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Restore "Major modern virus pandemics" scope as expressed within the table title. Renaming is underway, as expressed in the talkpage. Join the conversation if wanted. |
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This template is used in [[Special:WhatLinksHere/Template:Notable_flu_pandemics|these pages]]. |
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|+ Major modern |
|+ Major modern virus pandemics<ref>{{cite journal |vauthors=Hilleman MR |title=Realities and enigmas of human viral influenza: pathogenesis, epidemiology and control |journal=Vaccine |volume=20 |issue=25–26 |pages=3068–87 |date=August 2002 |pmid=12163258 |doi=10.1016/S0264-410X(02)00254-2}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal | vauthors=Potter CW | title=A History of Influenza | journal=J Appl Microbiol |date=October 2006 |volume=91 |issue= 4 | pages = 572–79 | pmid = 11576290| doi=10.1046/j.1365-2672.2001.01492.x | ref =harv}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/pandemic10things/en/index.html |publisher=World Health Organization |date=14 October 2005 |title=Ten things you need to know about pandemic influenza |accessdate=26 September 2009 |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20090923231756/http://www.who.int/csr/disease/influenza/pandemic10things/en/index.html |archivedate=23 September 2009 |url-status=dead |df=dmy }}</ref> ({{navbar|Notable flu pandemics|mini=1|nodiv=1}}) |
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! [[1918 flu]]<ref>{{cite journal |vauthors=Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M |title=Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza |journal=Nature |volume=432 |issue=7019 |pages=904–06 |date=December 2004 |pmid=15602562 |doi=10.1038/nature03063 |bibcode=2004Natur.432..904M }}</ref> |
! [[1918 Spanish flu]]<ref>{{cite journal |vauthors=Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M |title=Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza |journal=Nature |volume=432 |issue=7019 |pages=904–06 |date=December 2004 |pmid=15602562 |doi=10.1038/nature03063 |bibcode=2004Natur.432..904M }}</ref> |
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| 1918–20 |
| 1918–20 |
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| 1.80 billion |
| 1.80 billion |
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| 33% (500 million)<ref>{{Cite journal|vauthors=Taubenberger JK, Morens DM|date=January 2006|title=1918 Influenza: the mother of all pandemics|journal=Emerging Infectious Diseases|volume=12|issue=1|pages=15–22|doi=10.3201/eid1201.050979|pmc=3291398|pmid=16494711}}</ref> |
| 33% (500 million)<ref>{{Cite journal|vauthors=Taubenberger JK, Morens DM|date=January 2006|title=1918 Influenza: the mother of all pandemics|journal=Emerging Infectious Diseases|volume=12|issue=1|pages=15–22|doi=10.3201/eid1201.050979|pmc=3291398|pmid=16494711}}</ref> |
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| 20<ref name=":0" /><ref name="WHOpandemic2009">{{cite web|url=https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/44123/9789241547680_eng.pdf|title=Pandemic influenza preparedness and response : a who guidance document 2009|last=|first=|date=2009|website=|publisher=|pages=13|url-status=live|archiveurl=|archivedate=|accessdate=|ISBN=9789241547680}}</ref>–100<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Morens|first=David M.|last2=Fauci|first2=Anthony S.|date=2007-04-01|title=The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Insights for the 21st Century|url=https://academic.oup.com/jid/article/195/7/1018/800918|journal=The Journal of Infectious Diseases|language=en|volume=195|issue=7|pages=1018–1028|doi=10.1086/511989|issn=0022-1899}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Johnson|first=Niall P. A. S.|last2=Mueller|first2=Juergen|date=2002|title=Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" influenza pandemic|url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11875246|journal=Bulletin of the History of Medicine|volume=76|issue=1|pages=105–115|doi=10.1353/bhm.2002.0022|issn=0007-5140|pmid=11875246}}</ref>{{nbsp}}million |
