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Vysotsky |
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[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eL3coVqNAgM], |
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[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9QyAYf5niVY], |
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[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fdT_JGn7iwE] |
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Russia: |
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<poem> |
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"Поддалась лихому подговору, |
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Отдалась разбойнику и вору, |
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Подожгла посады и хлеба, |
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Разорила древнее жилище, |
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И пошла поруганной и нищей, |
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И рабой последнего раба." |
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([[Maximilian Voloshin]] - [https://slova.org.ru/voloshin/svyatayarus/]) |
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Локоны вьются не зная оков, |
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Взгляд простодушный и ясный - |
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Словно явился из бездны веков |
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Лик Синдереллы прекрасной. |
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Но в ожиданье устало плечо, |
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И появился избранник - |
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Жутин-Малютин, качок-стукачок, |
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Сам же и вор, и охранник. |
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Так-то свешилось веленье Судьбы, |
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Русской судьбины кромешной, |
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И красоту простодушной рабы |
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Обнял Кощей-кагебешник. |
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“Что же?” - сказала она через год - |
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“Сбылось мое назначенье. |
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Пусть же детишки мои - мой народ |
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Радуют папку-Кощея!” |
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2016 |
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</poem> |
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Oh, my... I wrote this in 2016 because of a very different story. But could it be about A.K.? Yes, absolutely. |
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--- |
--- |
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[https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/11-osypalis-listya1914-razdolina-z.mp3 Tsvetaeva], [https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/20-uzh-skolko-ih-upalo-v-jetu-bezdnu1913minkov-m-pugachyova-a.mp3] |
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[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b1%d1%80%d0%be%d0%b4%d1%81%d0%ba%d0%b8%d0%b9-2/ Brodsky] |
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[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b5%d1%81%d0%b5%d0%bd%d0%b8%d0%bd/ Yesenin],[https://gendelev52.wordpress.com/%d0%b5%d1%81%d0%b5%d0%bd%d0%b8%d0%bd/] |
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--- |
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[https://gendelev52.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/09-noch1916-novoselceva-l.mp3], [https://cloud.mail.ru/public/4Fy6/mDgpB7eQq Tsvetaeva] |
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[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/7TV1/etpaNpfum Mandelshtam] |
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[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/6D6g/aYs2ws7H7 Akhmatova],[https://cloud.mail.ru/public/BjFV/ns5WjV3yn] |
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--- |
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<poem> |
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Сгинет Трамп без Твиттера, |
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Сдохнет без Фэйсбука. |
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Закопали Гитлера, |
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Осрамился, сука! |
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Деньги в Дойче-банке |
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Он отмыть не сможет. |
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Впрочем, есть "[[VK (service)|В Конакте]]” - |
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ФСБ поможет. |
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1/13/2021 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/01/26/politics/marjorie-taylor-greene-democrats-violence/index.html] - Her election show that her voters think more or less the same, just as people who voted for Trump this year. And speaking about one of the claims, |
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<poem> |
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Кто же, кто же Qanon? |
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Ну конечно Путин! |
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Отравитель-чемпион, |
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Педофил-Распутин. |
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1/28/2021 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/01/putin-blames-poland-world-war-ii/604426/] (link by VM) - Yes, exactly. And of course [[Smolensk air disaster|Putin also killed Polish President]], just as many others. But I see a problem: this is not just Putin. This is the entire current Russian top establishment, people who lead this [[Mafia state]]. If Putin dies tomorrow (some tell he is sick), very little will change in the country. He will be replaced by someone else from the same FSB. That's why [[Alexander Radishchev]] invoked the image of "The Beast with a hundred of heads" aka [[Leviathan (2014 film)|Leviathan]]. These guys will not give up their power because they do not want to end up as Muammar Gaddafi and Nicolae Ceaușescu. Right now they will do as Lukashenko. But if needed, they will do as Bashar al-Assad. That's why Putin helped Assad. Syria was a training ground, just in case. So, here my perception of this, in style of [[bylina]]: |
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<poem> |
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Жил да был Навальный |
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В стороне провальной, |
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Патриот нормальный, |
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Диссидент опальный. |
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В той стране заборы, |
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Звери прокуроры, |
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Сроки-приговоры, |
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Жулики, да воры. |
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Но решил Алеша: |
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"Я людей не брошу". |
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В логово Дракона |
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Запустил он дрона. |
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Да и сам к Дракону |
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Он пришел и сдался: |
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Посреди Омона |
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Он один остался. |
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Стражники Дракона |
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Всю его дружину - |
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Им ведь нет закона - |
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В землю уложили. |
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На Руси великой |
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Так уж испокону: |
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У Кремлевской клики |
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Сто голов Дракона. |
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2/17/2021 |
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</poem> |
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*So, I am really surprised he did it. Here is proper analogy. A mafia boss orders killing of a witness. By a miracle that witness survived, but then gives up voluntarily. The henchmen s xoxotom sakatavaet glupogo "loxa" v asfalt. Did not he read Shalamov? Gessen [https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-columnists/why-alexey-navalny-returned-to-russia] completely misses the point. "Prison versus exile"? No, Navalny ''is'' already convicted to death (when someone ordered to poison him), just as Viktor Suvorov was convicted. This is returning back only to be executed: |
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<poem> |
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Но сердце, как бы ты хотело, |
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чтоб это вправду было так: |
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Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела |
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и весь в черемухе овраг. |
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(by [[Vladimir Nabokov]], [https://www.culture.ru/poems/21785/rasstrel Shooting down]) |
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</poem> |
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Now, that poem by Nabokov reminds me something |
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:("Россия, звёзды, ночь расстрела" -> "Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека") |
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<poem> |
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Ночь, улица, фонарь, аптека |
