starovoytova]], [[Yuri Shchekochikhin]], [[Anna Politkovskaya]], [[Alexander Litvinenko]], [[Boris Nemtsov]], and to be continued? |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Отдать всего себя народу? |
|||
А хочет ли того народ? |
|||
Раб проклянет твою свободу. |
|||
Народ сажает огород. |
|||
4/19/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
[https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/08/politics/president-joe-biden-white-house-dogs/index.html]: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Как же так что даже этот умный дог |
|||
Выжить не смог в коридорах высшей власти? |
|||
Ведь четыре года здесь громко лаял бульдог, |
|||
Только был он не черной, а рыжей масти. |
|||
3/10/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
[https://www.svoboda.org/a/31164126.html] - |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Интервью взяла у мерзкого маньяка. |
|||
Он садист, но может не нарочно? |
|||
Много ведь таких в стране, однако. |
|||
Вот и Крестный - он такой же точно: |
|||
Заточил страну свою в подвале, |
|||
И ее насиловал лет двадцать, |
|||
Убивал и мучил, кат кровавый, |
|||
Но велел гарантом называться. |
|||
И бедняжке не видать свободы, |
|||
Потому что все привыкли жить в подвале, |
|||
И его силовики-уроды |
|||
Злому гному когти целовали. |
|||
3/26/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/15/opinions/russia-sanctions-biden-ghitis/index.html New "tough" sanctions] - not only they are laughable, but Putin will attack Ukraine. Frankly, since "Russia" (Putin) stored nuclear weapons in Crimea, NATO should store them (and a lot more, under appropriate guard) in Ukraine. But how do I know that Putin is going attack? For exactly same reasons he attacked Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014. That was hardly anything beneficial for his [[Mafia state]] or bank accounts, although waging small wars does help such regimes to stabilize. But he is driven by the ideology of [[Great Russian chauvinism]] and believes that his historical mission is to restore the Soviet Union aka [[Moscow, third Rome]]. There is also another reason, and it is exactly the same as one that fuels the desire by communist China to conquer Taiwan: the country is a living proof that people of the same (or very similar) culture can build a better democratic society. Hence the hatred: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Нашей Крысе еще помолитесь, |
|||
Или кровью своей умоетесь. |
|||
Мы дадим снайперам демократию. |
|||
Брянский волк и Гулаг вам, братия! |
|||
(that was the meaning of Facebook postings I saw in 2014) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2021/06/02/us-and-allies-nato-flyover-putin-robertson-pkg-ebof-vpx.cnn US and allies fly over NATO countries in message to Putin]. And Putin (or perhaps Patrushev) is also sending messages to you guys. But there is one big difference. Such flights by NATO is only a performance, nothing more. Every message from Putin (i.e. every new [[supply chain attack]] on another US company [https://www.npr.org/2020/12/15/946776718/u-s-scrambles-to-understand-major-computer-hack-but-says-little]) is an act of war [https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/03/tech/ransomware-cyberattack-jbs-colonial-pipeline/index.html]. The US and European sanctions are laughable, and they always will be laughable [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJ_j0bcZir8] because, as one of Bolsheviks said, "The capitalists will sell us a rope to hang them". Not only all computer and other technology used to attack the "West" came from the West, but the US and Europe will continue to appease the Kremlin because they are afraid to damage their own financial interests. Or at least that is what people in the Kremlin think. |
|||
Now, thinking about Belarus and Russia, I think here is the present and the future: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_ZO1uImfWk video] and [https://echo.msk.ru/blog/orlov_orlusha/1769074-echo/ text]. This is a parody to [[Vladimir Mayakovsky]], but not really a parody; this is history repeats itself. And BTW, the [[Mikhail Yefremov (actor)|actor]] who was reading this "parody" is already in prison. Of course. |
|||
*[https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/u-s-recovers-millions-pipeline-ransom-because-hackers-mistake-n1269889] - I think all cryptocurrency must be simply forbidden, just as [[counterfeit money]]. That is solution. Do as China [https://www.reuters.com/technology/chinese-financial-payment-bodies-barred-cryptocurrency-business-2021-05-18/]. |
|||
*[https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/truth-embargo-ufos-are-suddenly-all-talk-washington-n1270560?utm_source=pocket-newtab] - Oh yes, it is entirely possible that Earth was always controlled by aliens, but we simply do not know about it. See [[Hard to Be a God]]. But it was actually a case of technologically relatively close and biologically identical civilizations. Consider something along the lines of [[Lymphater's Formula]]. It is more likely that the technologically inferior civilization is simply obsolete and kept from a purely research or a humanistic perspective, or perhaps as a factory of consciences (that last and rather selfish idea came from religions, "Веди меня, поэзия, туда..." on my user page). ''To myself I am only a child playing on the beach, while vast oceans of truth lie undiscovered before me'' ([[Isaac Newton]]) |
|||
*[https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/14/us-officials-russia-links-china-putin-biden-jinping-494314] - "the relationship between China and Russia ... seems to be transforming into something more sustained and strategic". Oh yes, Russia is gradually becoming not just a partner, but a part of China. ''Every battle is won before it’s ever fought.'' ([[Sun Tzu]]) |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/16/europe/vladimir-putin-met-joe-biden-and-got-what-he-wanted-intl-cmd/index.html] - Oh yes, Putin won. Knowing what is happening in Russia ([https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bj-iuWFwU10 an excellent explanation indeed]), no doubts that the "hybrid war" will resume. So, looking at the interview by Putin after the meeting, here is what I wrote on another [poisoning] occasion a couple of years ago: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Он, убийца, не кается, |
|||
Испускает вранье. |
|||
На вранье откликается |
|||
Всей Земли воронье. |
|||
Убивает, куражится, |
|||
Губит души людей. |
|||
Мало всем не покажется: |
|||
Ведь бессмертен Злодей. |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/18/politics/republicans-trump-january-6-whitewashing/index.html] - oh yes, the Republican Party works as the [[Ministry of Truth]] to whitewash their [[Big Brother]]. Which brings [https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-57517781 this] - ''“Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.”'' ([[George Orwell]]). This is just as in Russia. No wonder because a significant part of population is so scientifically illiterate (or perhaps indoctrinated) that they refuse to take vaccine. |
|||
*''If one party is at war with another, and the other party does not realize it is at war, the party who knows it’s at war almost always has the advantage and wins the war.'' ([[Sun Tzu]]) That is the rationale behind the [[hybrid war]] by Russia against their neighbors and the West in general, including [https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/11/politics/colonial-pipeline-cyber-hearing-senate-homeland-security-committee/index.html cyber attacks] and maybe even microwave weapons [https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelpeck/2021/03/02/the-pentagon-fears-that-deadly-microwave-weapons-are-undetectable/?sh=1672c13fcc3f]. Actually, this is classic GRU strategy in the beginning of WWIII described by [[Victor Suvorov]] in his 1987 non-fiction: [http://militera.lib.ru/research/suvorov6/15.html]. But wait a minute... Among the predicted [[active measures]] of the future, Suvorov wrote in 1987 that ''In the United States an epidemic of some unidentified disease breaks out and spreads rapidly''. |