| 20<ref name=":0" /><ref name="WHOpandemic2009">{{cite web|url=https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/44123/9789241547680_eng.pdf|title=Pandemic influenza preparedness and response : a who guidance document 2009|last=|first=|date=2009|website=|publisher=|pages=13|url-status=live|archiveurl=|archivedate=|accessdate=|ISBN=9789241547680}}</ref>–100<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Morens|first=David M.|last2=Fauci|first2=Anthony S.|date=2007-04-01|title=The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Insights for the 21st Century|url=https://academic.oup.com/jid/article/195/7/1018/800918|journal=The Journal of Infectious Diseases|language=en|volume=195|issue=7|pages=1018–1028|doi=10.1086/511989|issn=0022-1899}}</ref><ref>{{Cite journal|last=Johnson|first=Niall P. A. S.|last2=Mueller|first2=Juergen|date=2002|title=Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" influenza pandemic|url=https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/11875246|journal=Bulletin of the History of Medicine|volume=76|issue=1|pages=105–115|doi=10.1353/bhm.2002.0022|issn=0007-5140|pmid=11875246}}</ref>{{nbsp}}million |
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| 4–20%<ref name=":0" /> |
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| style="background:#ff6060;"| 5 |
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| 11%<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/> (800{{nbsp}}million; USA, 34-49{{nbsp}}million<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/>) |
| 11%<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/> (800{{nbsp}}million; USA, 34-49{{nbsp}}million<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/>) |
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| 0.45-1.2 million (USA: 20–52,000<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/>) |
| 0.45-1.2 million (USA: 20–52,000<ref name="ongoing" group="t"/>) |
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![[2019–20 coronavirus pandemic|2019–20 coronavirus]]<ref>{{Cite news|last=Grady|first=Denise|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/29/health/coronavirus-flu.html|title=How Does the Coronavirus Compare to the Flu?|date=2020-02-29|work=The New York Times|access-date=2020-03-01|language=en-US|issn=0362-4331}}</ref><!-- [[Coronavirus disease 2019|COVID-19]] (disease)--> |
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| 2019–20 |
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| 7.75 billion |
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| [[Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2|SARS-CoV-2]] |
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| 2.2 (95% CI:1.4–3.9)<ref name="Qun2020">{{Cite journal|last=Li|first=Qun|last2=Guan|first2=Xuhua|last3=Wu|first3=Peng|last4=Wang|first4=Xiaoye|last5=Zhou|first5=Lei|last6=Tong|first6=Yeqing|last7=Ren|first7=Ruiqi|last8=Leung|first8=Kathy S.M.|last9=Lau|first9=Eric H.Y.|last10=Wong|first10=Jessica Y.|last11=Xing|first11=Xuesen|date=2020-01-29|title=Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia|url=https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316|journal=New England Journal of Medicine|volume=0|issue=0|pages=null|doi=10.1056/NEJMoa2001316|issn=0028-4793}}</ref><ref name="Fauci2020">{{Cite journal|last=Fauci|first=Anthony S.|last2=Lane|first2=H. Clifford|last3=Redfield|first3=Robert R.|date=2020-02-28|title=Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted|url=https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMe2002387|journal=New England Journal of Medicine|volume=0|issue=0|pages=null|doi=10.1056/NEJMe2002387|issn=0028-4793}}</ref> |
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2.68 (95% CI:2.47–2.86)<ref>{{Cite journal|last=Wu|first=Joseph T.|last2=Leung|first2=Kathy|last3=Leung|first3=Gabriel M.|date=2020-02-29|title=Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study|url=https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/abstract|journal=The Lancet|language=English|volume=395|issue=10225|pages=689–697|doi=10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9|issn=0140-6736|pmid=32014114}}</ref> |
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| 0.003% (198,155+)<ref name=":2" /> |
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| 7,954+<ref name=":2">{{Cite web|url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:2019%E2%80%9320_coronavirus_outbreak_data|title=2019–20 coronavirus outbreak data by countries|last=Wikipedian editors|first=|date=|website=|url-status=live|archive-url=|archive-date=|access-date=}}</ref> |
