TheSimorgh (talk | contribs) |
|||
Line 128: | Line 128: | ||
برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری برنامهای ندارم|date=29 June 2016}}</ref> On 15 September 2016, he officially announced that he would not nominate.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13950716000167|title=برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری نامزد نمیشوم|date=15 September 2016}}</ref> |
برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری برنامهای ندارم|date=29 June 2016}}</ref> On 15 September 2016, he officially announced that he would not nominate.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13950716000167|title=برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری نامزد نمیشوم|date=15 September 2016}}</ref> |
||
*[[Marzieh Vahid-Dastjerdi]], former health minister and first female minister in the Iranian cabinet since 1979 was rumors as the potential principlists' candidate. She rejected her candidacy after the creation of [[Popular Front of Islamic Revolution Forces|JAMNA]] that she was elected as it's spokesperson.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951101000294|title=دستجردی: بحث کاندیداتوری بنده دروغ محض است/ مجمع عمومی ملی 14 بهمن برگزار میشود|date=19 December 2016}}</ref> |
*[[Marzieh Vahid-Dastjerdi]], former health minister and first female minister in the Iranian cabinet since 1979 was rumors as the potential principlists' candidate. She rejected her candidacy after the creation of [[Popular Front of Islamic Revolution Forces|JAMNA]] that she was elected as it's spokesperson.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.farsnews.com/newstext.php?nn=13951101000294|title=دستجردی: بحث کاندیداتوری بنده دروغ محض است/ مجمع عمومی ملی 14 بهمن برگزار میشود|date=19 December 2016}}</ref> |
||
==Campaign== |
|||
{{Politics of Iran}} |
|||
===Debates and TV programs=== |
|||
{{main|Iranian presidential election debates, 2017}} |
|||
From 28 April to 17 May 2017, each of the final candidates has the right to use [[Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting|National TV and Radio]] (IRIB) for their presidential election campaigns. In total, each candidate will use 405 minutes on Public TV and 285 minutes on Public Radio. This time comprises the candidates' own campaign programs as well as participation in the specific discussion shows. In addition, there will be three main live group debates on TV. The debates are held in three chapters.<ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.jamnews.ir/detail/News/773579|title=فرصت های انتخاباتی نامزدهای ریاست جمهوری در صداوسیما|date=2 March 2017}}</ref> |
|||
*Three debates with presence of all candidates. (from [[IRIB TV1]]) |
|||
*Four recorded programs for each candidates. (from [[IRIB TV1]]) |
|||
*30 minutes live addressing. (from [[Islamic Republic of Iran News Network|IRINN]]) |
|||
*Three 60 minutes conversation. (from [[IRIB TV3|Channel 3]]) |
|||
*One answer and question program. (from [[IRIB TV2]]) |
|||
*One conversation with [[Iranian diaspora]]. (from [[Jame Jam TV]]) |
|||
==Opinion polls== |
==Opinion polls== |
Revision as of 10:41, 6 April 2017
| |||
| |||
|
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Iran on 19 May 2017. It will be the twelfth presidential election in Iran. Local elections will be held alongside of this election.