|||
*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/15/kremlin-papers-appear-to-show-putins-plot-to-put-trump-in-white-house Putin’s plot to put Trump in White House] - that was plainly obvious several years ago. And this is not over. Not at all [https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/15/opinions/mccarthy-and-gop-know-just-whats-coming-from-trump-zelizer/index.html]. The entire [[Republican Party (United States)|GOP]] does it right now. "Bipartisanship"? Get real. End the filibuster and let the people vote. This is the only choice. |
|||
*After looking at a variety of sources, such as [https://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-58071592],[https://novayagazeta.ru/articles/2021/08/25/narkota-uriuk-shafran-vot-i-vse], [https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/16/politics/afghanistan-joe-biden-donald-trump-kabul-politics/index.html],[https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/16/opinions/afghanistan-collapse-abandonment-jason-amerine/index.html],[https://www.newsweek.com/how-much-did-war-afghanistan-cost-1619687],[https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-58245121],[https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-58270423],[https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/investigations/afghanistan-papers/afghanistan-war-confidential-documents/], [https://www.vox.com/world/22634008/us-troops-afghanistan-cold-war-bush-bin-laden], it seems the best USA could do was to make a some kind of political settlement with Pashtuns and other tribes and leave the country (at least militarily) in 2001, soon after toppling the Taliban. |
|||
[https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-china-watcher/2021/08/19/us-commitment-to-taiwan-faces-scrutiny-after-afghanistans-fall-494029 U.S. commitment to everyone is under scrutiny]. - Oh yes, USA will betray everyone. That is something you can count on. Some say this is a competence, not a commitment problem. Sure, no one can rely on competence of US government after everything that had happen, and not only in Afghanistan, but in Iraq, Syria (the betrayal of Kurds), and historically speaking, also [[Yalta betrayal]]. |
|||
In the style of [[chastushka]] or [[bylina]]: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Разгулялся, расплясался Талибан, |
|||
Захватил, заполонил Афганистан. |
|||
А в России Талибан уже давно - |
|||
Как чекистское, гебистское говно. |
|||
8/26/2021 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56720589 The invasion of Ukraine]. So, why did Putin really wanted to talk with Biden? Along with a propaganda stunt, that was an intelligence operation. Biden said that NATO will not be militarily involved. Yes, that is exactly what Putin wanted to hear. Now he is free to invade (he could not care less about any sanctions of course). But NATO could easily prevent the invasion, simply by deploying its aviation, drones and some other high technology. During first hours of the invasion the entire aviation and most of the Ukrainian Army will be destroyed by Russian aviation and rockets. Then, this is going to be just a massacre. That might be prevented by NATO quickly deploying their aviation and other forces. |
|||
*[https://time.com/6137966/russia-military-missiles-ukraine/] - long time ago I could not believe the Ukrainian leaders were so stupid or corrupted [[Nuclear weapons and Ukraine|they gave up their nuclear weapons]]. Same [[Taiwan_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction|here]]. Will USA protect anyone? Of course not. |
|||
*[https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-its-disappointed-by-us-signals-before-geneva-talks-2022-01-09/] - I think the idea that [[Lubyanka Criminal Group|the gang from Lubyanka]] can be deterred by sanctions is openly idiotic. Based on the positions of Russian forces (if they are going to attack; one can not be 100% certain), they will strike from the East, North and South to meet in the middle and take over Kiev, "the mother of all Russian cities". |
|||
*No doubts, Putin (or the group of people behind him) ''will'' attack Ukraine, possibly with a coup d'etat in Belorussia in the process. He is 100% predictable. All they were doing since 2000 was murder and aggression, and specifically in Ukraine, starting from installing Yanukovich. I hope that Zelenskiy is mobilizing his military forces, but he probably does not. This is going to be a Blitzkrieg: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
По выжженной равнине - |
|||
За метром метр - |
|||
Идут по Украине |
|||
Солдаты группы "Центр". |
|||
([[Vladimir Vysotsky]]) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/26/focused-russian-attack-on-ukraine-seen-as-more-likely-than-full-scale-invasion] -> So, they are probably going to attack just before February 23, the official [[Defender of the Fatherland Day|Day of Soviet Army]]. The objective is obviously a destruction of Ukraininan Army and statehood and transforming it to a wasteland similar to DNR, LNR, Transnistria and Abkhazia. They are probably going to attack from all sides, even possibly from Brest to Lviv. Russian pundits say this will happen on 22/02/2022 because these rats believe in numerology. |
|||
*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/agenty-i-obekty-omerziteljnaya-gadina-gosudarstva-chekistov/31506942.html],[https://www.svoboda.org/a/putinizm-kak-vysshaya-stadiya-chekizma/31617405.html] [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SpQB5h4Fz8], "От Красного террора к мафиозному государству: спецслужбы России в борьбе за мировое господство" (''From Red Terror to Mafia State: Russia's Secret Services in the Struggle for World Domination''.), [https://books.google.com/books/about/From_Red_Terror_to_Mafia_State.html?id=536MzgEACAAJ] - so, according to [[Felshtinsky]], Putin, after taking over Belorussia and Ukraina, will take Moldova, but then will not be able to stop and will try to take over Baltic States. Hence WWIII. But I am not so sure because everyone suppose to be clever after knowing the history. Would Hitler attack Poland if he knew the future? Well, according to historians, this is simply due to the intrinsically aggressive nature of such regimes. When the entire population was mobilized and brainwashed about the Enemy, Great Leader simply must attack that Enemy. In other words, Putin ''needs'' NATO, he needs the "enemy at the gates" to keep his power and mobilize the population. But then, he will have to attack NATO per Felshinsky. As noted by [[Victor Suvorov]], at the beginning of WWII, Hitler attacked Poland, thus removing the last neural state separating Nazi Germany from the USSR, which made the collision of Nazi Germany and USSR inevitable. Now, Putin is doing the same by attacking Ukraine and making his anschluss of Belorussia, last countries separating Russia from NATO. But there is a huge difference. Britain and France did declare war on Germany when it attacked Poland. And the reason for the difference is obvious: nuclear weapons. Would not Hitler be invincible if he had nuclear weapons? That is what Putin's strategists have realized and even openly proclaimed. That is why they are returning the old world order, with no rules, including even the option of waging a "limited nuclear war" [https://www.britannica.com/topic/limited-nuclear-options] against NATO or whoever. |
|||
*[https://www.ft.com/content/cb42163b-b3e3-4ace-817e-ce909fd72ad1] - "The Ukraine crisis “will be a historic opportunity for us to solve the Taiwan problem” - that does sound like WWIII. Would not North Korea use the opportunity? |
|||
*[https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Talk:2021%E2%80%932022_Russo-Ukrainian_crisis&diff=prev&oldid=1071068589] - Well, may be not so strange, because according to some historians, the Imperial Russia was successor of the [[Golden Horde]], so it now attacks the Kievan Rus' once again. |
|||
*But in the end, this is all muss murder, and for no reason: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Зачем Убийце Украина? |