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Бессмысленный и тусклый свет. |
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Живи еще хоть четверть века — |
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Всё будет так. Исхода нет. |
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Умрешь — начнешь опять сначала |
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И повторится всё, как встарь: |
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Ночь, ледяная рябь канала, |
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Аптека, улица, фонарь. |
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(by [[Alexander Blok]]) |
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</poem> |
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:''That'' is real understanding of Russian history. Besides, the poem by Nabokov is a pure imagination, nothing ''real''. Actually, the eternal goal of Arts is to ''become'' [[reality]] ("make me real" asks David in [[A.I. Artificial Intelligence]], but he is already real): |
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<poem> |
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О, я хочу безумно жить: |
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Всё сущее — увековечить, |
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Безличное — вочеловечить, |
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Несбывшееся — воплотить! |
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[[Alexander Blok]] |
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Когда строку диктует чувство, |
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Оно на сцену шлет раба, |
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И тут кончается искусство, |
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И дышат почва и судьба. |
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[[Boris Pasternak]] |
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:So, speaking about something ''real'', that would be [[Osip Mandelstam]] : |
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Петербург, у меня еще есть адреса, |
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По которым найду мертвецов голоса.[https://www.culture.ru/poems/41608/leningrad] |
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(1930) |
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</poem> |
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:Is not he talking about himself and a lot of other people in ''real life'', including [[Galina Starovoytova]], [[Yuri Shchekochikhin]], [[Anna Politkovskaya]], [[Alexander Litvinenko]], [[Boris Nemtsov]], and to be continued? |
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<poem> |
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Отдать всего себя народу? |
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А хочет ли того народ? |
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Раб проклянет твою свободу. |
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Народ сажает огород. |
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4/19/2021 |
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</poem> |
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[https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/08/politics/president-joe-biden-white-house-dogs/index.html]: |
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<poem> |
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Как же так что даже этот умный дог |
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Выжить не смог в коридорах высшей власти? |
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Ведь четыре года здесь громко лаял бульдог, |
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Только был он не черной, а рыжей масти. |
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3/10/2021 |
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</poem> |
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[https://www.svoboda.org/a/31164126.html] - |
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<poem> |
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Интервью взяла у мерзкого маньяка. |
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Он садист, но может не нарочно? |
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Много ведь таких в стране, однако. |
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Вот и Крестный - он такой же точно: |
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Заточил страну свою в подвале, |
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И ее насиловал лет двадцать, |
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Убивал и мучил, кат кровавый, |
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Но велел гарантом называться. |
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И бедняжке не видать свободы, |
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Потому что все привыкли жить в подвале, |
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И его силовики-уроды |
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Злому гному когти целовали. |
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3/26/2021 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/15/opinions/russia-sanctions-biden-ghitis/index.html New "tough" sanctions] - not only they are laughable, but Putin will attack Ukraine. Frankly, since "Russia" (Putin) stored nuclear weapons in Crimea, NATO should store them (and a lot more, under appropriate guard) in Ukraine. But how do I know that Putin is going attack? For exactly same reasons he attacked Georgia in 2008 and Ukraine in 2014. That was hardly anything beneficial for his [[Mafia state]] or bank accounts, although waging small wars does help such regimes to stabilize. But he is driven by the ideology of [[Great Russian chauvinism]] and believes that his historical mission is to restore the Soviet Union aka [[Moscow, third Rome]]. There is also another reason, and it is exactly the same as one that fuels the desire by communist China to conquer Taiwan: the country is a living proof that people of the same (or very similar) culture can build a better democratic society. Hence the hatred: |
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<poem> |
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Нашей Крысе еще помолитесь, |
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Или кровью своей умоетесь. |
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Мы дадим снайперам демократию. |
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Брянский волк и Гулаг вам, братия! |
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(that was the meaning of Facebook postings I saw in 2014) |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2021/06/02/us-and-allies-nato-flyover-putin-robertson-pkg-ebof-vpx.cnn US and allies fly over NATO countries in message to Putin]. And Putin (or perhaps Patrushev) is also sending messages to you guys. But there is one big difference. Such flights by NATO is only a performance, nothing more. Every message from Putin (i.e. every new [[supply chain attack]] on another US company [https://www.npr.org/2020/12/15/946776718/u-s-scrambles-to-understand-major-computer-hack-but-says-little]) is an act of war [https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/03/tech/ransomware-cyberattack-jbs-colonial-pipeline/index.html]. The US and European sanctions are laughable, and they always will be laughable [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oJ_j0bcZir8] because, as one of Bolsheviks said, "The capitalists will sell us a rope to hang them". Not only all computer and other technology used to attack the "West" came from the West, but the US and Europe will continue to appease the Kremlin because they are afraid to damage their own financial interests. Or at least that is what people in the Kremlin think. |
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Now, thinking about Belarus and Russia, I think here is the present and the future: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_ZO1uImfWk video] and [https://echo.msk.ru/blog/orlov_orlusha/1769074-echo/ text]. This is a parody to [[Vladimir Mayakovsky]], but not really a parody; this is history repeats itself. And BTW, the [[Mikhail Yefremov (actor)|actor]] who was reading this "parody" is already in prison. Of course. |
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*[https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/security/u-s-recovers-millions-pipeline-ransom-because-hackers-mistake-n1269889] - I think all cryptocurrency must be simply forbidden, just as [[counterfeit money]]. That is solution. Do as China [https://www.reuters.com/technology/chinese-financial-payment-bodies-barred-cryptocurrency-business-2021-05-18/]. |
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*[https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/truth-embargo-ufos-are-suddenly-all-talk-washington-n1270560?utm_source=pocket-newtab] - Oh yes, it is entirely possible that Earth was always controlled by aliens, but we simply do not know about it. See [[Hard to Be a God]]. But it was actually a case of technologically relatively close and biologically identical civilizations. Consider something along the lines of [[Lymphater's Formula]]. It is more likely that the technologically inferior civilization is simply obsolete and kept from a purely research or a humanistic perspective, or perhaps as a factory of consciences (that last and rather selfish idea came from religions, "Веди меня, поэзия, туда..." on my user page). ''To myself I am only a child playing on the beach, while vast oceans of truth lie undiscovered before me'' ([[Isaac Newton]]) |
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*[https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/14/us-officials-russia-links-china-putin-biden-jinping-494314] - "the relationship between China and Russia ... seems to be transforming into something more sustained and strategic". Oh yes, Russia is gradually becoming not just a partner, but a part of China. ''Every battle is won before it’s ever fought.'' ([[Sun Tzu]]) |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/16/europe/vladimir-putin-met-joe-biden-and-got-what-he-wanted-intl-cmd/index.html] - Oh yes, Putin won. Knowing what is happening in Russia ([https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bj-iuWFwU10 an excellent explanation indeed]), no doubts that the "hybrid war" will resume. So, looking at the interview by Putin after the meeting, here is what I wrote on another [poisoning] occasion a couple of years ago: |