Electoral system
Government of Islamic Republic of Iran |
---|
Scope of power
The President of Iran is the country's highest directly elected official, the chief of the executive branch, and the second most important position after the Supreme Leader. The armed forces, Chief judiciary system, state television, and other key governmental organizations are under the control of the Supreme Leader of Iran. It is also an informal custom that cabinet ministers for sensitive departments like foreign relations and intelligence are coordinated with the Supreme Leader. Of note, the current long-time Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who has been ruling for nearly three decades, has been issuing decrees and making the final decisions on economy, environment, foreign policy, national planning such as population growth, and everything else in Iran.[1][2][3][4][5][6][7][excessive citations] Khamenei also makes the final decisions on the amount of transparency in elections in Iran,[8] and has fired and reinstated Presidential cabinet appointments.[9][10]
Eligibility
Any Iranian citizen born in Iran, believing in God and the official religion of Iran (Islam), who has always been loyal to the Constitution and is above 21 years of age may register as a presidential candidate. An institution called the Election Monitoring Agency (EMA) and managed by the Guardian Council vets registered candidates (in the 2009 election 36,000 people signed up as candidates) and selects a handful to run in the election. The Guardian Council does not announce publicly the reason for rejections of particular candidates although those reasons are explained to each candidate. Females who register as candidates have invariably been excluded from standing for election by the Council.[11][12]
Electoral law
One of the issues that has been raised in the pre-election debate over electoral reforms, especially regarding enforcement, situations of candidates. Executive of elections under previous law was ministry of interior (Government) and there were statements about changing of maintaining law. In addition, the law provided that the candidates must be political men and the meaning of men was not known. The changes began after the protests to the previous election. According to Iranian law, candidates more than 75 years old are eligible to run but their health issues must be checked by the Guardian Council.
Timeline
According to the official dates announced on 1 April 2017 by the Ministry of Interior:[13]
- 11 April - Start of the election process with the Minister of the Interior's order.
- 11–13 April - Establishment of Executive Boards by governors.
- 11–15 April – The official time of candidates registration.
- 15 April – The time for registration will be ended at 18:00 IRDT.
- 16 April – The Guardian Council will start vetting the registered candidates.
- 21 April – The Guardian Council will address the possible objections from disqualified candidates.
- 26–27 April – The final list of candidates will be announced.
- 28 April – Official propagation campaigns for the final candidates will begin.
- 17 May – End of campaigns.
- 19 May – Election date.
Candidates
Announced
- Major candidates
- The incumbent President Hassan Rouhani was considered a potential candidate in 2015.[14] On 25 October 2016, Iranian interior minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli said that President Hassan Rouhani is “sure to run for a second term”.[15] On 13 January 2017, Mahmoud Vaezi said Moderation and Development Party will back Rouhani in the election.[16] On 13 March 2017, Council for Coordinating the Reforms Front officially announced Rouhani as their candidate.[citation needed]
- On 10 November 2016, Former Post Minister and 2013 independent presidential candidate Mohammad Gharazi announced he will run again in upcoming election.[17]
- On 16 December 2016, Islamic Coalition Party officially announced that it will nominate Mostafa Mir-Salim for the election.[18]
- On 1 January 2017, MP Mohammad Mehdi Zahedi announced his nomination for the upcoming election.[19] On 3 April 2017, Zahedi said if the Popular Front of Islamic Revolution Forces asks him to withdraw, he will comply.[20]
- On 18 February 2017, Hamid Baqai announced his candidacy as an independent candidate.[21]
- On 15 March 2017, Ezzatollah Zarghami announced his candidacy via his social media accounts. He said he "has felt the responsibility to fix the country’s management structure on a macro scale", accepting "the invitation of the Popular Front of Islamic Revolution Forces".[22] Zarghami who was speculated as a potential candidate since late 2014,[23] denied the possibility of his own candidacy in November 2015.[24]
- In February 2017, Ebrahim Raisi was said to be backed by the Front of Islamic Revolution Stability and emerging as the conservative camp consensus candidate.[25] A senior member of the front told press that his party tried to “persuade Ebrahim Raisi to run in the elections, but did not succeed”.[26] On 23 February 2017, Raisi won the majority of votes during the meeting held by Popular Front of Islamic Revolution Forces, a newly established umbrella organization of conservatives. According to a Stratfor situation report, the event increased the likelihood that he will emerge as the eventual presidential candidate.[27] Raisi officially announced his candidacy on 6 April 2017 in JAMNA convention.[28]
- On 20 March 2017, Dr Hossein Homayoun Fard Mohammad Abadi leader and founder of Ayyaran Group created in 1976, officially announced his candidacy from Paris in France via his official website Ayyaran for Iran 2017[29]. His candidature was legally deposed at the Iranian embassy of France [30] the 17th January 2017.
