Wikimucker (talk | contribs) m →Candidates' debates: add reflink |
Ok, let us apply 3RR then: Wikimucker, with this edit you have already breached the 3RR policy. As per talk page, you are summarily warned on the consequences that such a behaviour may have on you. I am not reporting you at WP:AN3 out of courtesy because of a lack of proper earlier warning, but this does not preclude any administrator from blocking you if they spot this, because this issue was actually in discussion at the talk page and you should have known better as an experienced user |
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==Opinion polls== |
==Opinion polls== |
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{{Main|Opinion polling for the 2020 Irish general election}} |
{{Main|Opinion polling for the 2020 Irish general election}} |
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<!-- Opinion polls are listed by default in reverse chronological order - latest first - but users can sort the table. In order to preserve the ability to sort by polling company, please increment the relevant data-sort-value by one each time you add a new poll. So a new Behaviour & Attitudes poll would become "B&A14" if the last one was "B&A13". Please also wikilink the most recent poll (link goes to the publishing media outlet, piped to show the commissioning publisher and polling company) and please also unlink the prior poll from that company. --> |
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<!-- Talk page consensus is to NOT add "events" such as party leadership changes. --> |
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{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;" |
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|- style="height:42px; background-color:#E9E9E9" |
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! style="width:110px;" rowspan="2"| Last date<br/>of polling |
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! style="width:300px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm / Commissioner |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample<br>size |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Fine Gael|FG]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Fianna Fáil|FF]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Sinn Féin|SF]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Labour Party (Ireland)|Lab]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Solidarity–People Before Profit|S–PBP]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Social Democrats (Ireland)|SD]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Green Party (Ireland)|GP]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Renua|RI]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;"| [[Independent Alliance (Ireland)|IA]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| {{abbr|O/I|Others/Independents}}<ref group="nb" name="i4cpoll01">This column includes figures for [[Independents 4 Change]] and [[Aontú]] when available.</ref> |
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|- |
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! style="background:{{Fine Gael/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Fianna Fáil/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Sinn Féin/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Labour Party (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Solidarity–People Before Profit/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Social Democrats (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Green Party (Ireland)/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Renua Ireland/meta/color}};"| |
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! style="background:{{Independents/meta/color}};"| |
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|- |
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|18 January 2020 |
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|[[The Irish Times|Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times]]<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/election-2020-ff-edges-ahead-of-fg-as-sf-surges-in-new-ipsos-mrbi-poll-1.4145946?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/election-2020-ff-edges-ahead-of-fg-as-sf-surges-in-new-ipsos-mrbi-poll-1.4145946?mode=sample&auth-failed=1&pw-origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.irishtimes.com%2Felection2020%2Felection-2020-ff-edges-ahead-of-fg-as-sf-surges-in-new-ipsos-mrbi-poll-1.4145946|title=Irish Times poll January 2020: FF edges ahead of FG as SF surges in new Ipsos MRBI poll|last=Editor|first=Pat Leahy Political|website=The Irish Times|language=en|access-date=20 January 2020}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal January 2020">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=20 January 2019 |accessdate=20 January 2019}}</ref> |
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|1,200 |
|||
|23 |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0" |'''25''' |
|||
|21 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|8 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
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|14 January 2020 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A41" |[[The Times, Ireland edition|Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times]]<ref name="SundayTimes-BA14-01-20" group="p">{{cite news |last1=Cunningham |first1=Paul |title=Opinion poll suggests Fianna Fáil has 12-point lead on Fine Gael |url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2020/0119/1108375-opinion-poll-sunday-times/ |accessdate=19 January 2020 |publisher=RTÉ News |date=19 January 2020}}</ref> <ref group="p" name="FullPollData202001219">{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.1597-Sunday-Times-Jan-2020-Report.pdf|title=Sunday Times January 2020 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|publisher=B&A|date=19 January 2020|access-date=20 January 2020}}</ref> |
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|923 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0" |'''32''' |
|||
|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
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|17 December 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A40" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/1221/1102618-opinion-poll-sunday-times/|title=Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil neck and neck - poll|publisher=RTÉ News|date=22 December 2019|access-date=22 December 2019}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20191127">{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.1508-Sunday-Times-Dec-2019-Report-V2.pdf|title=Sunday Times December 2019 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|publisher=B&A|date=23 December 2019|access-date=14 January 2020}}</ref> |