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<poem> |
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Он, убийца, не кается, |
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Испускает вранье. |
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На вранье откликается |
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Всей Земли воронье. |
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Убивает, куражится, |
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Губит души людей. |
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Мало всем не покажется: |
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Ведь бессмертен Злодей. |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/18/politics/republicans-trump-january-6-whitewashing/index.html] - oh yes, the Republican Party works as the [[Ministry of Truth]] to whitewash their [[Big Brother]]. Which brings [https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-57517781 this] - ''“Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.”'' ([[George Orwell]]). This is just as in Russia. No wonder because a significant part of population is so scientifically illiterate (or perhaps indoctrinated) that they refuse to take vaccine. |
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*''If one party is at war with another, and the other party does not realize it is at war, the party who knows it’s at war almost always has the advantage and wins the war.'' ([[Sun Tzu]]) That is the rationale behind the [[hybrid war]] by Russia against their neighbors and the West in general, including [https://www.cnn.com/2021/05/11/politics/colonial-pipeline-cyber-hearing-senate-homeland-security-committee/index.html cyber attacks] and maybe even microwave weapons [https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelpeck/2021/03/02/the-pentagon-fears-that-deadly-microwave-weapons-are-undetectable/?sh=1672c13fcc3f]. Actually, this is classic GRU strategy in the beginning of WWIII described by [[Victor Suvorov]] in his 1987 non-fiction: [http://militera.lib.ru/research/suvorov6/15.html]. But wait a minute... Among the predicted [[active measures]] of the future, Suvorov wrote in 1987 that ''In the United States an epidemic of some unidentified disease breaks out and spreads rapidly''. |
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*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/15/kremlin-papers-appear-to-show-putins-plot-to-put-trump-in-white-house Putin’s plot to put Trump in White House] - that was plainly obvious several years ago. And this is not over. Not at all [https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/15/opinions/mccarthy-and-gop-know-just-whats-coming-from-trump-zelizer/index.html]. The entire [[Republican Party (United States)|GOP]] does it right now. "Bipartisanship"? Get real. End the filibuster and let the people vote. This is the only choice. |
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*After looking at a variety of sources, such as [https://www.bbc.com/news/world-south-asia-58071592],[https://novayagazeta.ru/articles/2021/08/25/narkota-uriuk-shafran-vot-i-vse], [https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/16/politics/afghanistan-joe-biden-donald-trump-kabul-politics/index.html],[https://www.cnn.com/2021/08/16/opinions/afghanistan-collapse-abandonment-jason-amerine/index.html],[https://www.newsweek.com/how-much-did-war-afghanistan-cost-1619687],[https://www.bbc.com/news/technology-58245121],[https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-58270423],[https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2019/investigations/afghanistan-papers/afghanistan-war-confidential-documents/], [https://www.vox.com/world/22634008/us-troops-afghanistan-cold-war-bush-bin-laden], it seems the best USA could do was to make a some kind of political settlement with Pashtuns and other tribes and leave the country (at least militarily) in 2001, soon after toppling the Taliban. |
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[https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-china-watcher/2021/08/19/us-commitment-to-taiwan-faces-scrutiny-after-afghanistans-fall-494029 U.S. commitment to everyone is under scrutiny]. - Oh yes, USA will betray everyone. That is something you can count on. Some say this is a competence, not a commitment problem. Sure, no one can rely on competence of US government after everything that had happen, and not only in Afghanistan, but in Iraq, Syria (the betrayal of Kurds), and historically speaking, also [[Yalta betrayal]]. |
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In the style of [[chastushka]] or [[bylina]]: |
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<poem> |
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Разгулялся, расплясался Талибан, |
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Захватил, заполонил Афганистан. |
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А в России Талибан уже давно - |
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Как чекистское, гебистское говно. |
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8/26/2021 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-56720589 The invasion of Ukraine]. So, why did Putin really wanted to talk with Biden? Along with a propaganda stunt, that was an intelligence operation. Biden said that NATO will not be militarily involved. Yes, that is exactly what Putin wanted to hear. Now he is free to invade (he could not care less about any sanctions of course). But NATO could easily prevent the invasion, simply by deploying its aviation, drones and some other high technology. During first hours of the invasion the entire aviation and most of the Ukrainian Army will be destroyed by Russian aviation and rockets. Then, this is going to be just a massacre. That might be prevented by NATO quickly deploying their aviation and other forces. |
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*[https://time.com/6137966/russia-military-missiles-ukraine/] - long time ago I could not believe the Ukrainian leaders were so stupid or corrupted [[Nuclear weapons and Ukraine|they gave up their nuclear weapons]]. Same [[Taiwan_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction|here]]. Will USA protect anyone? Of course not. |
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*[https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-its-disappointed-by-us-signals-before-geneva-talks-2022-01-09/] - I think the idea that [[Lubyanka Criminal Group|the gang from Lubyanka]] can be deterred by sanctions is openly idiotic. Based on the positions of Russian forces (if they are going to attack; one can not be 100% certain), they will strike from the East, North and South to meet in the middle and take over Kiev, "the mother of all Russian cities". |
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*No doubts, Putin (or the group of people behind him) ''will'' attack Ukraine, possibly with a coup d'etat in Belorussia in the process. He is 100% predictable. All they were doing since 2000 was murder and aggression, and specifically in Ukraine, starting from installing Yanukovich. I hope that Zelenskiy is mobilizing his military forces, but he probably does not. This is going to be a Blitzkrieg: |
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<poem> |
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По выжженной равнине - |
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За метром метр - |
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Идут по Украине |
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Солдаты группы "Центр". |
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([[Vladimir Vysotsky]]) |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jan/26/focused-russian-attack-on-ukraine-seen-as-more-likely-than-full-scale-invasion] -> So, they are probably going to attack just before February 23, the official [[Defender of the Fatherland Day|Day of Soviet Army]]. The objective is obviously a destruction of Ukraininan Army and statehood and transforming it to a wasteland similar to DNR, LNR, Transnistria and Abkhazia. They are probably going to attack from all sides, even possibly from Brest to Lviv. Russian pundits say this will happen on 22/02/2022 because these rats believe in numerology. |
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*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/agenty-i-obekty-omerziteljnaya-gadina-gosudarstva-chekistov/31506942.html],[https://www.svoboda.org/a/putinizm-kak-vysshaya-stadiya-chekizma/31617405.html] [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7SpQB5h4Fz8], "От Красного террора к мафиозному государству: спецслужбы России в борьбе за мировое господство" (''From Red Terror to Mafia State: Russia's Secret Services in the Struggle for World Domination''.), [https://books.google.com/books/about/From_Red_Terror_to_Mafia_State.html?id=536MzgEACAAJ] - so, according to [[Felshtinsky]], Putin, after taking over Belorussia and Ukraina, will take Moldova, but then will not be able to stop and will try to take over Baltic States. Hence WWIII. But I am not so sure because everyone suppose to be clever after knowing the history. Would Hitler attack Poland if he knew the future? Well, according to historians, this is simply due to the intrinsically aggressive nature of such regimes. When the entire population was mobilized and brainwashed about the Enemy, Great Leader simply must attack that Enemy. In other words, Putin ''needs'' NATO, he needs the "enemy at the gates" to keep his power and mobilize the population. But then, he will have to attack NATO per Felshinsky. As noted by [[Victor Suvorov]], at the beginning of WWII, Hitler attacked Poland, thus removing the last neural state separating Nazi Germany from the USSR, which made the collision of Nazi Germany and USSR inevitable. Now, Putin is doing the same by attacking Ukraine and making his anschluss of Belorussia, last countries separating Russia from NATO. But there is a huge difference. Britain and France did declare war on Germany when it attacked Poland. And the reason for the difference is obvious: nuclear weapons. Would not Hitler be invincible if he had nuclear weapons? That is what Putin's strategists have realized and even openly proclaimed. That is why they are returning the old world order, with no rules, including even the option of waging a "limited nuclear war" [https://www.britannica.com/topic/limited-nuclear-options] against NATO or whoever. |