-
-
-
Mohammad Gharazi Former Minister of Post and Minister of Petroleum
- Other candidates
- Hooshang Amirahmadi, an Iranian-American academic announced his candidacy on 22 March 2017.[31] He has been disqualified twice in 2005 and 2013 elections by the Guardian Council.
- Mehdi Khazali publicly expressed his interest for the candidacy in a press conference in 2016.[citation needed] He later announced his candidacy on 25 March 2017.[32][33][better source needed]
- On 6 February 2017, General Mohammad-Hassan Nami of Iranian Army, a former communications minister announced his candidacy.[34]
- Saeed Yari, Secretary-General of 'Organization for Defending National Interests' announced his candidacy on 29 January 2017.[35]
- Mohammad Zareh Foumani, Secretary-General of Popular Party of Reforms announced his candidacy on 1 March 2017.[36]
- Amrollah Sheikhiani, Secretary-General of 'People's Party' announced his candidacy on 2 March 2017.[37]
- On 29 January 2017, Abdolhassan Moghtadaei, a former Governor of Khuzestan and Hormozgan Provinces announced his candidacy.[38]
- Mohammad Ashrafi Esfahani, former member of the parliament from Kermanshah announced his candidacy on 3 March 2017.[39]
- Khosro Nassirizadeh, a physician and secretary-general of Iran's Experts Convention announced he will be nominate on 17 February 2017.[40] He announced it officially on 4 April 2017.[41]
- Mehdi Kalhor, a journalist and press advisor to former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced his candidacy on 4 April 2017.[42]
-
-
Abdolhassan Moghtadaei
Former Governor of Khuzestan Province -
Mohammad Ashrafi Esfahani
Former Member of the Parliament -
Mohammad Zareh Foumani
Secretary-General of Popular Party of Reforms -
Mehdi Khazali
Blogger and publisher -
Saeed Yari
Secretary-General of Organization for Defending National Interests -
Khosro Nassirizadeh
Secretary-General of Iran's Experts Convention
Potential
- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf who was speculated as a potential candidate by Stratfor,[43] is considered as a possible candidate by the conservatives. Mohammad Reza Mirtajodini said that Ghalibaf “will run for presidential post only if all principlist groups concur on him”.[44] Answering to the question on 7 January 2017 whether he has any plan to run for president, Ghalibaf said “We have a duty to work. The place of it is not significant”.[45]
- YEKTA Front has officially announced that Hamid-Reza Haji Babaee and Rostam Ghasemi are its possible candidates.[18]
- On 24 February 2017, Mostafa Kavakebian was named as Democracy Party's nominee for the upcoming election.[46]
Declined
- In late March 2016, Mohammad Javad Zarif said “I will definitely not run for president because my current job is the only thing I know how to do”.[47]
- On 22 June 2016, Hassan Hashemi said he will not run, stressing he is “not interested in politics”.[48]
- In a statement published on 15 September 2016, Major General Qasem Soleimani called speculations about his candidacy as “divisive reports by the enemies” and said he will “always remain a simple soldier serving Iran and the Islamic Revolution”.[49]
- In late September 2016, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said he won't nominate himself because the Supreme Leader warned him his candidacy would polarize Iranian society and create harmful divisions in the country.[50]
- On 12 December 2016, Mohsen Rezaei announced that he “has no decision to run for president”.[51]
- Kamran Daneshjoo, former Science Minister and head of electoral council in 2009 election has rejected his candidacy.[52]
- Ali Akbar Salehi, former foreign minister and current Head of Atomic Energy Organization was considered as potential presidential candidate. He rejected his nomination and said that he is wiser than to nominate himself.[53]
- Parviz Fattah, President of the Imam Khomeini Relief Foundation and former Energy Minister has rejected his candidacy in 2017.[54]
- Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel, former parliament chairman announced he has no plans for the candidacy.[55]
- Sadegh Kharazi, leader of NEDA Party and former ambassador to the france announced he would not candidate if Hassan Rouhani run for the office.[56]