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|936 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''27''' |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0" |'''27''' |
|||
|20 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|2 |
|||
|9<ref group="nb" name="0pc">Aontú is on 0%.</ref><ref group="nb">The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|21 November 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="RedC36" |[[The Sunday Business Post|Red C/The Sunday Business Post]]<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.thejournal.ie/opinion-poll-politics-ireland-4904368-Nov2019/|title=Fine Gael support drops but it's still the most popular party, according to poll|first=Órla|last=Ryan|website=TheJournal.ie}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20191121">{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/SBP-November-2019-Poll-Report.pdf|title=RedC Nov 2019 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=14 January 2020}}</ref> |
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|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''30''' |
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|24 |
|||
|11 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
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|4 |
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|14<ref group="nb" name="Aontu1pc">Aontú has 1%.</ref> |
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|- |
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|12 November 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A39" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.1444-Sunday-Times-Nov-2019-Report.pdf|title=Sunday Times November 2019 Report|publisher=Behaviour and Attitudes|date=12 November 2019|access-date=23 December 2019}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20171112">{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.1444-Sunday-Times-Nov-2019-Report.pdf|title=Sunday Times November 2019 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|publisher=B&A|date=12 November 2019|access-date=14 January 2020}}</ref> |
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|923 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''27''' |
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|25 |
|||
|17 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|11<ref group="nb" name="0pc">Aontú is on 0%.</ref><ref group="nb">The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|24 October 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="RedC35" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{Cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/uncategorized/fianna-fail-support-plunges-votegate-455775|title=Fianna Fáil support plunges after ‘Votegate’ {{!}} BusinessPost.ie|last=Brennan|first=Michael|website=www.businesspost.ie|access-date=2019-10-26}}</ref> <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20191024">{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/SBP-October-2019-Poll-Report.pdf|title=RedC Oct 2019 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=23 January 2020}}</ref> |
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|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|11 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|15<ref group="nb" name="Aontu1pc"/> |
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|- |
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|15 October 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A38" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/1019/1084445-opinion-poll-sunday-times/|title=Poll suggests Fine Gael overtakes Fianna Fáil as most popular party|publisher=RTÉ News|date=19 October 2019|accessdate=20 October 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|? |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''29''' |
|||
|28 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|9<ref group="nb" name="0pc">Aontú is on 0%.</ref><ref group="nb">The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|13 October 2019 |
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|[[The Irish Times|Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times]]<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-varadkar-s-approval-rating-rises-above-50-1.4050285|title=Irish Times poll: Varadkar’s approval rating rises above 50%|last=Editor|first=Pat Leahy Political|website=The Irish Times|language=en|access-date=2019-10-26}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal October 2019">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=13 October 2019 |accessdate=14 January 2019}}</ref> |
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|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''29''' |
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|25 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|8 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
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|<1 |
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|14 |
|||
|- |
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|17 September 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A37" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0921/1077374-sunday-times-poll/|title=Opinion poll suggests three-point lead for Fianna Fáil over Fine Gael|publisher=RTÉ News|date=21 September 2019|accessdate=25 September 2019}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.1293-Sunday-Times-Sept-2019-Report.pdf|title=Sunday Times September 2019 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|access-date=25 September 2019}}</ref> |
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|929 |
|||
|26 |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''29''' |
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|20 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|4 |
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|10<ref group="nb" name="0pc"/><ref group="nb">The 10% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|12 September 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="RedC34" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/surge-fianna-fail-support-ahead-impending-general-election-452330|title=Surge in Fianna Fáil support ahead of impending general election|last=Brennan|first=Michael|publisher=Sunday Business Post|date=15 September 2019|access-date=15 September 2019}}</ref> |
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|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''29''' |