|||
Затем что он садист, злодей. |
|||
Он ей сказал: "Терпи, дивчина!" |
|||
И разбомбил ее детей. |
|||
02/12/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/11/politics/biden-administration-russia-intelligence/index.html] - Yes! Please disclose ''everything'', guys. I think the USA administration made a HUGE mistake by not disclosing [[Russian_apartment_bombings#Sealing_information_by_the_US_government|this]] in due time. |
|||
*[[Ivan the Terrible and His Son Ivan|that painting by Repin]] looks like an illustration to the Russian attack on Ukraine. Another one was recent (around 2014) work by a Ukrainian painter who depicted every person in a room, even a dog, as having the face of Putin. |
|||
Ожидание войны (in the style of requiem) |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Сегодня плакала природа |
|||
О всех убитых снайперами, |
|||
О всех избитых мусорами, |
|||
О всех казненных Путлерами. |
|||
В Кремле собрались три урода. |
|||
Они гундят, не уставая, |
|||
Любимцы страшного народа, |
|||
Потомки зверя-Субудая. |
|||
Зачем идет Орда на Киев? |
|||
Никто того понять не может. |
|||
Зачем решил Пахан России, |
|||
Что сотни тысяч жизней сложит? |
|||
Затем, что миру он докажет |
|||
Что нет ни чести, ни закона, |
|||
И кровью пролитой измажет |
|||
Подножье дьявольского трона. |
|||
02/17/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*Here is what [[Robert Burns]] said about it (translation to Russian): |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Покойник был дурак и так любил чины, |
|||
Что требует в аду короны Сатаны. |
|||
— Нет, — молвил Сатана. — Ты зол, и даже слишком, |
|||
Но надо ж обладать каким-нибудь умишком! |
|||
In the original: |
|||
When Mr. Putin deceased, to the devil went down, |
|||
That was nothing to serve him but Satan's own crown. |
|||
Thy fool's head, quoth Satan, that crown shall wear never, |
|||
I grant you are wicked, but not quite so clever. |
|||
</poem> |
|||
::Some Russian/Soviet rulers of the past were worse than Putin, but no one quite as stupid. But perhaps that was his historical significance: to bring his Empire of Evil down. |
|||
[https://graniru.org/opinion/portnikov/m.284623.html Bombing the kids] was not surprising. This is something they always did. Read ''The Oath: A Surgeon Under Fire'' by [[Khassan Baiev]]. Their first or second target in every small Chechen town was hospital. That's why he performed surgery in basements. What they do with Kharkiv is the same as they did with [[Battle of Grozny (1999–2000)|Grozny]]. Same in Afghanistan. It does not matter for them who they kill. |
|||
:For the same reason, one should not be surprised if they use chemical weapons [https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/03/one-more-thing-to-worry-about-putin-may-be-paving-the-way-to-use-chemical-weapons-in-ukraine/], just as thermobaric weapons, etc. That is if they think using the mass terror will help them to win the war. It will not. Quite the opposite. The problem though that taking over the Ukraine is not necessarily their main objective. The destruction of Ukraine and Ukrainian people is. They are just creating wastelands everywhere, and that is their goal. Consider Afghanistan (it was a very different country prior to the USSR-led political experiments and the invasion), Syria, Abkhazia (this is really a wasteland compare to what it was), DNR/LNR, Transnistria, and now the entire Ukraine. This is just like cancer. This is either a surgery or the patient is dead. |
|||
*[https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-11-22/index.html] - "Biden emphatic that the US will not "fight World War 3" in Ukraine" - Oh man, you are fighting it already. Speaking in words of Soviet classics about Ukrainians now, that would be [[Alexander Tvardovsky]]: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Переправа, переправа! |
|||
Пушки бьют в кромешной мгле. |
|||
Бой идет святой и правый. |
|||
Смертный бой не ради славы, |
|||
Ради жизни на земле. |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZJHeXGKs2Oc] - an incredible interview with Muratov. He provides a completely convincing explantion why exactly Putin decided to attack Ukraine. |
|||
*But still there is a question. What made it happen? [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I1z0h5CsTY This]? |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Я не хочу в России умирать. |
|||
Дай волю мне - я б в ней и не рождался: |
|||
Я б случая удобного дождался, |
|||
Чтоб совести своей не замарать... |
|||
([[Yuri Heifetz]]) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Пора уже прикончить Пахана |
|||
Заточкой в бок, или подсыпать яда. |
|||
А то ведь будет всей стране хана, |
|||
А может пепел ядерного ада. |
|||
03/12/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
Speaking about other Soviet classics, here is it (by [[Gennadiy Shpalikov]]), one word replaced: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Ничего, что НАТО в Польше, - |
|||
Но сильна страна: |
|||
Через месяц - и не больше - |
|||
Кончится война. |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNTPyAsMmxs],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OzMUrc-LQPw],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adX_o_I8Q20],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMyb_1W6kUw],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_87yd00R8tI],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHV-aZzxtY4] |
|||
*[https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-liberates-border-town-russia/31778438.html],[https://www.rferl.org/a/people-torn-to-pieces-kyiv-irpin/31781850.html], |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTLak4XPrn8] |
|||
*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3446694-in-chilling-call-to-wife-russian-soldier-boasts-of-children-safari-in-mariupol-audio-intercept.html] - welcome to the "Russian world". |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9MNuMJNIS64],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=en-ga97tk0A] |
|||
*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3447522-they-even-stole-womens-panties-how-russian-fascists-were-fleeing-kyiv-suburbs.html] |
|||
*This is all extremely depressing: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Я не буду ни есть, ни петь. |
|||
Я не буду ни жить, ни спать. |
|||
Мне на вечном огне гореть, |
|||
Мне в холодой земле лежать. |
|||
... |
|||
4/3/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-support-ukraine-war-polls-putin/31791423.html (video)] - Russian citizens explain why they think that massacre in Bucha was "fake" |
|||
*So, according to FSB sources of [[Vladimir Osechkin]], FSB is working to organize large-scale terrorism acts by "Ukrainian saboteurs" at the Russian territory to justify a wider mobilization to Army and improve the "military spirit" in the country. Yes, that sounds likely. |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LB8R-9kJbSA] and above - I never expected such brutality. What a shame. |
|||
*[https://gordonua.com/bulvar/news/serga-ob-unichtozhennom-krejsere-moskva-matrosy-ssutsja-tolpoj-begut-v-vorota-raja-a-bog-im-chetko-otvechaet-chto-na-h-j-eto-ne-ko-mne-1604609.html] - a poem about sinking Cruiser Moscow. Not bad, although I would put it a little differently: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Скажи-ка, uncle, ведь недаром |
|||
"Москва", спаленная пожаром, |
|||
Нептуну отдана? |
|||
Конечно, nephew, то не даром: |
|||
Сгубили всех одним ударом, |
|||
И вот Wall Street опять нам платит гонорары. |
|||
5/9/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*So, on the subject of "Rashism": [https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-repressive-aggressive-not-fascist/31794918.html],[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-putins-russia-embraced-fascism-while-preaching-anti-fascism/],[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/is-putin-s-russia-fascist/],[https://theconversation.com/putins-fascists-the-russian-states-long-history-of-cultivating-homegrown-neo-nazis-178535], [http://www.intelros.ru/intelros/reiting/reyting_09/material_sofiy/8625-rusizm-tretya-volna.html] |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpOoh0trx5g] |