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*[https://www.ft.com/content/cb42163b-b3e3-4ace-817e-ce909fd72ad1] - "The Ukraine crisis “will be a historic opportunity for us to solve the Taiwan problem” - that does sound like WWIII. Would not North Korea use the opportunity? |
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*[https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Talk:2021%E2%80%932022_Russo-Ukrainian_crisis&diff=prev&oldid=1071068589] - Well, may be not so strange, because according to some historians, the Imperial Russia was successor of the [[Golden Horde]], so it now attacks the Kievan Rus' once again. |
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*But in the end, this is all muss murder, and for no reason: |
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<poem> |
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Зачем Убийце Украина? |
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Затем что он садист, злодей. |
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Он ей сказал: "Терпи, дивчина!" |
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И разбомбил ее детей. |
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02/12/2022 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/11/politics/biden-administration-russia-intelligence/index.html] - Yes! Please disclose ''everything'', guys. I think the USA administration made a HUGE mistake by not disclosing [[Russian_apartment_bombings#Sealing_information_by_the_US_government|this]] in due time. |
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*[[Ivan the Terrible and His Son Ivan|that painting by Repin]] looks like an illustration to the Russian attack on Ukraine. Another one was recent (around 2014) work by a Ukrainian painter who depicted every person in a room, even a dog, as having the face of Putin. |
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Ожидание войны (in the style of requiem) |
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<poem> |
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Сегодня плакала природа |
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О всех убитых снайперами, |
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О всех избитых мусорами, |
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О всех казненных Путлерами. |
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В Кремле собрались три урода. |
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Они гундят, не уставая, |
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Любимцы страшного народа, |
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Потомки зверя-Субудая. |
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Зачем идет Орда на Киев? |
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Никто того понять не может. |
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Зачем решил Пахан России, |
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Что сотни тысяч жизней сложит? |
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Затем, что миру он докажет |
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Что нет ни чести, ни закона, |
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И кровью пролитой измажет |
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Подножье дьявольского трона. |
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02/17/2022 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.usatoday.com/story/entertainment/celebrities/2022/03/01/sean-penn-actor-updates-while-filming-ukraine-russia-invasion/9328692002/] - Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Ukrainian people "have risen as historic symbols of courage and principle. Ukraine is the tip of the spear for the democratic embrace of dreams. If we allow it to fight alone, our soul as America is lost." ([[Sean Penn]]). - Yes! |
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{{Quotation2|Мы не простим. Мы не забудем. Мы накажем каждого, кто совершил зверства на этой войне. На нашей земле. Найдем каждую сволочь. Которая стреляла по нашим городам. По нашим людям. Которая бомбила нашу землю. Запускала ракеты. Которая приказывала и нажимала на "пуск". Вам не будет ни одного тихого места на этой земле. Кроме могилы", ([[Volodymyr Zelenskyy]]).}} |
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*[https://www.facebook.com/100002653071498/posts/4811633942268327/] - thank you, [[Dmitry Gordon]] and Evgeny Osechkin! That is why Putler will lose it. But the price will be way too high. |
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*[https://apa.az/en/america/us-secretary-of-state-says-establishment-of-no-fly-zone-in-ukraine-could-lead-to-full-fledged-war-in-europe-370162/] - yeh, but how about giving a lot of drones and fighter jets to Ukraine, Mr. Secretary? |
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*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/yadernyy-chemodanchik-u-bezumtsa-blogery-o-voyne-i-shantazhe/31726864.html] -> This is a little unexpected, but Putin is going to be defeated. His army will be mostly destroyed in Ukraine, and he (or his KGB-minded successors) will not be able to restore that army because of sanctions. But he knows that. Therefore, the most dangerous moment is now: he might decide that his only option is escalation using tactical nukes. According to book "Through the eyes of the enemy" by GRU defector [[Stanislav Lunev]], main target of the small nukes in the event of the war would be the President of the enemy state. So, yes, they possibly plan using it in Kyiv. Basically, there is no such crime that Putler would not be willing to commit. But if he does it, then what happens? Committing even more war crimes still will not help him to win. I just hope he will soon realize that. The problem though he is Psycho, and the Chief of the General Staff of his Armed Forces is also a Psycho. I just saw an interview with one of such Psycho. Not only they do not care about killing innocent people (and openly say it), but they do not understand that starting and continuing this war is enormously damaging for all Russians who they "support". Here is what [[Robert Burns]] said about it (translation to Russian): |
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<poem> |
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Покойник был дурак и так любил чины, |
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Что требует в аду короны Сатаны. |
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— Нет, — молвил Сатана. — Ты зол, и даже слишком, |
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Но надо ж обладать каким-нибудь умишком! |
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In the original: |
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When Mr. Putin deceased, to the devil went down, |
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That was nothing to serve him but Satan's own crown. |
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Thy fool's head, quoth Satan, that crown shall wear never, |
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I grant you are wicked, but not quite so clever. |
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</poem> |
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::Some Russian/Soviet rulers of the past were worse than Putin, but no one quite as stupid. But perhaps that was his historical significance: to bring his Empire of Evil down. |
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[https://graniru.org/opinion/portnikov/m.284623.html Bombing the kids] was not surprising. This is something they always did. Read ''The Oath: A Surgeon Under Fire'' by [[Khassan Baiev]]. Their first or second target in every small Chechen town was hospital. That's why he performed surgery in basements. What they do with Kharkiv is the same as they did with [[Battle of Grozny (1999–2000)|Grozny]]. Same in Afghanistan. It does not matter for them who they kill. |
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:For the same reason, one should not be surprised if they use chemical weapons [https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/03/one-more-thing-to-worry-about-putin-may-be-paving-the-way-to-use-chemical-weapons-in-ukraine/], just as thermobaric weapons, etc. That is if they think using the mass terror will help them to win the war. It will not. Quite the opposite. The problem though that taking over the Ukraine is not necessarily their main objective. The destruction of Ukraine and Ukrainian people is. They are just creating wastelands everywhere, and that is their goal. Consider Afghanistan (it was a very different country prior to the USSR-led political experiments and the invasion), Syria, Abkhazia (this is really a wasteland compare to what it was), DNR/LNR, Transnistria, and now the entire Ukraine. This is just like cancer. This is either a surgery or the patient is dead. |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/10/politics/hospital-bombing-ukraine-pressure-us-and-allies/index.html] - yes, new Hitler is killing the entire nation in Europe, and does it really matter if he is using gas chambers or bombs? This is shame for NATO, exactly as [[Mike Quigley (politician)|Mike Quigley]] said. On the other hand, with so many anti-tank missiles and stingers delivered, I am surprised that Ukrainians are leaving the strategic initiative to Putler. Why? Земля должна гореть под ногами оккупантов. |