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|28 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
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|13<ref group="nb" name="0pc"/><ref group="nb">The 13% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|16 July 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A36" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0720/1064259-opinion-poll-fianna-fail-leads-fine-gael/|title=Fianna Fáil still most popular party in latest opinion poll|publisher=RTÉ News|date=20 July 2019|accessdate=20 July 2019}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Report-July-2019.pdf|title=Sunday Times July 2019 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|access-date=21 July 2019}}</ref> |
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|902 |
|||
|26 |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''30''' |
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|14 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|8 |
|||
|- |
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|11 June 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A35" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0615/1055557-opinion-poll/|title=Five-point lead for Fianna Fáil|publisher=RTÉ News|date=15 June 2019|accessdate=15 June 2019}}</ref> |
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|900 |
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|23 |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''28''' |
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|12 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|11 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
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| 24 May 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="RedC33" |[[RTÉ|Red C/RTÉ/TG4]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/378419-RTE-Exit-Poll-European-Elections-Local-Elections-and-Divorce-Referendum-le-Gaeilge-FINAL.pdf|title=378419 – RTE – Exit Poll – European Elections, Local Elections and Divorce Referendum – le Gaeilge FINAL|last=|first=|publisher=Red C|date=24 May 2019|access-date=24 May 2019}}</ref> |
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| 2,671 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''26''' |
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| 23 |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
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|16 May 2019 |
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| data-sort-value="RedC32" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref name=RTE2019-05-18a/><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/SBP-May-2019-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=Red C 2019 Poll|date=16 May 2019|website=Red C Research|access-date=21 July 2019}}</ref> |
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|2,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''28''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|16<ref group="nb" name="Aontu2pc">Aontú is on 2%.</ref><ref group="nb" name="OIcalc-RedC32">The 16% figure for 'Others/Independents' is got by adding the cited 2% for Aontú to the 14% cited for 'other Independent candidates'. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
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|14 May 2019 |
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|data-sort-value="B&A35" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref name=RTE2019-05-18a>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0518/1050288-opinion-polls/|title=Greens gain as two polls released ahead of elections|language=en|last=Cunningham|first=Paul|authorlink=Paul Cunningham (journalist)|publisher=RTÉ News|date=18 May 2019|access-date=19 May 2019}}</ref> |
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|933 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''28''' |
|||
|style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''28''' |
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|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|8 May 2019 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos10" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/fine-gael-approval-dips-as-fianna-f%C3%A1il-and-labour-gain-ground-1.3888006|title=Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll shows gains for Independents, but decline for Sinn Féin|language=en|last=Corcoran|first=Aisling |newspaper=The Irish Times|date=11May 2019|access-date=13 May 2019|quote=Aisling Corcoran is a director of Ipsos MRBI}}</ref> |
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|1,500 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''29''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="OI-includes01a"/> |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="OI-includes01a"/> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="OI-includes01a"/> |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="OI-includes01a"/> |
|||
|18<ref group="nb" name="OI-includes01a">The 18% figure shown for Independents/Others is calculated by subtracting the cited source's 4% for the Greens from that source's 22% for Independents and all other parties except Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin, and Labour, so the 18% figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects. The cited source does not give figures for other parties or alliances, but states that it includes the Green Party, Social Democrats and Solidarity-PBP.</ref> |
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|- |
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|17 April 2019 |
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| data-sort-value="RedC31" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref name=RTE2019-04-20a/> |
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|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''33''' |
|||
|23 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|2 |
|||
|17<ref group="nb" name="Aontu1pc" /><ref group="nb" name="OIcalc">A figure for 'Others/Independents' is not mentioned in the cited source, but has been calculated by subtracting the other parties from 100%, so the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to [[rounding]] effects.</ref> |
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|- |
|||
|16 April 2019 |
|||
|data-sort-value="B&A34" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref name=RTE2019-04-20a>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2019/0420/1043760-opinion-polls/|title=New opinion polls carry conflicting news for Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil|language=en|last=Kenny|first=Aisling|publisher=RTÉ News|date=20 April 2019|access-date=20 April 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|933 |