|||
*So, when and how this war will end? According to [[Felshtinskiy]], what we see is a typical beginning of a new World War to continue for as long as the aggressor would be completely defeated, just as Nazi Germany was defeated in the WWII. But can this be just a partial defeat? Meaning only a complete eviction of Russian forces from the Ukrainian territory? If that happens, Russia may be similar to Germany after WWI, i.e. an angry country looking for revenge during next war (WWII). Not a good ending. |
|||
:But it seems that Putin is going to declare a mobilization and make an endless war with Ukraine. These newly mobilized forces will be poorly prepared and serve as cannon fodder. Such course of action might result in a downfall of the regime, but not necessarily. For example, Nazi regime in Germany was stable until very end. |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Кто ж он, народный смиритель? |
|||
Темен, и зол, и свиреп: |
|||
Инок у входа в обитель |
|||
Видел его – и ослеп. |
|||
Он к неизведанным безднам |
|||
Гонит людей, как стада... |
|||
Посохом гонит железным... |
|||
– Боже! Бежим от Суда! |
|||
([[Alexander Blok]], 1903) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://gordonua.com/publications/volonter-iz-buchi-spasshiy-sotni-semey-poka-umirayushchaya-mat-istekala-krovyu-russkie-podonki-nasilovali-na-ee-glazah-15-letnyuyu-doch-1606466.html#photo Volunteer] |
|||
*I can't forget Soviet songs, but after reading about all these atrocities (and more), these songs distort themselves in my mind: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
И сотни тысяч блатарей |
|||
За деньги наших главарей, |
|||
За Вову Путлера - |
|||
Огонь, огонь! |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3485689-russia-wants-to-protract-war-reznikov.html] - yes, time is the essence. I am really surprised that USA did not provide [[F-18]] staffed by volunteers. There is the [[International Legion of Territorial Defense of Ukraine]]. Some of them could be pilots. Why not? |
|||
*[https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3483799-prepare-for-the-disappearance-of-russia/] - yes, I think the disintegration of Russia is a lot more probable scenario than a transformation to a democratic country (and it will be just as good as disintegration of the USSR). This is only a small probability of course. The longer the war the more probable that will be. There are many different scenario, for example: (a) NATO will be eventually directly involved to the war (that is what Felshtinskiy predicted as a probable development), or (b) Russia is coming as a looser of Crimea from the war with Ukraine but remains a subject of international sanctions after refusing to cooperate with prosecuting its war crimes. |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Я уехал потому |
|||
Что была та не моя страна. |
|||
А теперь уже и не пойму |
|||
А зачем она вообще нужна. |
|||
05/18/2022 |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3495298-russia-has-lost-its-own-future-zelensky.html] - Zelensky: "Russia has lost its future". Yes, that is what I also thought on February 24 (Putin stole the future from the entire generations of Russians). But this is probably incorrect because Russia never had any chance for a good future at the first place. |
|||
*[https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/05/20/belarus-s-400-iskander-missiles-russia/] - oh, my ... Belarus just "bought" Iskanders from Russia. This is a scenario predicted by Felshtinskiy [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o4TbBZSb3n0], i.e. nuclear strike by Russia, but in such way to make Belarus responsible. If that happens, they will strike Ukraine. That's why they are making such advance defensive preparations against the possible future attack from the Ukrainian side [https://www.yahoo.com/video/belarus-mines-roads-bridges-near-164900733.html]? |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yx7uponkWZ8 Interview with Felstinsky] - Well explained! And he might be right that NATO will be forced to intervene directly at some point. One can foresee only two scenario: (a) Russia will start winning (NATO can not allow this), or (b) Ukraine will start winning (then Putin will do something, like engagement of Belarus to the war, occupation of Moldova, gradual mobilization of the entire Russian population, nuclear blackmail, and finally, nuclear war). There is no other options. This conflict must have a winner. Freezing the conflict (e.g. "Minsk-3") would be a huge win for Russia and a great opportunity to prepare for the next strike, after which very same conflict will resume. |
|||
:[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=josWZVUoB8U] - this is even better! So, he says [https://www.svoboda.org/a/predelov-agressii-putina-net-novaya-kniga-yuriya-feljshtinskogo/31893422.html]: "Я думаю, что сценарий у Путина в голове совсем другой. После того, как все увидят, на какие разрушения способна российская армия, после того, как все увидят, что российской армии абсолютно все равно, сколько она теряет при этом своих людей, после того, как все увидят, что Россия готова нажать ядерную кнопку, все наконец сдадутся, а вот если не сдадутся, то тогда придется нажать ядерную кнопку." I am thinking about [https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-e&q=amazon+dosimeter]. |
|||
:Also this (that is what Western analysts failed to understand): – "Украина не может победить в этой войне без прямого вмешательства НАТО. Вообще война, которая ведется на чужой территории, не может быть в каком-то плане проиграна Путиным. Потому что, поскольку ему все равно, сколько людей, в том числе россиян, гибнет в этой войне. Обычно любое нормальное государство исчисляет победу и поражение с точки зрения гибели людей, а для Путина этого фактора нет, поэтому ему все равно, сколько народу гибнет, а разрушения все производятся на территории Украины. Поэтому с точки зрения российского обывателя, пока все идет нормально. Он вообще последствий этой войны не чувствует, ее не видит." Yes, conducting the war of annihilation ''at the territory of another state'' is already a win in the view of Putin, even ''if'' his forces will be pushed back, because his purpose is destruction of the Ukrainian identity and state, and that is what he will continue doing at all costs. Poor Zelensky. He counts killed Russian soldiers [https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3505523-russia-may-lose-40000-troops-in-ukraine-in-june-zelensky.html]. That number matters very little in modern-day Russia. It can be 10 times larger, Putin does not care. |
|||
*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/voyna-i-rashizm-mark-lipovetskiy-ob-ideologii-putinskogo-rezhima/31890195.html] |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Когда настал конец всему - |
|||
пожар окрестных рощ, |
|||
весь горизонт увяз в дыму, |
|||
а мы варили борщ. |
|||
Мы шум снимали поскорей, |
|||
мы жгли последний газ - |
|||
покуда залпы батарей |
|||
нащупывали нас. |
|||
Я встал и подошел к окну, |
|||
где взрывы чуть моргни, |
|||
где нам кровавую луну |
|||
развесили они. |
|||
Уже вертелись, как юла, |
|||
покойники в гробу, |
|||
и кто-то, вскинув два крыла, |
|||
уже трубил в трубу. |
|||
Оскал обрушенной стены, |
|||
предсмертный визг котов, |
|||
и оклик мне из-за спины: |
|||
"садимся, борщ готов!" |
|||
Мы ляжем вскорости костьми, |
|||
но борщ не пропущу. |
|||
Не пропадать же, черт возьми, |
|||
хорошему борщу! |
|||
(by [[Alexei Tsvetkov (poet)|Alexei Tsvetkov]]) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
:Yes, the image of ''this'' war will certainly be houses destroyed by shelling together with people who lived there and who remained to be buried in ruins: |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Среди расстрелянных домов |
|||
Во сне душа моя летает. |
|||
Ей этот мир уже не нов, |