- Ali Larijani, chairman of the parliament has denied his candidacy. He first said he has no plans for the upcoming election in June 2016.[57] On 15 September 2016, he officially announced that he would not nominate.[58]
- Marzieh Vahid-Dastjerdi, former health minister and first female minister in the Iranian cabinet since 1979 was rumors as the potential principlists' candidate. She rejected her candidacy after the creation of JAMNA that she was elected as it's spokesperson.[59]
Campaign
Government of Islamic Republic of Iran |
---|
Debates and TV programs
From 28 April to 17 May 2017, each of the final candidates has the right to use National TV and Radio (IRIB) for their presidential election campaigns. In total, each candidate will use 405 minutes on Public TV and 285 minutes on Public Radio. This time comprises the candidates' own campaign programs as well as participation in the specific discussion shows. In addition, there will be three main live group debates on TV. The debates are held in three chapters.[60]
- Three debates with presence of all candidates. (from IRIB TV1)
- Four recorded programs for each candidates. (from IRIB TV1)
- 30 minutes live addressing. (from IRINN)
- Three 60 minutes conversation. (from Channel 3)
- One answer and question program. (from IRIB TV2)
- One conversation with Iranian diaspora. (from Jame Jam TV)
Opinion polls
- 2015
Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS), based in Virginia, asked a random sample of 735 Iranian adults aged 18 and older an open-ended question about their preference for the next president. Among all respondents, 60% were either undecided or expressed that "it is too soon for them to make a decision". The poll was conducted on 14–15 February 2015, via telephone interviews on landlines and cellular phones representing every province of Iran. The firm states with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3.6 percentage points.[61] Among those who replied a name, the results were as follows:
Preferred president | Percentage |
---|---|
Hassan Rouhani | 27(%)
|
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad | 21(%)
|
Mohammad Khatami | 11(%)
|
Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani | 10(%)
|
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf | 9(%)
|
Mohsen Rezaee | 5(%)
|
Saeed Jalili | 4(%)
|
Mohammad Javad Zarif | 2(%)
|
- 2016
Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS), based in Virginia, asked a random sample of 1,077 Iranian adults aged 18 and older about the next presidential election. The poll was conducted on 11–24 March 2016 (excluding March 20) via telephone interviews on landlines and cellular phones. The firm states with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.[62] The results also indicates that respondents with university education prefer Rouhani by a wide margin and Ahmadinejad has a slight advantage in rural areas. Data analysis does demonstrate a statistically meaningful relationship between respondents’ party affiliation and their presidential vote, those self-identify as principlist are most likely to vote for Ahmainejad, while reformists and moderates remain loyal to Rouhani. Among those who claim no affiliation, Ahmadinejad would beat Rouhani.[62]
Preferred president | Percentage |
---|---|
Hassan Rouhani | 41(%)
|
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad | 29(%)
|
None of the above/Others | 10(%)
|
Undecided/Don't Know | 15(%)
|
No Answer | 5(%)
|
- 2017
- On 13 March 2017, Iranian Students' Polling Agency (ISPA), affiliated with the Academic Center for Education, Culture and Research announced results of its recent turnoutpoll in Tehran. 41.9% surely to vote in the presidential election, 18.8% are most likely to vote while 11% said it is not much likely. 16% will not vote under no circumstances and 12% are undecided.[63]
References
- ^ "Iran's Khamenei hits out at Rafsanjani in rare public rebuke". Middle East Eye.
- ^ "Khamenei says Iran must go green - Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East". Al-Monitor.
- ^ Louis Charbonneau and Parisa Hafezi (16 May 2014). "Exclusive: Iran pursues ballistic missile work, complicating nuclear talks". Reuters.
- ^ "IranWire - Asking for a Miracle: Khamenei's Economic Plan".