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| ~4.01%<ref name=":2" /> |
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| {{N/A}}{{clarify|date=March 2020}} |
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| colspan="9" style="text-align:left;" | '''Notes''' |
| colspan="9" style="text-align:left;" | '''Notes''' |
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* 1918 flu, people infected numbers (500 million), mortality rate (2~3%) contradict the deaths worldwite "20-100 million" statments. Review needed. Lead : Johnson NPAS, Mueller (2002) "Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 Spanish Influenza Pandemic". |
* 1918 flu, people infected numbers (500 million), mortality rate (2~3%) contradict the deaths worldwite "20-100 million" statments. Review needed. Lead : Johnson NPAS, Mueller (2002) "Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 Spanish Influenza Pandemic". |
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* {{Cite journal|last=Kilbourne|first=Edwin D.|title=Influenza Pandemics of the 20th Century|volume=12|number=1|pages=9-14|date=2006|journal=Emerging Infectious Diseases journal|publisher=[[Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]]|url=https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/1/05-1254_article|language=en-us|doi=10.3201/eid1201.051254}} : considers 1918, 1957, 1968 as pandemic ; 1947 (H1N1), 1976 (H1N1), 1977 (H1N1) as pseudopandemic. |
* {{Cite journal|last=Kilbourne|first=Edwin D.|title=Influenza Pandemics of the 20th Century|volume=12|number=1|pages=9-14|date=2006|journal=Emerging Infectious Diseases journal|publisher=[[Centers for Disease Control and Prevention]]|url=https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/1/05-1254_article|language=en-us|doi=10.3201/eid1201.051254}} : considers 1918, 1957, 1968 as pandemic ; 1947 (H1N1), 1976 (H1N1), 1977 (H1N1) as pseudopandemic. |
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== See also == |
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* [[Template:Coronavirus data/Patients characteristics2]] |
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== References == |
== References == |
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{{reflist}} |
{{reflist}} |
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[[fr:Template:Pandémies majeures de grippes et coronavirus]] |
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Revision as of 07:46, 19 March 2020
This template is considered for renaming. See talkpage.
This template is used in these pages.
Name | Date | World pop. | Subtype | Reproduction rate[4] | Infected (est.) | Deaths worldwide | Case fatality rate | Pandemic severity |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1889–90 flu pandemic[5] | 1889–90 | 1.53 billion | Likely H3N8 or H2N2 | 2.10 (IQR, 1.9–2.4)[5] | 20–60%[5] (300–900 million) | 1 million | 0.10–0.28%[5] | 2 |
1918 Spanish flu[6] | 1918–20 | 1.80 billion | H1N1 | 1.80 (IQR, 1.47–2.27) | 33% (500 million)[7] | 20[8][9]–100[10][11] million | 4–20%[8] | 5 |
Asian flu | 1957–58 | 2.90 billion | H2N2 | 1.65 (IQR, 1.53–1.70) | 8–33% (0.25 – 1 billion) | 1–4 million[8] | <0.2%[8] | 2 |
Hong Kong flu | 1968–69 | 3.53 billion | H3N2 | 1.80 (IQR, 1.56–1.85) | 7–28% (0.25 – 1 billion) | 1–4 million[8] | <0.2%[8] | 2 |
Russian flu | 1977–78 | 4.28 billion | H1N1 | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown | Unknown |
2009 flu pandemic[12][13] | 2009–10 | 6.85 billion | H1N1/09 | 1.46 (IQR, 1.30–1.70) | 11-21% (0.7–1.4 billion)[14] | 151,700–575,400[15] | 0.03%[16] | 1 |
Typical seasonal flu[t 1] | Every year | 7.75 billion | A/H3N2, A/H1N1, B, ... | 1.28 (IQR, 1.19–1.37) | 5–15% (340 million – 1 billion)[17] 3–11% or 5–20%[18][19] (240 million–1.6 billion) |
290,000–650,000/year[20] | <0.1%[21] | 1 |
2019–20 seasonal flu[22][23][t 2] | 2019–20 | 7.75 billion | A(H1N1)pdm09, B/Victoria, A(H3N2) | Unknown | 11%[t 2] (800 million; USA, 34-49 million[t 2]) | 0.45-1.2 million (USA: 20–52,000[t 2]) | 1 | |
2019–20 coronavirus[24] | 2019–20 | 7.75 billion | SARS-CoV-2 | 2.2 (95% CI:1.4–3.9)[25][26]
2.68 (95% CI:2.47–2.86)[27] |
0.003% (198,155+)[28] | 7,954+[28] | ~4.01%[28] | —[clarification needed] |
Notes |
Notes
- 1889-90 flu, People infected (est.) number : please review source. There are two diverging statments. 20–60% vs 60% (45–70%). Which one is more relevant ?