|||
Здесь только души обитают. |
|||
Им нет покоя, нет конца, |
|||
Они в краю родном летают, |
|||
И лишь убийцу-подлеца |
|||
Пролятьем вечным проклинают. |
|||
Здесь пылью сыплют этажи, |
|||
И запах пороха и тленья, |
|||
Моя душа от слез дрожит: |
|||
Здесь беспредельно преступленье. |
|||
(Could not finish it, April 2022) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
Another war (WWII): |
|||
:"“До свидания, мальчики” Окуджавы никак не вяжутся с тем, что сейчас происходит в Украине."([[Alexander Genis]]). Oh yes. But it was not propaganda. And remember, Okudzhava had a premonition of the current war: [http://www.cogita.ru/a.n.-alekseev/publikacii-a.n.alekseeva/rebyata-nas-vnov-obmanuli-opyat-ne-tuda-zaveli-bulat-okudzhava], rephrase: "А может, надо пораженье, Чтоб не стошнило от побед?" |
|||
<poem> |
|||
Девчонка парикмахершей работала, |
|||
Девчонку изнасиловала рота: |
|||
ей в рот портянки потные совали, |
|||
ласкали непечатными словами, |
|||
(by [[Nikolai Panchenko]], obviously, an "insider" of the WWII) |
|||
</poem> |
|||
*[https://kyivindependent.com/national/hundreds-of-murdered-civilians-discovered-as-russians-withdraw-from-towns-near-kyiv-graphic-images] - No words. |
|||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJ8oxgrQDsI] - (in the end of record) Felshtinsky: "Russian State Security was preparing for this war 100 years. This is their last war. They want to go down in history by starting a nuclear war." He suggested that transfer of nuclear weapons to Belarus should be the last moment for NATO to militarily interfere. Otherwise, it might be too late, he said. I doubt though that Putin will use nuclear weapons. He is not that crazy. He attacked Ukraine only because he believed in a quick success, just as many Western analysts. Rather, he will use a wider mobilization of Russian, Belorussian and other resources, and he can continue this war, in particular air strikes, to infinity. I also doubt that Putin will loose his power if Ukrainian forces de-occupy Kherson or even the entire Ukrainian territory. But one can not be sure of course. A lot of people thought that Hitler was not that crazy. |
|||
*I am thinking about the meeting of Putin with Xi Jinping just before the invasion. What it reminds me? Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. As described by Victor Suvorov, Stalin used Hitler as an "[[Icebreaker (Suvorov)|Icebreaker]]" to attack Europe and to appear himself as a "liberator" of the Europe from Nazi. So perhaps Xi Jinping is now using Putin as an "Icebreaker" to attack Europe? Sure thing, after the defeat of Russia, it will be much easier for China to take over Siberia (a part of which they already almost own). What a trap. |
|||
--- |
|||
[https://www.tcdb.org/search/index.php?query=viroporin&type=family Viroporins, TCDB] |
|||
*[https://www.tcdb.org/superfamily.php], |
|||
*[https://www.cmu.edu/biolphys/deserno/pdf/membrane_theory.pdf eq. (12)] - [https://lipid.phys.cmu.edu/papers16/2017CPLmoduli.pdf], [https://pure.mpg.de/rest/items/item_596033/component/file_596032/content] |
|||
----- |
|||
[https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-51310036],[https://www.google.com/books/edition/Misunderstanding_Cults/pJ9Nmc25xNAC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=Bruderhof+abuse&pg=PA438&printsec=frontcover],[https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Courts_and_the_Colonies/Beo3cNJ4NokC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=Bruderhof+abuse&pg=PA24&printsec=frontcover] |
|||
----- |
|||
[https://informnapalm.org/671-kakoj-samolet-sobyralys-sbyt-terrorysty/],[https://espreso.tv/article/2018/07/29/devid_satter_ta_dzherri_skinner],[https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-europe/2018/08/08/addressing-aeroflot-mh17-conspiracy-theory/] |
|||
*[https://www.theguardian.com/books/2018/mar/15/further-reading-books-that-expose-the-secret-world-of-spies] |
|||
--- |
|||
[http://militera.lib.ru/memo/russian/chinese_sky/text.html], |
Revision as of 02:25, 12 August 2022
Russia:
"Поддалась лихому подговору,
Отдалась разбойнику и вору,
Подожгла посады и хлеба,
Разорила древнее жилище,
И пошла поруганной и нищей,
И рабой последнего раба."
(Maximilian Voloshin - [1])
Локоны вьются не зная оков,
Взгляд простодушный и ясный -
Словно явился из бездны веков
Лик Синдереллы прекрасной.
Но в ожиданье устало плечо,
И появился избранник -
Жутин-Малютин, качок-стукачок,
Сам же и вор, и охранник.
Так-то свешилось веленье Судьбы,
Русской судьбины кромешной,
И красоту простодушной рабы
Обнял Кощей-кагебешник.
“Что же?” - сказала она через год -
“Сбылось мое назначенье.
Пусть же детишки мои - мой народ
Радуют папку-Кощея!”
2016
Oh, my... I wrote this in 2016 because of a very different story. But could it be about A.K.? Yes, absolutely.
---
[8], Tsvetaeva Mandelshtam Akhmatova,[9] ---
Сгинет Трамп без Твиттера,
Сдохнет без Фэйсбука.
Закопали Гитлера,
Осрамился, сука!
Деньги в Дойче-банке
Он отмыть не сможет.
Впрочем, есть "В Конакте” -
ФСБ поможет.
1/13/2021
- [10] - Her election show that her voters think more or less the same, just as people who voted for Trump this year. And speaking about one of the claims,
Кто же, кто же Qanon?
Ну конечно Путин!
Отравитель-чемпион,
Педофил-Распутин.
1/28/2021
- [11] (link by VM) - Yes, exactly. And of course Putin also killed Polish President, just as many others. But I see a problem: this is not just Putin. This is the entire current Russian top establishment, people who lead this Mafia state. If Putin dies tomorrow (some tell he is sick), very little will change in the country. He will be replaced by someone else from the same FSB. That's why Alexander Radishchev invoked the image of "The Beast with a hundred of heads" aka Leviathan. These guys will not give up their power because they do not want to end up as Muammar Gaddafi and Nicolae Ceaușescu. Right now they will do as Lukashenko. But if needed, they will do as Bashar al-Assad. That's why Putin helped Assad. Syria was a training ground, just in case. So, here my perception of this, in style of bylina:
Жил да был Навальный
В стороне провальной,
Патриот нормальный,
Диссидент опальный.
В той стране заборы,
Звери прокуроры,
Сроки-приговоры,
Жулики, да воры.
Но решил Алеша:
"Я людей не брошу".
В логово Дракона
Запустил он дрона.
Да и сам к Дракону
Он пришел и сдался:
Посреди Омона
Он один остался.
Стражники Дракона
Всю его дружину -
Им ведь нет закона -
В землю уложили.
На Руси великой
Так уж испокону:
У Кремлевской клики
Сто голов Дракона.
2/17/2021
- So, I am really surprised he did it. Here is proper analogy. A mafia boss orders killing of a witness. By a miracle that witness survived, but then gives up voluntarily. The henchmen s xoxotom sakatavaet glupogo "loxa" v asfalt. Did not he read Shalamov? Gessen [12] completely misses the point. "Prison versus exile"? No, Navalny is already convicted to death (when someone ordered to poison him), just as Viktor Suvorov was convicted. This is returning back only to be executed:
Но сердце, как бы ты хотело,
чтоб это вправду было так:
Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела
и весь в черемухе овраг.
(by Vladimir Nabokov, Shooting down)
Now, that poem by Nabokov reminds me something
- ("Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела" -> "Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека")
Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека
Бессмысленный и тусклый свет.
Живи еще хоть четверть века —
Всё будет так. Исхода нет.
Умрешь — начнешь опять сначала
И повторится всё, как встарь:
Ночь, ледяная рябь канала,
Аптека, улица, фонарь.
(by Alexander Blok)
- That is real understanding of Russian history. Besides, the poem by Nabokov is a pure imagination, nothing real. Actually, the eternal goal of Arts is to become reality ("make me real" asks David in A.I. Artificial Intelligence, but he is already real):
О, я хочу безумно жить:
Всё сущее — увековечить,
Безличное — вочеловечить,
Несбывшееся — воплотить!
Alexander Blok
Когда строку диктует чувство,
Оно на сцену шлет раба,
И тут кончается искусство,
И дышат почва и судьба.
