→Background: Copyedits |
boldly attempting to solve npov problem? Will revert on any request, or do it yourself without fear of 1rr 3rr whatever restrictions, becuase I will self revert. Or keep parts and discard others. |
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| series = |
| series = |
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| subject = [[Climate change]] |
| subject = [[Climate change]] |
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| genre = Non-Fiction |
| genre = Non-Fiction, Polemic |
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| publisher = [[Stacey International]] |
| publisher = [[Stacey International]] |
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| pub_date = 2010 |
| pub_date = 2010 |
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'''''The Hockey Stick Illusion''''' (subtitle ''Climategate and the Corruption of Science'') is a book written by [[Andrew Montford]], who is [[Climate change denial|skeptical of man made climate change]].<ref name="Leigh_2010-02-04_Guardian"/> Stacey International published the book in 2010. |
'''''The Hockey Stick Illusion''''' (subtitle ''Climategate and the Corruption of Science'') is a polemic book written by [[Andrew Montford]], who is [[Climate change denial|skeptical of man made climate change]].<ref name="Leigh_2010-02-04_Guardian"/> Stacey International published the book in 2010. The book covers the history of the "[[hockey stick controversy|hockey stick graph]]" from a sceptical perspective. |
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The book states that it covers the history of the "[[hockey stick controversy|hockey stick graph]]", the first version of which was published by [[Michael E. Mann]], [[Raymond S. Bradley]] and [[Malcolm K. Hughes]] in 1998, from then to its prominent use by the [[Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change]]. Criticisms of the graph and the methods used by its creators by [[Ross McKitrick]] and [[Stephen McIntyre]], as well as the ensuing hockey stick controversy, are also included in the book. |
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==Background== |
==Background== |
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In 2005, Andrew Montford, a Chartered Accountant<ref name="The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)">{{cite web|url=http://www.icas.org.uk/directory/membyname.asp?Alpha=M&PageNo=130|title=The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)|last=ICAS|publisher=ICAS|accessdate=19 April 2010}}</ref> who also works in science publishing, <ref name="Anglosphere Editing Limited">{{cite web|url=http://www.anglosphere.co.uk/people/|title=Anglosphere Editing Limited|last=About Us|first=People|publisher=Anglosphere Editing Limited|language=English|accessdate=19 April 2010|location=Scotland}}</ref><ref name="postscript_2010-03-25_THE" /> and is author of the blog, [[Bishop Hill (blog)|Bishop Hill]] <ref name="Leigh_2010-02-04_Guardian"/>, |
In 2005, Andrew Montford, a Chartered Accountant<ref name="The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)">{{cite web|url=http://www.icas.org.uk/directory/membyname.asp?Alpha=M&PageNo=130|title=The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)|last=ICAS|publisher=ICAS|accessdate=19 April 2010}}</ref> who also works in science publishing, <ref name="Anglosphere Editing Limited">{{cite web|url=http://www.anglosphere.co.uk/people/|title=Anglosphere Editing Limited|last=About Us|first=People|publisher=Anglosphere Editing Limited|language=English|accessdate=19 April 2010|location=Scotland}}</ref><ref name="postscript_2010-03-25_THE" /> and is author of the blog, [[Bishop Hill (blog)|Bishop Hill]] <ref name="Leigh_2010-02-04_Guardian"/>, followed a link to the blog, [[Climate Audit]].<ref name="HSIPreface" />. He said new visitors to the site were pleading for an introduction to the controversy and that there was nothing to help people get up to speed on the skeptical perspective of the science. He summarized a series of posts from the blog into larger posts on his Bishop Hill blog which he named "Caspar And The Jesus Paper" and "The Yamal Implosion". <ref>{{cite web | url=http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2008/8/11/caspar-and-the-jesus-paper.html | title=Casper and the Jesus paper | publiser=http://bishophill.squarespace.com | accessdate=1 April 2010}}</ref><ref name="Matt Ridley">{{cite news|url=http://www.spectator.co.uk/print/politics/all/5749853/the-global-warming-guerrillas.thtml|title=The Global Warming Guerrillas|last=Ridley|first=Matt|date=3 February 2010|publisher=The Spectator|accessdate=9 April 2010}}</ref><ref name="Andrew Montford">{{cite web|url=http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2009/9/29/the-yamal-implosion.html|title=The Yamal implosion|last=Montford|first=Andrew|date=Sep 29, 2009|publisher=Bishop Hill|language=English|accessdate=19 April 2010}}</ref> Subsequently, his site went from a couple of hundred hits a day to 30,000 hits over three days,<ref name="Robbins_2010-04-02_Courier" /> with many of the visitors saying he should write a book on the hockey stick. <ref name="The Hockey Stick Illusion">{{cite web|url=http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2009/11/21/the-hockey-stick-illusion.html|title=The Hockey Stick Illusion|last=Montford|first=Andrew|date=Nov 21, 2009|publisher=Bishop Hill|language=English|accessdate=20 April 2010}}</ref> |
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==Synopsis== |