|||
|28 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''29''' |
|||
|21 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|28 March 2019 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC30" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0330/1039630-poll-politics/|title=Support for Sinn Féin drops five points, poll suggests|language=en|last=Regan|first=Mary|authorlink=Mary Regan|publisher=RTÉ News|date=30 March 2019|access-date=31 March 2019}}</ref> |
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|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''31''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0<ref group="nb" name="RenuaUnder1pc">Renua has less than 1%.</ref> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|15<ref group="nb" name="AontuUnder1pc">Aontú has less than 1%.</ref> |
|||
|- |
|||
|12 March 2019 |
|||
|data-sort-value="B&A33" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0316/1036878-opinion-poll-politics/|title=Fine Gael extends gap over Fianna Fáil, poll suggests|language=en|last=McMorrow|first=Conor|publisher=RTÉ News|date=16 March 2019|access-date=18 March 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|930 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''31''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|5 March 2019 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos09" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-varadkar-s-approval-rating-slumps-to-lowest-level-1.3816907|title=Irish Times poll: Varadkar’s approval rating slumps to lowest level|language=en|last=Leahy|first=Pat|newspaper=The Irish Times|date=7 March 2019|access-date=7 March 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''30''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|20 February 2019 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC29" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/sinn-fein-soars-motion-no-confidence-simon-harris-437625|title=Sinn Féin soars after its motion of no confidence in Simon Harris {{!}} BusinessPost.ie|last=Brennan|first=Michael|website=www.businesspost.ie|access-date=23 February 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''31''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|18 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|- |
|||
|12 February 2019 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A32" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite journal|last=McCarthy|first=Justin|date=16 February 2019|title=FG and FF support unchanged after strike, poll suggests|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2019/0216/1031028-political-poll/|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|910 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''30''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|18 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|- |
|||
|24 January 2019 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC28" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/obraonain/status/1089206078888427520|title=Latest #sbpoll @sundaybusiness @REDCResearch results.|last=Brennan|first=Michael|date=26 January 2019|website=@obraonain|language=en|access-date=27 January 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|22 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|- |
|||
|15 January 2019 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A31" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2019/0119/1024308-politics-poll/|work=RTE.ie|access-date=19 January 2019|language=en|title=Drop in support for Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin gains three points - poll}}</ref> |
|||
|907 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''30''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|2 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|21 December 2018 |
|||
|Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/emmajhade/status/1085812844652912640?s=19|title=Emma Jane Hade on Twitter|last=Hade|first=Emma Jane|date=17 January 2019|website=@emmajhade|language=en|access-date=18 January 2019}}</ref> |
|||
|1,546 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|23 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|<ref name="iapoll" group="nb" /> |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|18 December 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A30" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1222/1018759-opinion-poll-sunday-times/|work=RTE.ie|access-date=22 December 2018|language=en|title=Drop in support for Sinn Féin, opinion poll suggests}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/sob999/status/1076537600624738305?s=19|title=Stephen O'Brien on Twitter|last=O'Brien|first=Stephen|date=22 December 2018|website=@sob999|language=en|access-date=22 December 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|911 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''31''' |
|||
|29 |
|||
|17 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|2 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|13 December 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB07" |[[Sunday Independent (Ireland)|Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent]]<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/poll-public-becoming-increasingly-dissatisfied-with-varadkar-and-fine-gael-37629736.html|title=Poll: Public becoming increasingly dissatisfied with Varadkar and Fine Gael|last=Ryan|first=Philip|work=Independent.ie|date=16 December 2018|access-date=16 December 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/1215/1017400-sunday-opinion-poll/|title=Fine Gael remains most popular party, opinion poll suggests|last=Lehane|first=Mícheál|work=RTÉ|date=15 December 2018|access-date=16 December 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|920 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|- |
|||