Boris Pasternak
So, speaking about something real, that would be Osip Mandelstam :
Петербург, у меня еще есть адреса,
По которым найду мертвецов голоса.[2]
(1930)
- Is not he talking about himself and a lot of other people in real life, including Galina Starovoytova, Yuri Shchekochikhin, Anna Politkovskaya, Alexander Litvinenko, Boris Nemtsov, and to be continued?
Отдать всего себя народу?
А хочет ли того народ?
Раб проклянет твою свободу.
Народ сажает огород.
4/19/2021
[13]:
Как же так что даже этот умный дог
Выжить не смог в коридорах высшей власти?
Ведь четыре года здесь громко лаял бульдог,
Только был он не черной, а рыжей масти.
3/10/2021
[14] -
Интервью взяла у мерзкого маньяка.
Он садист, но может не нарочно?
Много ведь таких в стране, однако.
Вот и Крестный - он такой же точно:
Заточил страну свою в подвале,
И ее насиловал лет двадцать,
Убивал и мучил, кат кровавый,
Но велел гарантом называться.
И бедняжке не видать свободы,
Потому что все привыкли жить в подвале,
И его силовики-уроды
Злому гному когти целовали.
3/26/2021
- New "tough" sanctions - not only they are laughable, but Putin will attack Ukraine. Frankly, since "Russia" (Putin) stored nuclear weapons in Crimea, NATO should store them (and a lot more, under appropriate guard) in Ukraine. But how do I know that Putin is going attack? For exactly same reasons he attacked Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014. That was hardly anything beneficial for his Mafia state or bank accounts, although waging small wars does help such regimes to stabilize. But he is driven by the ideology of Great Russian chauvinism and believes that his historical mission is to restore the Soviet Union aka Moscow, third Rome. There is also another reason, and it is exactly the same as one that fuels the desire by communist China to conquer Taiwan: the country is a living proof that people of the same (or very similar) culture can build a better democratic society. Hence the hatred:
Нашей Крысе еще помолитесь,
Или кровью своей умоетесь.
Мы дадим снайперам демократию.
Брянский волк и Гулаг вам, братия!
(that was the meaning of Facebook postings I saw in 2014)
- US and allies fly over NATO countries in message to Putin. And Putin (or perhaps Patrushev) is also sending messages to you guys. But there is one big difference. Such flights by NATO is only a performance, nothing more. Every message from Putin (i.e. every new supply chain attack on another US company [15]) is an act of war [16]. The US and European sanctions are laughable, and they always will be laughable [17] because, as one of Bolsheviks said, "The capitalists will sell us a rope to hang them". Not only all computer and other technology used to attack the "West" came from the West, but the US and Europe will continue to appease the Kremlin because they are afraid to damage their own financial interests. Or at least that is what people in the Kremlin think.
Now, thinking about Belarus and Russia, I think here is the present and the future: video and text. This is a parody to Vladimir Mayakovsky, but not really a parody; this is history repeats itself. And BTW, the actor who was reading this "parody" is already in prison. Of course.
- [18] - I think all cryptocurrency must be simply forbidden, just as counterfeit money. That is solution. Do as China [19].
- [20] - Oh yes, it is entirely possible that Earth was always controlled by aliens, but we simply do not know about it. See Hard to Be a God. But it was actually a case of technologically relatively close and biologically identical civilizations. Consider something along the lines of Lymphater's Formula. It is more likely that the technologically inferior civilization is simply obsolete and kept from a purely research or a humanistic perspective, or perhaps as a factory of consciences (that last and rather selfish idea came from religions, "Веди меня, поэзия, туда..." on my user page). To myself I am only a child playing on the beach, while vast oceans of truth lie undiscovered before me (Isaac Newton)
- [21] - "the relationship between China and Russia ... seems to be transforming into something more sustained and strategic". Oh yes, Russia is gradually becoming not just a partner, but a part of China. Every battle is won before it’s ever fought. (Sun Tzu)
- [22] - Oh yes, Putin won. Knowing what is happening in Russia (an excellent explanation indeed), no doubts that the "hybrid war" will resume. So, looking at the interview by Putin after the meeting, here is what I wrote on another [poisoning] occasion a couple of years ago:
Он, убийца, не кается,
Испускает вранье.
На вранье откликается
Всей Земли воронье.
Убивает, куражится,
Губит души людей.
Мало всем не покажется:
Ведь бессмертен Злодей.
- [23] - oh yes, the Republican Party works as the Ministry of Truth to whitewash their Big Brother. Which brings this - “Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.” (George Orwell). This is just as in Russia. No wonder because a significant part of population is so scientifically illiterate (or perhaps indoctrinated) that they refuse to take vaccine.
- If one party is at war with another, and the other party does not realize it is at war, the party who knows it’s at war almost always has the advantage and wins the war. (Sun Tzu) That is the rationale behind the hybrid war by Russia against their neighbors and the West in general, including cyber attacks and maybe even microwave weapons [24]. Actually, this is classic GRU strategy in the beginning of WWIII described by Victor Suvorov in his 1987 non-fiction: [25]. But wait a minute... Among the predicted active measures of the future, Suvorov wrote in 1987 that In the United States an epidemic of some unidentified disease breaks out and spreads rapidly.
- Putin’s plot to put Trump in White House - that was plainly obvious several years ago. And this is not over. Not at all [26]. The entire GOP does it right now. "Bipartisanship"? Get real. End the filibuster and let the people vote. This is the only choice.
- After looking at a variety of sources, such as [27],[28], [29],[30],[31],[32],[33],[34], [35], it seems the best USA could do was to make a some kind of political settlement with Pashtuns and other tribes and leave the country (at least militarily) in 2001, soon after toppling the Taliban.
U.S. commitment to everyone is under scrutiny. - Oh yes, USA will betray everyone. That is something you can count on. Some say this is a competence, not a commitment problem. Sure, no one can rely on competence of US government after everything that had happen, and not only in Afghanistan, but in Iraq, Syria (the betrayal of Kurds), and historically speaking, also Yalta betrayal.
In the style of chastushka or bylina:
Разгулялся, расплясался Талибан,
Захватил, заполонил Афганистан.
А в России Талибан уже давно -
Как чекистское, гебистское говно.
8/26/2021
- The invasion of Ukraine. So, why did Putin really wanted to talk with Biden? Along with a propaganda stunt, that was an intelligence operation. Biden said that NATO will not be militarily involved. Yes, that is exactly what Putin wanted to hear. Now he is free to invade (he could not care less about any sanctions of course). But NATO could easily prevent the invasion, simply by deploying its aviation, drones and some other high technology. During first hours of the invasion the entire aviation and most of the Ukrainian Army will be destroyed by Russian aviation and rockets. Then, this is going to be just a massacre. That might be prevented by NATO quickly deploying their aviation and other forces.
- [36] - long time ago I could not believe the Ukrainian leaders were so stupid or corrupted they gave up their nuclear weapons. Same here. Will USA protect anyone? Of course not.
- [37] - I think the idea that the gang from Lubyanka can be deterred by sanctions is openly idiotic. Based on the positions of Russian forces (if they are going to attack; one can not be 100% certain), they will strike from the East, North and South to meet in the middle and take over Kiev, "the mother of all Russian cities".