- ^ http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2016/08/24/481439/Iran-Leader-administration-Government-Week
- ^ http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/05/khamenei-plans-increase-iran-population.html
- ^ http://www.payvand.com/news/06/jul/1055.html
- ^ http://www.tehrantimes.com/news/407304/Leader-outlines-elections-guidelines-calls-for-transparency
- ^ http://www.stalbertgazette.com/article/GB/20110420/CP01/304209937/-1/sag0806/iranian-lawmakers-warn-ahmadinejad-to-back-intelligence-chief-as&template=cpArt
- ^ "BBC NEWS - Middle East - Iranian vice-president 'sacked'".
- ^ Karimov, F (8 May 2013). "First female candidate registered for Iranian presidential elections". Trend. Retrieved 18 June 2013.
- ^ "Iran's ban on female presidential candidates contradicts Constitution". Amnesty International. 17 May 2013. Retrieved 18 June 2013.
- ^ Iran's 2017 presidential election timeframe, Mehr News Agency, 2 August 2016, retrieved 1 January 2016
- ^ Arash Karami (31 August 2015), Will Rouhani serve a second term?, Al-Monitor, retrieved 1 January 2016
- ^ "Rouhani sure to run for president in 2017: interior minister", Tehran Times, 26 October 2016, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ "Moderation and Development Party to back Rouhani", Tehran Times, 14 January 2017, retrieved 14 January 2017
- ^ غرضی: برای انتخابات 96 کاندیدا میشوم اما شما که رای نمیدهید!, Ghatreh, 10 November 2016, retrieved 10 November 2016
- ^ a b Rohollah Faghihi (19 December 2016), Iranian conservatives unveil candidates ahead of 2017 presidential vote, Al-Monitor, retrieved 1 January 2016
- ^ «زاهدی» برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری اعلام کاندیداتوری کرد, farsnews, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ زاهدی: به تصمیمات "جمنا" وفادارم, ISNA, retrieved 3 April 2017
- ^ Three Members of Ahmadinejad Cabinet Step in for Presidential Elections, Iranian Diplomacy, 20 February 2017, retrieved 20 February 2017
- ^ Saeid Jafari (15 March 2017), Ex-IRIB chief to run for President, The Iran Project, retrieved 15 March 2016
- ^ Will Former Head of State-Run TV Challenge Hassan Rouhani in 2017 Presidential Election?, Iranian Diplomacy, 31 October 2016, retrieved 20 February 2017
- ^ Saeid Jafari (31 August 2015), Could Iran’s next president be former TV boss?, Al-Monitor, retrieved 8 February 2016
- ^ Rohollah Faghihi (21 February 2017), Meet the powerful Iranian cleric looking to unseat Rouhani, Al-Monitor, retrieved 21 February 2017
- ^ Iran’s conservatives scramble to find a presidential candidate, The Arab Weekly, 19 February 2017, retrieved 21 February 2017
- ^ Iran: Possible Conservative Presidential Candidate Emerges, Stratfor, 23 February 2017
- ^ "کاندیداتوری ابراهیم رئیسی رسما اعلام شد". 6 April 2017.
- ^ www.homayounfard.com
- ^ http://fr.paris.mfa.ir
- ^ Iranian-American professor gears up for presidential election, Track Persia, 29 March 2017, retrieved 29 March 2017
- ^ "اعلام کاندیداتوری دکتر مهدی خزعلی برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری آتی". 25 March 2017.
- ^ "رد یا تأیید صلاحیت مهدی خزعلی برای او «برد – برد» است". 30 March 2017.
- ^ "وزیر احمدینژاد و امیر ارتش اعلام نامزدی کرد". 6 February 2017.
- ^ "یک «دبیرکل» اعلام کاندیداتوری کرد". 29 January 2017.
- ^ "زارعفومنی هم کاندیدای انتخابات ریاستجمهوری شد". 1 March 2017.