|22 November 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC27" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/oconnellhugh/status/1066375899732357120|title=Hugh O'Connell on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=24 November 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''34''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|13 November 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A29" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/sob999/status/1063898742141657088|title=Stephen O'Brien on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=17 November 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/1117/1011611-opinion-poll-stimes/|title=Gap between main parties narrows, new poll suggests|date=17 November 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=17 November 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|905 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''30''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|23 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|26 October 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC26" |[[RTÉ|Red C/RTÉ News]]<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/presidential-election/2018/1027/1007006-exit-poll/|title=Red C poll: Exit poll: 61% of voters think term of presidency should be reduced|last=|first=|publisher=RTÉ News|date=26 October 2018|access-date=27 October 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://static.rasset.ie/documents/news/2018/10/296718-rte-exit-poll-oct-2018-final-report.pdf|title=Presidential Election & Blasphemy Referendum Exit Poll 26th October 2018|date=26 October 2018|accessdate=30 October 2018|publisher=Red C/RTÉ|page=31|quote=First Preference Vote Intention – 26th October 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|3,474 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''35''' |
|||
|22 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|7 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|11<ref group="nb" name="i4cpoll02">This figure includes 2% for [[Independents 4 Change]].</ref> |
|||
|- |
|||
|17 October 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC25" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/red-c-poll-budget-bounce-fianna-fail-government-emerges-unscathed-naughten-resignation-428645|title=Red C poll: Budget bounce for Fianna Fáil while government emerges unscathed from Naughten resignation|last=Brennan|first=Michael|publisher=Sunday Business Post|date=20 October 2018|access-date=20 October 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''33''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|16 October 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A28" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-October-Report-2018.pdf|title=Sunday Times October 2018 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian|access-date=22 October 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|940 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''31''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|12 October 2018 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos08" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/poll-44-in-favour-of-general-election-1.3664554|title=Poll: 44% in favour of general election|language=en|date=16 October 2018|access-date=19 April 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''33''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|24 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|- |
|||
|10 October 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC24" |[[Paddy Power|Red C/Paddy Power]]<ref>{{cite web|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/presidential-election/2018/1012/1002685-presidential-election-poll/|title=Poll suggests significant lead for Higgins in Presidential Election|last=McMorrow|first=Conor|website=RTÉ|date=12 October 2018|access-date=12 October 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|18 September 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A27" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1043590760854179841|title=Gavan Reilly on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=22 September 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-September-Report-2018.pdf|title=B&A Sept 2018 Poll|last=McShane|first=Ian}}</ref> |
|||
|940 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|8 |
|||
|- |
|||
|13 September 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC23" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/oconnellhugh/status/1040993653580132352|title=Hugh O'Connell on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=15 September 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/fianna-fail-support-drops-ahead-dail-return-425525?preview=1|title=Fianna Fáil support drops ahead of Dáil return {{!}} BusinessPost.ie|last=Brennan|first=Michael|work=www.businesspost.ie|access-date=15 September 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/0915/993987-opinion-poll-politics/|title=FG open up 11 point gap over FF, opinion poll suggests|last=McCarthy|first=Justin|date=15 September 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=16 September 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''33''' |
|||
|22 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|24 August 2018 |
|||
|Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1040929492955549698|title=Europe Elects on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=15 September 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|942 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''29''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|<ref name="iapoll" group="nb" /> |
|||
|17 |
|||
|- |
|||
|17 July 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A26" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1020715030109712384|title=Gavan Reilly on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=21 July 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/0721/980224-opinion-poll-fianna-fail-fine-gael/|title=Two-year low in support for FF, opinion poll suggests|last=McMorrow|first=Conor|date=21 July 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=21 July 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-July-Report-2018.pdf|title=B&A July 2018 Poll PDF|last=McShane|first=Ian|date=22 July 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|931 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''34''' |
|||
|21 |
|||
|22 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|12 June 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A25" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/sob999/status/1008277310376697856|title=Stephen O'Brien on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=17 June 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-June-2018-Report.pdf|title=B&A June 2018 Poll PDF|last=McShane|first=Ian|date=June 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|931 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''31''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|24 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|16 May 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC22" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/fine-gael-emerges-unscathed-cervical-check-scandal-sinn-fein-also-rises-poll-416931?preview=1|title=Fine Gael emerges unscathed from cervical check scandal - while Sinn Féin also rises - poll {{!}} BusinessPost.ie|last=Brennan|first=Michael|work=www.businesspost.ie|access-date=19 May 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/SBP-May-2018-Poll-Report-8th-Referendum-GE-Vote-Intention-1.pdf|title=Red C May 2018 Poll|date=5 June 2018|website=Red C Research}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''34''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|15 May 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A24" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/sob999/status/997883878504370176|title=Stephen O'Brien on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=19 May 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/SundayTimes-May-2018-Report.pdf|title=May Opinion Poll 2018|date=20 May 2018| last=McShane |first=Ian|accessdate=7 June 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|935 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''30''' |