- No doubts, Putin (or the group of people behind him) will attack Ukraine, possibly with a coup d'etat in Belorussia in the process. He is 100% predictable. All they were doing since 2000 was murder and aggression, and specifically in Ukraine, starting from installing Yanukovich. I hope that Zelenskiy is mobilizing his military forces, but he probably does not. This is going to be a Blitzkrieg:
По выжженной равнине -
За метром метр -
Идут по Украине
Солдаты группы "Центр".
(Vladimir Vysotsky)
- [38] -> So, they are probably going to attack just before February 23, the official Day of Soviet Army. The objective is obviously a destruction of Ukraininan Army and statehood and transforming it to a wasteland similar to DNR, LNR, Transnistria and Abkhazia. They are probably going to attack from all sides, even possibly from Brest to Lviv. Russian pundits say this will happen on 22/02/2022 because these rats believe in numerology.
- [39],[40] [41], "От Красного террора к мафиозному государству: спецслужбы России в борьбе за мировое господство" (From Red Terror to Mafia State: Russia's Secret Services in the Struggle for World Domination.), [42] - so, according to Felshtinsky, Putin, after taking over Belorussia and Ukraina, will take Moldova, but then will not be able to stop and will try to take over Baltic States. Hence WWIII. But I am not so sure because everyone suppose to be clever after knowing the history. Would Hitler attack Poland if he knew the future? Well, according to historians, this is simply due to the intrinsically aggressive nature of such regimes. When the entire population was mobilized and brainwashed about the Enemy, Great Leader simply must attack that Enemy. In other words, Putin needs NATO, he needs the "enemy at the gates" to keep his power and mobilize the population. But then, he will have to attack NATO per Felshinsky. As noted by Victor Suvorov, at the beginning of WWII, Hitler attacked Poland, thus removing the last neural state separating Nazi Germany from the USSR, which made the collision of Nazi Germany and USSR inevitable. Now, Putin is doing the same by attacking Ukraine and making his anschluss of Belorussia, last countries separating Russia from NATO. But there is a huge difference. Britain and France did declare war on Germany when it attacked Poland. And the reason for the difference is obvious: nuclear weapons. Would not Hitler be invincible if he had nuclear weapons? That is what Putin's strategists have realized and even openly proclaimed. That is why they are returning the old world order, with no rules, including even the option of waging a "limited nuclear war" [43] against NATO or whoever.
- [44] - "The Ukraine crisis “will be a historic opportunity for us to solve the Taiwan problem” - that does sound like WWIII. Would not North Korea use the opportunity?
- [45] - Well, may be not so strange, because according to some historians, the Imperial Russia was successor of the Golden Horde, so it now attacks the Kievan Rus' once again.
- But in the end, this is all muss murder, and for no reason:
Зачем Убийце Украина?
Затем что он садист, злодей.
Он ей сказал: "Терпи, дивчина!"
И разбомбил ее детей.
02/12/2022
- [46] - Yes! Please disclose everything, guys. I think the USA administration made a HUGE mistake by not disclosing this in due time.
- that painting by Repin looks like an illustration to the Russian attack on Ukraine. Another one was recent (around 2014) work by a Ukrainian painter who depicted every person in a room, even a dog, as having the face of Putin.
Ожидание войны (in the style of requiem)
Сегодня плакала природа
О всех убитых снайперами,
О всех избитых мусорами,
О всех казненных Путлерами.
В Кремле собрались три урода.
Они гундят, не уставая,
Любимцы страшного народа,
Потомки зверя-Субудая.
Зачем идет Орда на Киев?
Никто того понять не может.
Зачем решил Пахан России,
Что сотни тысяч жизней сложит?
Затем, что миру он докажет
Что нет ни чести, ни закона,
И кровью пролитой измажет
Подножье дьявольского трона.
02/17/2022
- Here is what Robert Burns said about it (translation to Russian):
Покойник был дурак и так любил чины,
Что требует в аду короны Сатаны.
— Нет, — молвил Сатана. — Ты зол, и даже слишком,
Но надо ж обладать каким-нибудь умишком!
In the original:
When Mr. Putin deceased, to the devil went down,
That was nothing to serve him but Satan's own crown.
Thy fool's head, quoth Satan, that crown shall wear never,
I grant you are wicked, but not quite so clever.
- Some Russian/Soviet rulers of the past were worse than Putin, but no one quite as stupid. But perhaps that was his historical significance: to bring his Empire of Evil down.
Bombing the kids was not surprising. This is something they always did. Read The Oath: A Surgeon Under Fire by Khassan Baiev. Their first or second target in every small Chechen town was hospital. That's why he performed surgery in basements. What they do with Kharkiv is the same as they did with Grozny. Same in Afghanistan. It does not matter for them who they kill.
- For the same reason, one should not be surprised if they use chemical weapons [47], just as thermobaric weapons, etc. That is if they think using the mass terror will help them to win the war. It will not. Quite the opposite. The problem though that taking over the Ukraine is not necessarily their main objective. The destruction of Ukraine and Ukrainian people is. They are just creating wastelands everywhere, and that is their goal. Consider Afghanistan (it was a very different country prior to the USSR-led political experiments and the invasion), Syria, Abkhazia (this is really a wasteland compare to what it was), DNR/LNR, Transnistria, and now the entire Ukraine. This is just like cancer. This is either a surgery or the patient is dead.
- [48] - "Biden emphatic that the US will not "fight World War 3" in Ukraine" - Oh man, you are fighting it already. Speaking in words of Soviet classics about Ukrainians now, that would be Alexander Tvardovsky:
Переправа, переправа!
Пушки бьют в кромешной мгле.
Бой идет святой и правый.
Смертный бой не ради славы,
Ради жизни на земле.
- [49] - an incredible interview with Muratov. He provides a completely convincing explantion why exactly Putin decided to attack Ukraine.
- But still there is a question. What made it happen? This?
Я не хочу в России умирать.
Дай волю мне - я б в ней и не рождался:
Я б случая удобного дождался,
Чтоб совести своей не замарать...
(Yuri Heifetz)
Пора уже прикончить Пахана
Заточкой в бок, или подсыпать яда.
А то ведь будет всей стране хана,
А может пепел ядерного ада.
03/12/2022
Speaking about other Soviet classics, here is it (by Gennadiy Shpalikov), one word replaced:
Ничего, что НАТО в Польше, -
Но сильна страна:
Через месяц - и не больше -
Кончится война.
- [59] - welcome to the "Russian world".
- This is all extremely depressing:
Я не буду ни есть, ни петь.
Я не буду ни жить, ни спать.
Мне на вечном огне гореть,
Мне в холодой земле лежать.
...
4/3/2022
- (video) - Russian citizens explain why they think that massacre in Bucha was "fake"
- So, according to FSB sources of Vladimir Osechkin, FSB is working to organize large-scale terrorism acts by "Ukrainian saboteurs" at the Russian territory to justify a wider mobilization to Army and improve the "military spirit" in the country. Yes, that sounds likely.
- [63] and above - I never expected such brutality. What a shame.
- [64] - a poem about sinking Cruiser Moscow. Not bad, although I would put it a little differently:
Скажи-ка, uncle, ведь недаром
"Москва", спаленная пожаром,
Нептуну отдана?
Конечно, nephew, то не даром:
Сгубили всех одним ударом,
И вот Wall Street опять нам платит гонорары.