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*[https://www.cbsnews.com/news/russia-un-meeting-alleging-us-military-biological-activities-in-ukraine-false-flag/] - They exceeded my imagination. Are they going to unleash a genetically enhanced Ebola? BTW, [[Yuri Shvets]] insists that COVID-19 leaked after [https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/sep/17/blast-sparks-fire-at-russian-laboratory-housing-smallpox-virus this accident] in "VECTOR". I have no idea. I am certain in only one thing: the program of biological weapons in Russia is very much active. Not in Ukraine of course. Actually, Putin is an ardent believer in [[ethnic bioweapon]]s. Hence his [[Ethnic_bioweapon#Russian_ban_on_export_of_biological_samples|idiotic ban]]. |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-11-22/index.html] - "Biden emphatic that the US will not "fight World War 3" in Ukraine" - Oh man, you are fighting it already. Speaking in words of Soviet classics about Ukrainians now, that would be [[Alexander Tvardovsky]]: |
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<poem> |
|||
Переправа, переправа! |
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Пушки бьют в кромешной мгле. |
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Бой идет святой и правый. |
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Смертный бой не ради славы, |
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Ради жизни на земле. |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZJHeXGKs2Oc] - an incredible interview with Muratov. He provides a completely convincing explantion why exactly Putin decided to attack Ukraine. |
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*Probably the most painful question is the collective responsibility of Russian people for the invasion, and it was not the first invasion or occupation by Russia/USSR. Obviously, [[2022 anti-war protests in Russia|many people came to protest]], so they knew the truth. Others did not know or did not want to know. Still, the answer is "yes" as well expressed by Andrei Orlov in his ''Requiem to MH17'' : [https://gordonua.com/publications/rossiyskiy-poet-orlusha-o-katastrofe-boeing-sbili-te-kto-malchika-raspyal-mezhdu-kvnom-i-reklamoy-32477.html], and of course by [[Alexander Galich (writer)|Alexander Galich]] who said ([http://www.bards.ru/archives/part.php?id=4084], [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lHYA2F_8Y9w video]): |
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::<poem> |
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Пусть другие кричат от отчаянья, |
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От обиды, от боли, от голода! |
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Мы-то знаем - доходней молчание, |
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Потому что молчание - золото! |
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Вот как просто попасть в богачи, |
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Вот как просто попасть в первачи, |
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Вот как просто попасть - в палачи: |
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Промолчи, промолчи, промолчи! |
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</poem> |
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*But still there is a question. What made it happen? [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2I1z0h5CsTY This]? |
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<poem> |
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Я не хочу в России умирать. |
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Дай волю мне - я б в ней и не рождался: |
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Я б случая удобного дождался, |
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Чтоб совести своей не замарать... |
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([[Yuri Heifetz]]) |
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</poem> |
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<poem> |
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Пора уже прикончить Пахана |
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Заточкой в бок, или подсыпать яда. |
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А то ведь будет всей стране хана, |
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А может пепел ядерного ада. |
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03/12/2022 |
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</poem> |
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Speaking about other Soviet classics, here is it (by [[Gennadiy Shpalikov]]), one word replaced: |
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<poem> |
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Ничего, что НАТО в Польше, - |
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Но сильна страна: |
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Через месяц - и не больше - |
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Кончится война. |
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</poem> |
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:So, when and how does this war end? It is moving in the direction of a "frozen conflict" at the Ukrainian borders. Fortunately, Russia will not be able to finance this frozen conflict for a long time, after being transformed back to the USSR (and then to North Korea) by sanctions. I also hope that Russia will not be able to continue its expansionist aggression in Belorussia (and this will be the end of Lukashenko regime), Georgia, Armenia and other parts of the world (I assume that Western countries will not lift their sanctions until this happens). |
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:[https://www.npr.org/2022/03/13/1086327654/russian-forces-escalate-attack-in-western-ukraine-target-military-base?ft=nprml&f=] - So, the missiles to hit the Ukrainian training center were sent from Russian military ships in Azov and Black seas. I wonder, will NATO provide any anti-ship or other long-range missiles to Ukraine in order to hit back these ships which now became legitimate targets? So far they did not. |
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:[https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/ukraine-russia-putin-news-03-21-22/index.html Biden warns of "evolving intelligence" suggesting potential Russian cyberattacks against the US] - Oh man, would not you consider this as an attack on one of NATO countries? But they already did the same a few months ago, just as a couple of Russian drones recently flying over the NATO territory. |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/03/05/europe/ukraine-kherson-russian-occupation-cmd-intl/index.html] - Russian troops started using the "Holodomor method". This is nothing new of course. |
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*[https://gordonua.com/blogs/agerashhenko/v-okruzhenii-putina-prorabatyvaetsya-variant-nasilstvennogo-otstraneniya-lukashenko-ot-vlasti-putem-perevorota-1601104.html] - Vot ono chto. |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfB6nPMXUm8] - Oh yes, just as [[Andrei Piontkovsky]] said [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=80oX1ZpmNzk], Stoltenberg looked like a man paralyzed by fear. The scenario outlined by Piontkovsky is possible. Oh my... Gen. [[Wesley Clark]] thinks the same [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dcgJB_Qf2rg]. So that is what they debated at NATO meeting. |
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*[https://novayagazeta.ru/articles/2022/03/23/vladimir-pastukhov-operatsiia-russkaia-khromosoma "Russian chromosome"] by Vladimir Pastukhov |
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*[[Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse]]: Plague (COVID) -> War (right now) -> Hunger (it will be) -> Death . According to [[Christo Grozev]], Shoigu and others are already in a bunker, as they suppose to be prior to nuclear attack: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4acFwCVWGdA] |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/01/europe/russia-ukraine-belgorod-fire-intl/index.html] - assuming that was a strike by Ukrainian forces (who knows?), then sure, Ukraine would be expected to attack any military targets in Russia and Belarus. If Moscow attacked Kiev without any reason, why can not Kiev attack Moscow? They did not do it only because that would not help their cause. |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/01/politics/ukraine-security-guarantee-discussions/index.html] - that jumping around article V is a circus. Everyone, including NATO, understands that Russia can or will attack later and therefore are not going to provide any real guarantees. Any negotiations with Putin (beyond prisoners exchange, humanitarian corridors or temporarily cease fire) are completely meaningless, because he or his successors can not be trusted. The only thing that really matters is how many ''offensive'' weapons NATO will give to Ukraine right now, and the Biden administration is so behind. And without any real security guarantees, Ukraine has only one option: a modernization and expansion of their military and probably restoring their nuclear weapons, because there is no any other protection (just accepting Ukraine to NATO would probably be a better choice for the world). Moreover, after all these atrocities, Ukraine will be the worst enemy of Russia. Obviously, Russia will not provide any reparations, but it will provide protection for every criminal of this war. This is all assuming that Russian army will soon be defeated (as I think it will). |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNTPyAsMmxs],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OzMUrc-LQPw],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adX_o_I8Q20],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NMyb_1W6kUw],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_87yd00R8tI],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHV-aZzxtY4] |
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*[https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-liberates-border-town-russia/31778438.html],[https://www.rferl.org/a/people-torn-to-pieces-kyiv-irpin/31781850.html], |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qTLak4XPrn8] |