==Synopsis== |
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[[File:hockey stick chart ipcc large.jpg|thumb|left|300px|Figure 1(b) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report]] |
[[File:hockey stick chart ipcc large.jpg|thumb|left|300px|Figure 1(b) from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report]] |
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In its seventeen chapters, ''The Hockey Stick Illusion'' relates the story of Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes's "hockey stick graph". Starting with a brief summary of the consensus view prior to 1998, and the first incarnation of the hockey stick graph, the book traces the history of what |
In its seventeen chapters, ''The Hockey Stick Illusion'' relates the story of Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes's "hockey stick graph" from a skeptical perspective. Starting with a brief summary of the consensus view prior to 1998, and the first incarnation of the hockey stick graph, the book traces the history of what Montford claims is the slow unraveling of that same graph. |
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The last few chapters of the book deal with the what the book refers to as the "[[Climatic Research Unit email controversy|Climategate controversy]]." Here, the author compares several e-mails to the evidence he presents in ''The Hockey Stick Illusion.'' Montford focuses on those e-mails which dealt with the [[peer review]] process and how these pertained to McIntyre's efforts to get the data and methodology from Mann's and other [[paleoclimatologists]]' published works. |
The last few chapters of the book deal with the what the book refers to as the "[[Climatic Research Unit email controversy|Climategate controversy]]." Here, the author compares several e-mails to the evidence he presents in ''The Hockey Stick Illusion.'' Montford focuses on those e-mails which dealt with the [[peer review]] process and how these pertained to McIntyre's efforts to get the data and methodology from Mann's and other [[paleoclimatologists]]' published works. |
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==Mainstream sceintific perspective== |
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{{main|Hockey stick controversy}} |
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The scientific establishment has frequently confirmed the underlying conclusions of the hockey stick graph - more than a dozen subsequent scientific papers, using various statistical techniques and combinations of proxy records, produced reconstructions broadly similar to the original MBH hockey-stick graph, with variations in how flat the pre-20th century "shaft" appears. Almost all of them supported the IPCC conclusion that the warmest decade in 1000 years was probably that at the end of the 20th century.<ref name="Part four guardian">{{cite web |url=http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2010/feb/09/hockey-stick-michael-mann-steve-mcintyre |title=Part four: Climate change debate overheated after sceptics grasped 'hockey stick' | Environment |author=Fred Pearce |authorlink=Fred Pearce |date=9 February 2010 |publisher=[[The Guardian]] |quote= |accessdate=2010-03-08}}</ref> |
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==Reception== |
==Reception== |
Revision as of 13:52, 22 April 2010
Author | A.W. Montford |
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Country | United Kingdom |
Language | English |
Subject | Climate change |
Genre | Non-Fiction, Polemic |
Publisher | Stacey International |
Publication date | 2010 |
Pages | 482 |
ISBN | 978 1 906768 35 5 |
The Hockey Stick Illusion (subtitle Climategate and the Corruption of Science) is a polemic book written by Andrew Montford, who is skeptical of man made climate change.[1] Stacey International published the book in 2010. The book covers the history of the "hockey stick graph" from a sceptical perspective.
Background
In 2005, Andrew Montford, a Chartered Accountant[2] who also works in science publishing, [3][4] and is author of the blog, Bishop Hill [1], followed a link to the blog, Climate Audit.[5]. He said new visitors to the site were pleading for an introduction to the controversy and that there was nothing to help people get up to speed on the skeptical perspective of the science. He summarized a series of posts from the blog into larger posts on his Bishop Hill blog which he named "Caspar And The Jesus Paper" and "The Yamal Implosion". [6][7][8] Subsequently, his site went from a couple of hundred hits a day to 30,000 hits over three days,[9] with many of the visitors saying he should write a book on the hockey stick. [10]
Synopsis
In its seventeen chapters, The Hockey Stick Illusion relates the story of Michael E. Mann, Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes's "hockey stick graph" from a skeptical perspective. Starting with a brief summary of the consensus view prior to 1998, and the first incarnation of the hockey stick graph, the book traces the history of what Montford claims is the slow unraveling of that same graph.
The last few chapters of the book deal with the what the book refers to as the "Climategate controversy." Here, the author compares several e-mails to the evidence he presents in The Hockey Stick Illusion. Montford focuses on those e-mails which dealt with the peer review process and how these pertained to McIntyre's efforts to get the data and methodology from Mann's and other paleoclimatologists' published works.