5/9/2022
- So, when and how this war will end? According to Felshtinskiy, what we see is a typical beginning of a new World War to continue for as long as the aggressor would be completely defeated, just as Nazi Germany was defeated in the WWII. But can this be just a partial defeat? Meaning only a complete eviction of Russian forces from the Ukrainian territory? If that happens, Russia may be similar to Germany after WWI, i.e. an angry country looking for revenge during next war (WWII). Not a good ending.
- But it seems that Putin is going to declare a mobilization and make an endless war with Ukraine. These newly mobilized forces will be poorly prepared and serve as cannon fodder. Such course of action might result in a downfall of the regime, but not necessarily. For example, Nazi regime in Germany was stable until very end.
Кто ж он, народный смиритель?
Темен, и зол, и свиреп:
Инок у входа в обитель
Видел его – и ослеп.
Он к неизведанным безднам
Гонит людей, как стада...
Посохом гонит железным...
– Боже! Бежим от Суда!
(Alexander Blok, 1903)
- I can't forget Soviet songs, but after reading about all these atrocities (and more), these songs distort themselves in my mind:
И сотни тысяч блатарей
За деньги наших главарей,
За Вову Путлера -
Огонь, огонь!
- [71] - yes, time is the essence. I am really surprised that USA did not provide F-18 staffed by volunteers. There is the International Legion of Territorial Defense of Ukraine. Some of them could be pilots. Why not?
- [72] - yes, I think the disintegration of Russia is a lot more probable scenario than a transformation to a democratic country (and it will be just as good as disintegration of the USSR). This is only a small probability of course. The longer the war the more probable that will be. There are many different scenario, for example: (a) NATO will be eventually directly involved to the war (that is what Felshtinskiy predicted as a probable development), or (b) Russia is coming as a looser of Crimea from the war with Ukraine but remains a subject of international sanctions after refusing to cooperate with prosecuting its war crimes.
Я уехал потому
Что была та не моя страна.
А теперь уже и не пойму
А зачем она вообще нужна.
05/18/2022
- [73] - Zelensky: "Russia has lost its future". Yes, that is what I also thought on February 24 (Putin stole the future from the entire generations of Russians). But this is probably incorrect because Russia never had any chance for a good future at the first place.
- [74] - oh, my ... Belarus just "bought" Iskanders from Russia. This is a scenario predicted by Felshtinskiy [75], i.e. nuclear strike by Russia, but in such way to make Belarus responsible. If that happens, they will strike Ukraine. That's why they are making such advance defensive preparations against the possible future attack from the Ukrainian side [76]?
- Interview with Felstinsky - Well explained! And he might be right that NATO will be forced to intervene directly at some point. One can foresee only two scenario: (a) Russia will start winning (NATO can not allow this), or (b) Ukraine will start winning (then Putin will do something, like engagement of Belarus to the war, occupation of Moldova, gradual mobilization of the entire Russian population, nuclear blackmail, and finally, nuclear war). There is no other options. This conflict must have a winner. Freezing the conflict (e.g. "Minsk-3") would be a huge win for Russia and a great opportunity to prepare for the next strike, after which very same conflict will resume.
- [77] - this is even better! So, he says [78]: "Я думаю, что сценарий у Путина в голове совсем другой. После того, как все увидят, на какие разрушения способна российская армия, после того, как все увидят, что российской армии абсолютно все равно, сколько она теряет при этом своих людей, после того, как все увидят, что Россия готова нажать ядерную кнопку, все наконец сдадутся, а вот если не сдадутся, то тогда придется нажать ядерную кнопку." I am thinking about [79].
- Also this (that is what Western analysts failed to understand): – "Украина не может победить в этой войне без прямого вмешательства НАТО. Вообще война, которая ведется на чужой территории, не может быть в каком-то плане проиграна Путиным. Потому что, поскольку ему все равно, сколько людей, в том числе россиян, гибнет в этой войне. Обычно любое нормальное государство исчисляет победу и поражение с точки зрения гибели людей, а для Путина этого фактора нет, поэтому ему все равно, сколько народу гибнет, а разрушения все производятся на территории Украины. Поэтому с точки зрения российского обывателя, пока все идет нормально. Он вообще последствий этой войны не чувствует, ее не видит." Yes, conducting the war of annihilation at the territory of another state is already a win in the view of Putin, even if his forces will be pushed back, because his purpose is destruction of the Ukrainian identity and state, and that is what he will continue doing at all costs. Poor Zelensky. He counts killed Russian soldiers [80]. That number matters very little in modern-day Russia. It can be 10 times larger, Putin does not care.
Когда настал конец всему -
пожар окрестных рощ,
весь горизонт увяз в дыму,
а мы варили борщ.
Мы шум снимали поскорей,
мы жгли последний газ -
покуда залпы батарей
нащупывали нас.
Я встал и подошел к окну,
где взрывы чуть моргни,
где нам кровавую луну
развесили они.
Уже вертелись, как юла,
покойники в гробу,
и кто-то, вскинув два крыла,
уже трубил в трубу.
Оскал обрушенной стены,
предсмертный визг котов,
и оклик мне из-за спины:
"садимся, борщ готов!"
Мы ляжем вскорости костьми,
но борщ не пропущу.
Не пропадать же, черт возьми,
хорошему борщу!
(by Alexei Tsvetkov)
- Yes, the image of this war will certainly be houses destroyed by shelling together with people who lived there and who remained to be buried in ruins:
Среди расстрелянных домов
Во сне душа моя летает.
Ей этот мир уже не нов,
Здесь только души обитают.
Им нет покоя, нет конца,
Они в краю родном летают,
И лишь убийцу-подлеца
Пролятьем вечным проклинают.
Здесь пылью сыплют этажи,
И запах пороха и тленья,
Моя душа от слез дрожит:
Здесь беспредельно преступленье.
(Could not finish it, April 2022)
Another war (WWII):
- "“До свидания, мальчики” Окуджавы никак не вяжутся с тем, что сейчас происходит в Украине."(Alexander Genis). Oh yes. But it was not propaganda. And remember, Okudzhava had a premonition of the current war: [82], rephrase: "А может, надо пораженье, Чтоб не стошнило от побед?"
Девчонка парикмахершей работала,
Девчонку изнасиловала рота:
ей в рот портянки потные совали,
ласкали непечатными словами,
(by Nikolai Panchenko, obviously, an "insider" of the WWII)
- [83] - No words.
- [84] - (in the end of record) Felshtinsky: "Russian State Security was preparing for this war 100 years. This is their last war. They want to go down in history by starting a nuclear war." He suggested that transfer of nuclear weapons to Belarus should be the last moment for NATO to militarily interfere. Otherwise, it might be too late, he said. I doubt though that Putin will use nuclear weapons. He is not that crazy. He attacked Ukraine only because he believed in a quick success, just as many Western analysts. Rather, he will use a wider mobilization of Russian, Belorussian and other resources, and he can continue this war, in particular air strikes, to infinity. I also doubt that Putin will loose his power if Ukrainian forces de-occupy Kherson or even the entire Ukrainian territory. But one can not be sure of course. A lot of people thought that Hitler was not that crazy.
- I am thinking about the meeting of Putin with Xi Jinping just before the invasion. What it reminds me? Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. As described by Victor Suvorov, Stalin used Hitler as an "Icebreaker" to attack Europe and to appear himself as a "liberator" of the Europe from Nazi. So perhaps Xi Jinping is now using Putin as an "Icebreaker" to attack Europe? Sure thing, after the defeat of Russia, it will be much easier for China to take over Siberia (a part of which they already almost own). What a trap.
---
- [85],
---
[95],