|||
|23 |
|||
|24 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|30 April 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB06" |Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/poll-mary-lou-now-a-more-popular-leader-than-michel-martin-36877015.html|title=Poll: Mary Lou now a more popular leader than Micheál Martin|author=Philip Ryan|work=Independent.ie|date=5 May 2018|access-date=6 May 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/nothing_can_be_taken_for_granted_as_referendum_poll_shows_narrow_gap.pdf|title=Kantar Millward Brown Poll data May 2018 Poll}}</ref> |
|||
|1,003 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''34''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|22 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb06poll1">Social Democrats are not mentioned.</ref> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2" /> |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|- |
|||
|26 April 2018 |
|||
|data-sort-value="RedC21" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/0428/958943-opinion-poll/|title=Fine Gael remains most popular party, opinion poll suggests|date=28 April 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=28 April 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|19 April 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A23" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.9001-Sunday-Times-April-2018-Report.pdf|title=April Opinion Poll - 18 April 2018|last=McShane|first=Ian|date=23 April 2018|website=banda.ie|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180423101056/http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.9001-Sunday-Times-April-2018-Report.pdf|archive-date=23 April 2018|url-status=|access-date=23 April 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|928 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''33''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|21 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|18 April 2018 |
|||
|Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/990840917769838592|title=Gavan Reilly on Twitter|work=Twitter|access-date=30 April 2018|language=en}}</ref> |
|||
|? |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''29''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|<ref name="iapoll" group="nb" /> |
|||
|13 |
|||
|- |
|||
|17 April 2018 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos07" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/support-for-fine-gael-and-leo-varadkar-falls-in-latest-poll-1.3466059?mode=amp|title=Support for Fine Gael and Leo Varadkar falls in latest poll|website=www.irishtimes.com|language=en|access-date=19 April 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''31''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|22 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|22 March 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC20" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/0324/949856-opinion-poll//|title=Poll suggests drop in support for Fianna Fáil |
|||
|date=24 March 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=26 March 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/SBP-March-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=Red C March 2018 Poll|date=22 March 2018|website=Red C Research}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''33''' |
|||
|24 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|13 March 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A22" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/0317/948275-opinion-poll-sinn-fein/|title=Poll suggests rise in SF support since McDonald elected|last=Dowling|first=Brian|date=17 March 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=18 March 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.8878-Sunday-Times-March-2018-Report.pdf|title=B&A March 2018 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=}}</ref> |
|||
|900 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2" /> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|22 February 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC19" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/0224/943263-redc-opinion-poll/|title=Boost in support for Fianna Fáil, opinion poll suggests|date=24 February 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=25 February 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/SBP-Feb-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=RedC Feb 2018 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=}}</ref> |
|||
|1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|29 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|14 February 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB05" | Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/fine-gael-surge-ahead-of-fianna-fail-in-latest-sunday-independent-opinion-poll-36614848.html|title=Fine Gael surge ahead of Fianna Fail in latest Sunday Independent opinion poll - Independent.ie|work=Independent.ie|access-date=18 February 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/a-snapshot-which-favours-fine-gael-while-fianna-fail-must-mind-the-gap.pdf|title=Millward Brown February 2018 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=}}</ref> |
|||
|970 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''36''' |
|||
|28 |
|||
|20 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2" /> |
|||
|3 |
|||
|11 |
|||
|- |
|||
|13 February 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A21" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://twitter.com/sob999/status/964966508169449473|title=.@FineGael hits highest level since 2011 in @SunTimesIreland @banda_ie #poll seriespic.twitter.com/yZQdamB9W8|last=O'Brien|first=Stephen|date=<!--12:55 PM - -->17 February 2018|website=@sob999|accessdate=17 February 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Report.pdf|title=B&A Poll Feb 2018|last=|first=|date=|website=|access-date=}}</ref> |