- 1918 flu, people infected numbers (500 million), mortality rate (2~3%) contradict the deaths worldwite "20-100 million" statments. Review needed. Lead : Johnson NPAS, Mueller (2002) "Updating the Accounts: Global Mortality of the 1918-1920 Spanish Influenza Pandemic".
- Kilbourne, Edwin D. (2006). "Influenza Pandemics of the 20th Century". Emerging Infectious Diseases journal. 12 (1). Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: 9–14. doi:10.3201/eid1201.051254. : considers 1918, 1957, 1968 as pandemic ; 1947 (H1N1), 1976 (H1N1), 1977 (H1N1) as pseudopandemic.
See also
References
- ^ Hilleman MR (August 2002). "Realities and enigmas of human viral influenza: pathogenesis, epidemiology and control". Vaccine. 20 (25–26): 3068–87. doi:10.1016/S0264-410X(02)00254-2. PMID 12163258.
- ^ Potter CW (October 2006). "A History of Influenza". J Appl Microbiol. 91 (4): 572–79. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2672.2001.01492.x. PMID 11576290.
{{cite journal}}
: Invalid|ref=harv
(help) - ^ "Ten things you need to know about pandemic influenza". World Health Organization. 14 October 2005. Archived from the original on 23 September 2009. Retrieved 26 September 2009.
- ^ Biggerstaff, Matthew; Cauchemez, Simon; Reed, Carrie; Gambhir, Manoj; Finelli, Lyn (2014-09-04). "Estimates of the reproduction number for seasonal, pandemic, and zoonotic influenza: a systematic review of the literature". BMC Infectious Diseases. 14 (1): 480. doi:10.1186/1471-2334-14-480. ISSN 1471-2334. PMC 4169819. PMID 25186370.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link) - ^ a b c d Valleron AJ, Cori A, Valtat S, Meurisse S, Carrat F, Boëlle PY (May 2010). "Transmissibility and geographic spread of the 1889 influenza pandemic". Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 107 (19): 8778–81. Bibcode:2010PNAS..107.8778V. doi:10.1073/pnas.1000886107. PMC 2889325. PMID 20421481.
- ^ Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M (December 2004). "Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza". Nature. 432 (7019): 904–06. Bibcode:2004Natur.432..904M. doi:10.1038/nature03063. PMID 15602562.
- ^ Taubenberger JK, Morens DM (January 2006). "1918 Influenza: the mother of all pandemics". Emerging Infectious Diseases. 12 (1): 15–22. doi:10.3201/eid1201.050979. PMC 3291398. PMID 16494711.
- ^ a b c d e f "Report of the Review Committee on the Functioning of the International Health Regulations (2005) in relation to Pandemic (H1N1) 2009" (PDF). 2011-05-05. p. 37. Archived (PDF) from the original on 14 May 2015. Retrieved 1 March 2015.
- ^ "Pandemic influenza preparedness and response : a who guidance document 2009" (PDF). 2009. p. 13. ISBN 9789241547680.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - ^ Morens, David M.; Fauci, Anthony S. (2007-04-01). "The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Insights for the 21st Century". The Journal of Infectious Diseases. 195 (7): 1018–1028. doi:10.1086/511989. ISSN 0022-1899.
- ^ Johnson, Niall P. A. S.; Mueller, Juergen (2002). "Updating the accounts: global mortality of the 1918-1920 "Spanish" influenza pandemic". Bulletin of the History of Medicine. 76 (1): 105–115. doi:10.1353/bhm.2002.0022. ISSN 0007-5140. PMID 11875246.