- ^ "یک اعتدالگرای دیگر «کاندیدای انتخابات ریاستجمهوری» شد". 2 March 2017.
- ^ "استاندار برکنار شده خوزستان برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری اعلام کاندیداتوری کرد". 29 January 2017.
- ^ "اشرفی اصفهانی کاندیداتوری خود را برای ریاست جمهوری اعلام کرد". 3 March 2017.
- ^ . 17 February 2017 [تنور انتخابات ریاست جمهوری گرم تر می شود تنور انتخابات ریاست جمهوری گرم تر می شود].
{{cite news}}
: Check|url=
value (help); Missing or empty|title=
(help) - ^ "یک اعتدالگرای دیگر کاندیدای انتخابات ریاستجمهوری شد". 4 April 2017.
- ^ "اعلام کاندیداتوری مشاور احمدینژاد". 4 April 2017.
- ^ Iran's Conservatives Grapple for Power, Stratfor, 2012, p. 32
- ^ "'Qalibaf would run for president only if all principlists agree on him'", Tehran Times, 3 January 2017, retrieved 3 January 2017
- ^ "Qalibaf: Municipality, presidential office same to me", Tehran Times, no. 12738, p. 2, 7 January 2017, retrieved 7 January 2017
- ^ "کواکبیان نامزد انتخابات ریاستجمهوری میشود". 24 February 2017.
- ^ "2017 Presidential Race: from Zarif's Candidacy to Ahmadinejad's Withdrawal", Iranian Diplomacy, 7 September 2016, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ وزیربهداشت: قرار نیست کاندیدای ریاست جمهوری شوم چون علاقه ای به سیاست ندارم (in Persian), khabaronline, 22 June 2016, retrieved 13 August 2016
- ^ "Who will be Iran's next president?", The Iran Project, 29 September 2016, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ "Iran Ex-president Ahmadinejad Says Won't Run in 2017", VOA, 27 September 2016, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ "'Mohsen Rezaee has no decision to run for president'", Tehran Times, 13 December 2016, retrieved 1 January 2017
- ^ "کاندیدای ریاستجمهوری ۹۶ نمیشوم/ وحدت نیروهای انقلاب برای بهبود وضعیت کشور ضروریست". 19 December 2016.
- ^ "صالحی در واکنش به شایعه کاندیداتوریاش در انتخابات آتی ریاست جمهوری: عاقلتر از آن هستم که کاندیدا شوم". 27 September 2016.
- ^ "فتاح: کاندیدای انتخابات ریاستجمهوری نمیشوم". 2 June 2016.
- ^ "حدادعادل: کاندیدای ریاستجمهوری نمیشوم". 2 February 2017.
- ^ "صادق خرازی: هیچ گاه نگفتم در انتخابات ۹۶ رقیب روحانی خواهم شد". 20 March 2016.
- ^ "علی لاریجانی: برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری برنامهای ندارم". 29 June 2016.
{{cite news}}
: line feed character in|title=
at position 14 (help) - ^ "برای انتخابات ریاست جمهوری نامزد نمیشوم". 15 September 2016.
- ^ "دستجردی: بحث کاندیداتوری بنده دروغ محض است/ مجمع عمومی ملی 14 بهمن برگزار میشود". 19 December 2016.
- ^ "فرصت های انتخاباتی نامزدهای ریاست جمهوری در صداوسیما". 2 March 2017.
- ^ a b "Ahmadinejad Upsets Rohani's Path to Re-election in 2017". Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS). 4 March 2015. Retrieved 26 December 2015.
- ^ a b c "2017 Presidential Elections: Rouhani 41%, Ahmadinejad 29%". Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS). 25 May 2016. Retrieved 25 May 2016.
- ^ "نتایج نظرسنجی ایسپا نشان داد؛ عدم اعتماد مردم به برگزاری انتخابات الکترونیکی" (in Persian). Iranian Students' Polling Agency (ISPA). 25 March 2017. Retrieved 13 March 2017.