|||
| 926 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''36''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|<ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|25 January 2018 |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC18" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/fine-gael-support-surges-latest-opinion-poll-407610|title=Fine Gael support surges in latest opinion poll {{!}} BusinessPost.ie|last=Brennan|first=Michael|work=www.businesspost.ie|access-date=27 January 2018}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2018/01/SBP-Jan-2018-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=Red C Jan 2018 Poll}}</ref> |
|||
|1,003 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" |'''32''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|15 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|23 January 2018 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos06" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/varadkar-s-approval-jumps-to-60-as-voters-show-their-satisfaction-1.3367548?mode=amp|title=Varadkar’s approval jumps to 60% as voters show their satisfaction|website=www.irishtimes.com|language=en|access-date=25 January 2018}}</ref> <ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal January 2018">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll/poll-january-25th-2018 |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=23 January 2018 |accessdate=11 April 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''34''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|11 |
|||
|- |
|||
|16 January 2018 |
|||
|data-sort-value="B&A20" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2018/0120/934784-poll-sunday-times/|title=Dip in support for Fine Gael, opinion poll suggests|date=20 January 2018|work=RTE.ie|access-date=20 January 2018|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/SundayTimes-Jan-2018-Report.pdf|title=B&A January 2018 Poll}}</ref> |
|||
|920 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''32''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|18 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|24 December 2017 |
|||
|data-sort-value="B&A19" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite news|url=https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/poll-boost-helps-fine-gael-end-year-on-a-high-h0zndhwqg|title=Poll boost helps Fine Gael end year on a high|last=McCarthy|first=Justine|date=24 December 2017|work=The Sunday Times|access-date=2 January 2018|issn=0956-1382}}</ref> |
|||
|913 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''34''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|17 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|4 |
|||
|8 |
|||
|- |
|||
|22 December 2017 |
|||
|Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irelandthinks.ie/single-post/2018/01/01/Stateoftheparties|title=irelandthinks|website=irelandthinks|language=en|access-date=1 January 2018}}</ref> |
|||
|1,144 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''33''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|<ref name="iapoll" group="nb" /> |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|7 December 2017 |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos05" | Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times <ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/fine-gael-support-surges-on-back-of-brexit-row-1.3318116|title=Fine Gael support surges on back of Brexit row|first=Pat|last=Leahy|website=The Irish Times}}</ref><ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll|title=Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI Poll|website=The Irish Times}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''36''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|<ref name="mb02poll2" group="nb" /> |
|||
|1 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
|{{dts|format=dmy|2017|11|23}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC17" | Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{Cite journal|url=https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2017/1125/922813-poll-business-post/|title=Opinion poll suggests drop in support for Fine Gael|date=25 November 2017|via=www.rte.ie}}</ref> <ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/SBP-November-2017-Poll-Report-GE16-1.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll November 17|last=Colwell|first=Richard|date=27 November 2017|accessdate=30 November 2017}}</ref> |
|||
|1,004 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''27''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|-- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|11|7}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A18" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Nov-2017-Report.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - November 2017|date=12 November 2017| last=McShane |first=Ian|accessdate=30 November 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 919 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''34''' |
|||
| 31 |
|||
| 14 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
|- |
|||
|{{dts|format=dmy|2017|10|20}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC16" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/SBP-October-2017-Poll-Report-GE16-1.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll October 17|last=Colwell|first=Richard|date=27 October 2017|accessdate=30 November 2017}}</ref> |
|||
|1,004 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''29''' |
|||
|25 |
|||
|14 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|10 October 2017 |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A17" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-BA-Report-Oct-2017.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - October 2017|last=McShane|first=Ian|date=10 October 2017}}</ref> |
|||
|915 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4" | '''31''' |
|||
|27 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|12 |
|||
|- |
|||
|{{dts|format=dmy|2017|10|2|}} |
|||
|data-sort-value="Ipsos05" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-almost-half-voters-happy-with-varadkar-1.3244652|title=‘Irish Times’ poll: Almost half voters happy with Varadkar|first=Pat|last=Leahy|website=The Irish Times}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal December 2017">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=8 December 2016 |accessdate=8 December 2016}}</ref> |
|||
|1,200 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4"|'''31''' |
|||