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*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3446694-in-chilling-call-to-wife-russian-soldier-boasts-of-children-safari-in-mariupol-audio-intercept.html] - welcome to the "Russian world". |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9MNuMJNIS64],[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=en-ga97tk0A] |
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*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3447522-they-even-stole-womens-panties-how-russian-fascists-were-fleeing-kyiv-suburbs.html] |
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*This is all extremely depressing: |
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<poem> |
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Я не буду ни есть, ни петь. |
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Я не буду ни жить, ни спать. |
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Мне на вечном огне гореть, |
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Мне в холодой земле лежать. |
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... |
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4/3/2022 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/31785312.html] - do I feel responsible? Yes, as a US citizen. Several administrations tried to establish good relations with the bloody regime. |
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*According to intercepts of conversations among Russian soldiers, they were given an official permission/order by their commanders to do whatever they want with civilian Ukrainian population. Meaning really ''whatever''. So they did. |
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*[https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-support-ukraine-war-polls-putin/31791423.html (video)] - Russian citizens explain why they think that massacre in Bucha was "fake" |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZZ22cPwW5I] - oh man, I'd like to believe you |
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*[https://gordonua.com/blogs/aleksandr-nevzorov/pered-kazhdoy-zhenshchinoy-stoit-gogochushchaya-armada-muzhikov-so-spushchennymi-shtanami-chitayte-memuary-sovetskih-veteranov-chtoby-ponyat-chto-proizoshlo-v-buche-1603688.html WW II] and [https://gordonua.com/news/war/rossiyskie-okkupanty-nasilovali-detey-pod-kievom-uroven-ih-zhestokosti-ne-znaet-granic-denisova-1603920.html now] - "criminals will be punished"? No, I do not think they will be punished, just as they were not punished in the past. Except that maybe their life in Russia of the future will be a punishment. [https://gordonua.com/tags/iznasilovanie.html] - what a hell. They are just as [[Come and See|Nazi]] or worse. |
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*So, according to FSB sources of [[Vladimir Osechkin]], FSB is working to organize large-scale terrorism acts by "Ukrainian saboteurs" at the Russian territory to justify a wider mobilization to Army and improve the "military spirit" in the country. Yes, that sounds likely. |
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*[https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/10/politics/ukraine-first-us-ambassador/index.html] - "An ugly end is already assured. Distasteful as it would be, he fears halting the conflict will eventually require recognizing Russian control over Crimea and parts of eastern Ukraine." - What? Oh no, I think Ukraine must demand keeping all sanctions until Russia returns Crimea and ensure that the justice was served with regard to criminals of the ongoing war. Doing otherwise would be to reward Russia for the ongoing military aggression. |
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*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/10/alexander-dvornikov-russian-general-who-helped-turn-tide-of-syrian-war] - based on publicly available info, the bloody monster is going to be defeated this time. Let's see what will happen during next week. Regardless, the stain of mass murderers will remain on Russian military forever. However, the scenario of disintegration of Russian federation as a result of militarily defeat, sanctions and internal unrest is unlikely. More probably, Russia will be more like Iran. Except that it has a lot of nuclear weapons. Hence the nuclear blackmail is very much probable. |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LB8R-9kJbSA] and above - I never expected such brutality. What a shame. |
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*[https://gordonua.com/bulvar/news/serga-ob-unichtozhennom-krejsere-moskva-matrosy-ssutsja-tolpoj-begut-v-vorota-raja-a-bog-im-chetko-otvechaet-chto-na-h-j-eto-ne-ko-mne-1604609.html] - a poem about sinking Cruiser Moscow. Not bad, although I would put it a little differently: |
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<poem> |
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Скажи-ка, uncle, ведь недаром |
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"Москва", спаленная пожаром, |
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Нептуну отдана? |
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Конечно, nephew, то не даром: |
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Сгубили всех одним ударом, |
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И вот Wall Street опять нам платит гонорары. |
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5/9/2022 |
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</poem> |
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*So, on the subject of "Rashism": [https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-repressive-aggressive-not-fascist/31794918.html],[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/how-putins-russia-embraced-fascism-while-preaching-anti-fascism/],[https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/is-putin-s-russia-fascist/],[https://theconversation.com/putins-fascists-the-russian-states-long-history-of-cultivating-homegrown-neo-nazis-178535], [http://www.intelros.ru/intelros/reiting/reyting_09/material_sofiy/8625-rusizm-tretya-volna.html] |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpOoh0trx5g] |
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*So, when and how this war will end? According to [[Felshtinskiy]], what we see is a typical beginning of a new World War to continue for as long as the aggressor would be completely defeated, just as Nazi Germany was defeated in the WWII. But can this be just a partial defeat? Meaning only a complete eviction of Russian forces from the Ukrainian territory? If that happens, Russia may be similar to Germany after WWI, i.e. an angry country looking for revenge during next war (WWII). Not a good ending. |
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:But it seems that Putin is going to declare a mobilization and make an endless war with Ukraine. These newly mobilized forces will be poorly prepared and serve as cannon fodder. Such course of action might result in a downfall of the regime, but not necessarily. For example, Nazi regime in Germany was stable until very end. |
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<poem> |
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Кто ж он, народный смиритель? |
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Темен, и зол, и свиреп: |
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Инок у входа в обитель |
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Видел его – и ослеп. |
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Он к неизведанным безднам |
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Гонит людей, как стада... |
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Посохом гонит железным... |
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– Боже! Бежим от Суда! |
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([[Alexander Blok]], 1903) |
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</poem> |
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*[https://gordonua.com/publications/volonter-iz-buchi-spasshiy-sotni-semey-poka-umirayushchaya-mat-istekala-krovyu-russkie-podonki-nasilovali-na-ee-glazah-15-letnyuyu-doch-1606466.html#photo Volunteer] |
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*I can't forget Soviet songs, but after reading about all these atrocities (and more), these songs distort themselves in my mind: |
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<poem> |
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И сотни тысяч блатарей |
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За деньги наших главарей, |
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За Вову Путлера - |
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Огонь, огонь! |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3485689-russia-wants-to-protract-war-reznikov.html] - yes, time is the essence. I am really surprised that USA did not provide [[F-18]] staffed by volunteers. There is the [[International Legion of Territorial Defense of Ukraine]]. Some of them could be pilots. Why not? |
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*[https://thehill.com/opinion/international/3483799-prepare-for-the-disappearance-of-russia/] - yes, I think the disintegration of Russia is a lot more probable scenario than a transformation to a democratic country (and it will be just as good as disintegration of the USSR). This is only a small probability of course. The longer the war the more probable that will be. There are many different scenario, for example: (a) NATO will be eventually directly involved to the war (that is what Felshtinskiy predicted as a probable development), or (b) Russia is coming as a looser of Crimea from the war with Ukraine but remains a subject of international sanctions after refusing to cooperate with prosecuting its war crimes. |
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<poem> |
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Я уехал потому |
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Что была та не моя страна. |
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А теперь уже и не пойму |
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А зачем она вообще нужна. |