Mainstream sceintific perspective
The scientific establishment has frequently confirmed the underlying conclusions of the hockey stick graph - more than a dozen subsequent scientific papers, using various statistical techniques and combinations of proxy records, produced reconstructions broadly similar to the original MBH hockey-stick graph, with variations in how flat the pre-20th century "shaft" appears. Almost all of them supported the IPCC conclusion that the warmest decade in 1000 years was probably that at the end of the 20th century.[11]
Reception
The book has been praised for the quality of its writing and likened to a detective story.[12][13] Matt Ridley described the book as "one of the best science books in years" and complimented the way it dissected what he called "a great scientific mistake".[14] Christopher Booker also recommends the book as a "full account" of the IPCC's troubles.[15] Writing in Discovery News, Discovery Institute co-founder George Gilder compared the portrayal of Stephen McIntyre's pursuit of the data underlying the "hockey stick" graph with the lead detective character in the Columbo televison series.[16]
An article by Bruce Robbins in The Courier states that the book shows that the science involved in climate change has been corrupted by political and environmental agendas. Robbins concludes, "The evidence against man-made global warming is growing and the Hockey Stick Illusion stands as the definitive account of a pivotal point in climate change science."[9]
See also
References
- ^ a b David Leigh, Charles Arthur and Rob Evans (2010-02-04). "Detectives question climate change scientist over email leaks". Guardian. Retrieved 2010-04-14.
- ^ ICAS. "The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Scotland (ICAS)". ICAS. Retrieved 19 April 2010.
- ^ About Us, People. "Anglosphere Editing Limited". Scotland: Anglosphere Editing Limited. Retrieved 19 April 2010.
{{cite web}}
:|last=
has generic name (help) - ^ "Heated discussions (postscript)". Times Higher Education. 2010-03-25.
- ^ Andrew Montford (2010). The Hockey Stick Illusion: Climategate and the Corruption of Science (Preface). Stacey International. p. 13.
- ^ "Casper and the Jesus paper". Retrieved 1 April 2010.
{{cite web}}
: External link in
(help); Unknown parameter|publiser=
|publiser=
ignored (|publisher=
suggested) (help) - ^ Ridley, Matt (3 February 2010). "The Global Warming Guerrillas". The Spectator. Retrieved 9 April 2010.
- ^ Montford, Andrew (Sep 29, 2009). "The Yamal implosion". Bishop Hill. Retrieved 19 April 2010.
- ^ a b Bruce Robbins (2010-04-02). "Climate of Change". The Courier.
- ^ Montford, Andrew (Nov 21, 2009). "The Hockey Stick Illusion". Bishop Hill. Retrieved 20 April 2010.
- ^ Fred Pearce (9 February 2010). "Part four: Climate change debate overheated after sceptics grasped 'hockey stick' | Environment". The Guardian. Retrieved 2010-03-08.
- ^ Matt Ridley (2010-02-03). "The global warming guerrillas". The Spectator (spectator.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-09.
- ^ "Spencer: It's time for Joe Sestak to name names". www.delcotimes.com. Retrieved Thursday, April 01, 2010.
{{cite web}}
: Check date values in:|accessdate=
(help) - ^ Matt Ridley (2010-03-10). "The case against the hockey stick". Prospect (prospectmagazine.co.uk). Retrieved 2010-04-03.
- ^ Christopher Booker (7:49PM GMT 27 Feb 2010). "A perfect storm is brewing for the IPCC". www.telegraph.co.uk. Retrieved Saturday, Apr 03 2010.
{{cite news}}
: Check date values in:|accessdate=
and|date=
(help) - ^ George Gilder (2010-02-25). "George Gilder Hails "The Hockey Stick Illusion" on the Science Scandal of Global Warming". discoverynews.org. Retrieved 2010-02-25.
In this story, the Columbo figure is Steve McIntyre, a Canadian mining consultant, and A.W. Montford's book tells the gripping and suspenseful details of McIntyre's pursuit of the self-denominated "hockey team" led by Michael Mann, who wrote the key chapters on his own work for the IPCC, and Phil Jones, who maintains the temperature record used by the IPCC to document the "Hockey Stick" claiming allegedly unprecedented and anomalous anthropogenic global warming in the Twentieth Century while denying that any comparable or greater warming occurred in the Medieval period.
Further reading
- Booker, Christopher (2009). The Real Global Warming Disaster. Continuum International Publishing Group Ltd. ISBN 1441110526.
{{cite book}}
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ignored (help)
- "Casper and the Jesus paper". www.bishophill.squarespace.com. 2008-08-11. Retrieved 2010-04-01.