- ^ Donaldson LJ, Rutter PD, Ellis BM, et al. (December 2009). "Mortality from pandemic A/H1N1 2009 influenza in England: public health surveillance study". BMJ. 339: b5213. doi:10.1136/bmj.b5213. PMC 2791802. PMID 20007665.
- ^ "First Global Estimates of 2009 H1N1 Pandemic Mortality Released by CDC-Led Collaboration". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). 25 June 2012. Retrieved 7 July 2012.
- ^ Kelly, Heath; Peck, Heidi A.; Laurie, Karen L.; Wu, Peng; Nishiura, Hiroshi; Cowling, Benjamin J. (2011-08-05). "The Age-Specific Cumulative Incidence of Infection with Pandemic Influenza H1N1 2009 Was Similar in Various Countries Prior to Vaccination". PLOS ONE. 6 (8): e21828. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0021828. ISSN 1932-6203. PMC 3151238. PMID 21850217.
{{cite journal}}
: CS1 maint: unflagged free DOI (link) - ^ Dawood FS, Iuliano AD, Reed C, et al. (September 2012). "Estimated global mortality associated with the first 12 months of 2009 pandemic influenza A H1N1 virus circulation: a modelling study". The Lancet. Infectious Diseases. 12 (9): 687–95. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(12)70121-4. PMID 22738893.
- ^ Triggle, Nick (10 December 2009). "Swine flu less lethal than feared". BBC News. BBC News Online. Archived from the original on 13 December 2009. Retrieved 10 December 2009.
- ^ "WHO Europe – Influenza". World Health Organization (WHO). June 2009. Archived from the original on 17 June 2009. Retrieved 12 June 2009.
- ^ CDC (2019-10-28). "Key Facts About Influenza (Flu)". www.cdc.gov. citing Tokars, Olsen& Reed (2018). Retrieved 2020-03-10.
{{cite web}}
: External link in
(help)CS1 maint: url-status (link)|others=
- ^ Tokars, Jerome I.; Olsen, Sonja J.; Reed, Carrie (2018-05-02). "Seasonal Incidence of Symptomatic Influenza in the United States". Clinical Infectious Diseases. 66 (10): 1511–1518. doi:10.1093/cid/cix1060. ISSN 1058-4838. PMC 5934309. PMID 29206909.
- ^ "Influenza: Fact sheet". World Health Organization (WHO). 6 November 2018. Archived from the original on 17 December 2019. Retrieved 25 January 2020.
- ^ "H1N1 fatality rates comparable to seasonal flu". The Malaysian Insider. Washington, D.C., USA. Reuters. 17 September 2009. Archived from the original on 20 October 2009. Retrieved 26 September 2009.
- ^ CDC (2020-03-06). "Preliminary In-Season 2019-2020 Flu Burden Estimates". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Retrieved 2020-03-10.
- ^ CDC (2020-02-28). "Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report (FluView)". Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Archived from the original on 2020-08-01. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
- ^ Grady, Denise (2020-02-29). "How Does the Coronavirus Compare to the Flu?". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-03-01.
- ^ Li, Qun; Guan, Xuhua; Wu, Peng; Wang, Xiaoye; Zhou, Lei; Tong, Yeqing; Ren, Ruiqi; Leung, Kathy S.M.; Lau, Eric H.Y.; Wong, Jessica Y.; Xing, Xuesen (2020-01-29). "Early Transmission Dynamics in Wuhan, China, of Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia". New England Journal of Medicine. 0 (0): null. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2001316. ISSN 0028-4793.
- ^ Fauci, Anthony S.; Lane, H. Clifford; Redfield, Robert R. (2020-02-28). "Covid-19 — Navigating the Uncharted". New England Journal of Medicine. 0 (0): null. doi:10.1056/NEJMe2002387. ISSN 0028-4793.
- ^ Wu, Joseph T.; Leung, Kathy; Leung, Gabriel M. (2020-02-29). "Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China: a modelling study". The Lancet. 395 (10225): 689–697. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30260-9. ISSN 0140-6736. PMID 32014114.
- ^ a b c Wikipedian editors. "2019–20 coronavirus outbreak data by countries".
{{cite web}}
:|last=
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