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05/18/2022 |
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</poem> |
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*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3488691-to-reach-borders-as-of-february-24-with-no-unnecessary-losses-would-already-be-seen-as-victory-zelensky.html Modest victory by Ukraine]. Regardless to any agreements and territorial losses, the actual problem will be the existence of the "frozen" (i.e. very much active) conflict after the war, with Russia preparing for the next attack using the previously occupied territories as a "casus belli". And the only way of deterring Russia will be an immediate inclusion of Ukraine to NATO. If ''that'' happens, then yes, Ukraine has a good option of ceding the Crimea and DNR/LNR to Russia (that is what such plan obviously implies). But even such modest Ukrainian victory may not happen, thanks to US administration: [https://www.politico.com/news/2022/05/18/biden-resists-ukrainian-demands-long-range-rocket-launchers-00033473]. |
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:[https://www.svoboda.org/a/germanskie-smi-strany-nato-ne-hotyat-postavlyatj-ukraine-tanki-i-samolyoty/31869513.html] - NATO is so afraid of Putin they still refuse to deliver heavy weapons to Ukraine. This is wrong. First of all, there were several ''direct'' confrontations between nuclear powers already. For example, the Korean and Vietnam wars where Soviet aviation (with Soviet pilots) fought a lot. No one used nuclear weapons. Secondly, given the poor performance by Russian army in Ukraine, it would be wiped out by any large Western army (let's say Polish army if they choose to interfere). But not providing even heavy weapons to Ukraine... What a shame! They had to deliver 200 [https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/26/politics/us-long-range-rockets-ukraine-mlrs/index.html such systems] with munitions a month ago. Then it could be a different story. Basically, not giving such systems (and more) to Ukraine allows Russian forces to destroy Ukrainian cities (i.e. commit genocide) with impunity. |
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*[https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3495298-russia-has-lost-its-own-future-zelensky.html] - Zelensky: "Russia has lost its future". Yes, that is what I also thought on February 24 (Putin stole the future from the entire generations of Russians). But this is probably incorrect because Russia never had any chance for a good future at the first place. |
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*[https://www.businessinsider.com/biden-says-us-wont-send-ukraine-rocket-systems-reach-russia-2022-5 "US President Biden says he won't send rockets to Ukraine that could reach Russia"] - I am not surprised that his popularity is so low. Not only this is nonsense (the already provided artillery can reach Russia), but this creates an indefinite military conflict that might be even won by Russia. |
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*[https://breakingdefense.com/2022/06/us-to-provide-4-himars-systems-to-ukraine-in-latest-700m-arms-package/] - so now they are giving 4 HIMARS systems with short-range munitions. Only FOUR. Meaning they are giving just enough to fight "until the last Ukrainian". But I can imagine their calculation: the longer the fight the worse this is going to be for Russia, and the Ukrainians are expendable. This is hard to say though. Given the level of annihilation in Ukraine and its effect on people, Putin might just achieve his goal, which is not a conquest, but destruction. As about being afraid of provoking Putin, yes, he (and his advisors) will certainly be provoked by any significant success of Ukrainian forces. |
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::[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IoIthRZjaHk] - "psychotherapist" Arestovich explains the limited deliveries. No man, I do not buy it. Knowing how many MLRS/HIMARS systems USA has, they could certainly provide a lot more. It seems that another Ukrainian analyst (Oleg Zhdanov) explains this better: US/NATO is afraid to upset Putin who might declare an official war, leading to an immediate and complete economic break down with Western countries (the trade by oil, gas and other goods is still significant). That's why Biden forced Zelensky to promise not attack anything on Russian territory (which is obviously an absurd when Russian forces are attacking Ukraine from their territory with impunity). |
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*[https://www.thedefensepost.com/2022/05/20/belarus-s-400-iskander-missiles-russia/] - oh, my ... Belarus just "bought" Iskanders from Russia. This is a scenario predicted by Felshtinskiy [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o4TbBZSb3n0], i.e. nuclear strike by Russia, but in such way to make Belarus responsible. If that happens, they will strike Ukraine. That's why they are making such advance defensive preparations against the possible future attack from the Ukrainian side [https://www.yahoo.com/video/belarus-mines-roads-bridges-near-164900733.html]? |
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*[https://www.nbcboston.com/news/local/when-will-the-war-in-ukraine-end-local-experts-explain/2718287/] - How long this war will last? That depends completely on NATO countries. If they provide a lot more heavy weapons than now (and they certainly can do it), then it may end in a few months by defeat of Russia. If not, that will take much longer, <u>and it will cost NATO countries a lot more</u>. The sooner this war ends, the better this will be for everyone, including Russia. But there is only one way to finish it sooner rather than later, and that is massive heavy weapons delivery to Ukraine. |
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:Putin said these HIMARS will not make much difference. He is right. They had to deliver at least 300 such systems to make a real difference and stop [https://www.newyorker.com/news/dispatch/the-fight-to-survive-russias-onslaught-in-eastern-ukraine the extermination]. |
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*[https://meduza.io/feature/2022/04/11/bylo-oschuschenie-chto-v-rossii-mozhno-zanimatsya-naukoy-mirovogo-urovnya-ono-formirovalos-30-let-no-teper-ischeznet-uzhe-ischezlo] - interesting commentary by Kunin. I agree with many his points except only one, but major: "наши коллеги в России (за исключением тех, кто высказывается в поддержку, а это все-таки существенное меньшинство) ни в чем не виноваты". No. Just to clarify, I believe that Soviet physicists involved in the nuclear weapons program were guilty as sin of arming a totalitarian country. |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yx7uponkWZ8 Interview with Felstinsky] - Well explained! And he might be right that NATO will be forced to intervene directly at some point. One can foresee only two scenario: (a) Russia will start winning (NATO can not allow this), or (b) Ukraine will start winning (then Putin will do something, like engagement of Belarus to the war, occupation of Moldova, gradual mobilization of the entire Russian population, nuclear blackmail, and finally, nuclear war). There is no other options. This conflict must have a winner. Freezing the conflict (e.g. "Minsk-3") would be a huge win for Russia and a great opportunity to prepare for the next strike, after which very same conflict will resume. |
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:[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=josWZVUoB8U] - this is even better! So, he says [https://www.svoboda.org/a/predelov-agressii-putina-net-novaya-kniga-yuriya-feljshtinskogo/31893422.html]: "Я думаю, что сценарий у Путина в голове совсем другой. После того, как все увидят, на какие разрушения способна российская армия, после того, как все увидят, что российской армии абсолютно все равно, сколько она теряет при этом своих людей, после того, как все увидят, что Россия готова нажать ядерную кнопку, все наконец сдадутся, а вот если не сдадутся, то тогда придется нажать ядерную кнопку." I am thinking about [https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-1-e&q=amazon+dosimeter]. |
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:Also this (that is what Western analysts failed to understand): – "Украина не может победить в этой войне без прямого вмешательства НАТО. Вообще война, которая ведется на чужой территории, не может быть в каком-то плане проиграна Путиным. Потому что, поскольку ему все равно, сколько людей, в том числе россиян, гибнет в этой войне. Обычно любое нормальное государство исчисляет победу и поражение с точки зрения гибели людей, а для Путина этого фактора нет, поэтому ему все равно, сколько народу гибнет, а разрушения все производятся на территории Украины. Поэтому с точки зрения российского обывателя, пока все идет нормально. Он вообще последствий этой войны не чувствует, ее не видит." Yes, conducting the war of annihilation ''at the territory of another state'' is already a win in the view of Putin, even ''if'' his forces will be pushed back, because his purpose is destruction of the Ukrainian identity and state, and that is what he will continue doing at all costs. Poor Zelensky. He counts killed Russian soldiers [https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3505523-russia-may-lose-40000-troops-in-ukraine-in-june-zelensky.html]. That number matters very little in modern-day Russia. It can be 10 times larger, Putin does not care. |
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*[https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/10/were-almost-out-of-ammunition-and-relying-on-western-arms-says-ukraine Out of ammunition] - why would not Ukrainian forces try to take over the [[Cobasna ammunition depot]]? Some commenters say they need an official invitation from Moldova. |
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*[https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/6/19/russia-ukraine-live-news-azovstal-fighters-under-investigation-liveblog] - no, I do not think this war can drag on for years. The longer it lasts, the higher will be the costs, and they will become unsustainable at some point. The best fighting chance by Ukraine is probably making a big offensive in the end of August (because of the weather conditions later). Everything will depend on the amount of heavy weapons they will receive from the West by that time. |
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*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/voyna-i-rashizm-mark-lipovetskiy-ob-ideologii-putinskogo-rezhima/31890195.html] |
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*[https://www.svoboda.org/a/voyna-i-poeziya-ukrainskie-dnevniki-very-pavlovoy/31882110.html]: |
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<poem> |
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Левый плачет об одном, |
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правый – о другом. |
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Левый: взорван детский дом. |
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Правый: где мой дом? |
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Не кори слезу, слеза. |
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Колокольный звон, |
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научи мои глаза |
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плакать в унисон. |
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</poem> |
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by [[Vera Pavlova]], mostly an outsider of the war who equates "sides". But the side must be taken: "Затопим злобные корыта" [https://gordonua.com/bulvar/news/serga-ob-unichtozhennom-krejsere-moskva-matrosy-ssutsja-tolpoj-begut-v-vorota-raja-a-bog-im-chetko-otvechaet-chto-na-h-j-eto-ne-ko-mne-1604609.html] |
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<poem> |
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Когда настал конец всему - |
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пожар окрестных рощ, |
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весь горизонт увяз в дыму, |
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а мы варили борщ. |
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Мы шум снимали поскорей, |
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мы жгли последний газ - |
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покуда залпы батарей |
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нащупывали нас. |
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Я встал и подошел к окну, |
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где взрывы чуть моргни, |
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где нам кровавую луну |
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развесили они. |
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Уже вертелись, как юла, |
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покойники в гробу, |
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и кто-то, вскинув два крыла, |
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уже трубил в трубу. |
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Оскал обрушенной стены, |
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предсмертный визг котов, |
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и оклик мне из-за спины: |
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"садимся, борщ готов!" |
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Мы ляжем вскорости костьми, |
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но борщ не пропущу. |
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Не пропадать же, черт возьми, |
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хорошему борщу! |
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(by [[Alexei Tsvetkov (poet)|Alexei Tsvetkov]], an "insider" of the war. Wow! He actually lived in Israel. That's why he could write this, an insider of another war.) |
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</poem> |
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:Yes, the image of ''this'' war will certainly be houses destroyed by shelling together with people who lived there and who remained to be buried in ruins: |
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<poem> |
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Среди расстрелянных домов |
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Во сне душа моя летает. |
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Ей этот мир уже не нов, |
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Здесь только души обитают. |
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Им нет покоя, нет конца, |
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Они в краю родном летают, |
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И лишь убийцу-подлеца |
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Пролятьем вечным проклинают. |
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Здесь пылью сыплют этажи, |
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И запах пороха и тленья, |
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Моя душа от слез дрожит: |
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Здесь беспредельно преступленье. |
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(Could not finish it, April 2022) |
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</poem> |
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Another war (WWII): |
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:"“До свидания, мальчики” Окуджавы никак не вяжутся с тем, что сейчас происходит в Украине."([[Alexander Genis]]). Oh yes. But it was not propaganda. And remember, Okudzhava had a premonition of the current war: [http://www.cogita.ru/a.n.-alekseev/publikacii-a.n.alekseeva/rebyata-nas-vnov-obmanuli-opyat-ne-tuda-zaveli-bulat-okudzhava], rephrase: "А может, надо пораженье, Чтоб не стошнило от побед?" |
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<poem> |
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Девчонка парикмахершей работала, |
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Девчонку изнасиловала рота: |
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ей в рот портянки потные совали, |
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ласкали непечатными словами, |
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(by [[Nikolai Panchenko]], obviously, an "insider" of the WWII) |
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</poem> |
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*[https://kyivindependent.com/national/hundreds-of-murdered-civilians-discovered-as-russians-withdraw-from-towns-near-kyiv-graphic-images] - No words. |
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*[https://www.thedailybeast.com/vladimir-putin-should-be-very-worried-about-ukraines-new-kamikaze-drone] - wow! That is what Ukraine should do. Send a 1000 such drones. |
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IJ8oxgrQDsI] - (in the end of record) Felshtinsky: "Russian State Security was preparing for this war 100 years. This is their last war. They want to go down in history by starting a nuclear war." He suggested that transfer of nuclear weapons to Belarus should be the last moment for NATO to militarily interfere. Otherwise, it might be too late, he said. I doubt though that Putin will use nuclear weapons. He is not that crazy. He attacked Ukraine only because he believed in a quick success, just as many Western analysts. Rather, he will use a wider mobilization of Russian, Belorussian and other resources, and he can continue this war, in particular air strikes, to infinity. I also doubt that Putin will loose his power if Ukrainian forces de-occupy Kherson or even the entire Ukrainian territory. But one can not be sure of course. A lot of people thought that Hitler was not that crazy. |
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*I am thinking about the meeting of Putin with Xi Jinping just before the invasion. What it reminds me? Molotov-Ribbentrop pact. As described by Victor Suvorov, Stalin used Hitler as an "[[Icebreaker (Suvorov)|Icebreaker]]" to attack Europe and to appear himself as a "liberator" of the Europe from Nazi. So perhaps Xi Jinping is now using Putin as an "Icebreaker" to attack Europe? Sure thing, after the defeat of Russia, it will be much easier for China to take over Siberia (a part of which they already almost own). What a trap. |
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--- |
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[https://www.tcdb.org/search/index.php?query=viroporin&type=family Viroporins, TCDB] |
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*[https://www.tcdb.org/superfamily.php], |
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*[https://www.cmu.edu/biolphys/deserno/pdf/membrane_theory.pdf eq. (12)] - [https://lipid.phys.cmu.edu/papers16/2017CPLmoduli.pdf], [https://pure.mpg.de/rest/items/item_596033/component/file_596032/content] |
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----- |
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[https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-51310036],[https://www.google.com/books/edition/Misunderstanding_Cults/pJ9Nmc25xNAC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=Bruderhof+abuse&pg=PA438&printsec=frontcover],[https://www.google.com/books/edition/The_Courts_and_the_Colonies/Beo3cNJ4NokC?hl=en&gbpv=1&dq=Bruderhof+abuse&pg=PA24&printsec=frontcover] |
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----- |
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[https://informnapalm.org/671-kakoj-samolet-sobyralys-sbyt-terrorysty/],[https://espreso.tv/article/2018/07/29/devid_satter_ta_dzherri_skinner],[https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-europe/2018/08/08/addressing-aeroflot-mh17-conspiracy-theory/] |
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*[https://www.theguardian.com/books/2018/mar/15/further-reading-books-that-expose-the-secret-world-of-spies] |
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--- |
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[http://militera.lib.ru/memo/russian/chinese_sky/text.html], |
Revision as of 11:05, 9 August 2022
---