|29 |
|||
|19 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|3 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
|{{dts|format=dmy|2017|09|22|}} |
|||
|data-sort-value="RedC15" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/more-politics/fg-up-three-points-in-early-poll-boost-7065b8ed|title=FG up three points in early poll boost|website=Business Post}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/SBP-September-2017-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll September 17|last=Colwell|first=Richard|date=26 September 2017|accessdate=26 September 2017}}</ref> |
|||
|1,004 |
|||
|style="background:#D9E9F4"|'''30''' |
|||
|26 |
|||
|16 |
|||
|5 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|4 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|09|12}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A16" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{cite web |url=http://www.thejournal.ie/opinion-poll-fine-gael-sunday-times-ba-3601980-Sep2017/|title=Fine Gael is riding high in the latest opinion poll|accessdate=18 September 2017}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-September-Report-2017.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - September 2017|date=17 September 2017| last=McShane |first=Ian|accessdate=18 September 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 937 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''33''' |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| 19 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|07|21}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB04" |Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref group="p" name="Poll20170723">{{cite web |url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2017/0722/892275-opinion-poll-sindo/|website=RTÉ |date=23 July 2017 |accessdate=23 July 2017 |title='Support for Fine Gael rises, opinion poll suggests'}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Poll 20170723 Full Data">{{cite web |url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/fine-gael-rise-in-popularity-not-all-down-to-leo-bounce-july-2017-opinion-poll.pdf?sfvrsn=2|publisher=Sunday Independent/Millward Brown |date=23 July 2017 |accessdate=3 August 2017|title=National Opinion Poll:July 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 956 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''30''' |
|||
| 29 |
|||
| 20 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2">Renua is not mentioned.</ref> |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|07|11}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A15" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{cite web |url=http://www.thejournal.ie/opinion-poll-6-3498684-Jul2017/|title=Micheál Martin is well ahead of Leo Varadkar in the satisfaction ratings|date=16 July 2017|accessdate=17 July 2017}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-July-2017-Report.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - July 2017|date=16 June 2017| last=McShane |first=Ian|accessdate=17 July 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 923 |
|||
| 29 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''30''' |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|07|05|}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC14" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/more-politics/red-c-poll-leo-fails-to-get-leadership-bounce-c0868d3a|title=Red C Poll: Leo fails to get leadership bounce|website=Business Post}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/SBP-July-2017-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - July 17|last=Colwell|first=Richard|date=9 July 2017|accessdate=11 July 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''27''' |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|06|10}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A14" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{cite web |url=https://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2017/0610/881724-poll/|title=Increase in support for Fine Gael, opinion poll suggests|date=10 June 2017|accessdate=5 July 2017}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Report-Jun-2017.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - June 2017|date=10 June 2017| last=McShane |first=Ian|accessdate=5 July 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''29''' |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''29''' |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|05|25}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC13" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{cite web |url=https://www.rte.ie/news/ireland/2017/0527/878366-opinion-poll-sbp/|title=Increase in support for Fine Gael, opinion poll suggests|date=27 May 2017|accessdate=5 July 2017}}</ref><ref group="p">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/SBP-May-2017-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=General Election Opinion Poll - May 17|date=28 May 2017|accessdate=5 July 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''29''' |
|||
| 21 |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 15 |
|||
|- |
|||
| |{{dts|format=dmy|2017|05|13}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A13" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{cite web |url=http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/fine-gael-remains-irelands-most-popular-party-789600.html |title=Fine Gael remains Ireland’s most popular party |url-status=live |accessdate=29 May 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 945 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''28''' |
|||
| 27 |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 14 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|04|28}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC12" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.newstalk.com/news/fianna-fail-extends-lead-over-fine-gael-in-latest-poll-538386|title=Fianna Fáil extends lead over Fine Gael in latest poll|website=Newstalk}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''28''' |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|04|11}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A12" |Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p">{{Cite web|url=https://www.newstalk.com/news/fine-gael-lead-fianna-fail-in-latest-opinion-poll-540479|title=Fine Gael back on top in new opinion poll|website=Newstalk}}</ref> |
|||
<!--<ref group="p" name=""></ref>--><!-- <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20170327"> not initially available on Red C website, check for PDF during next week {{cite web |url= |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=}}</ref> --> |
|||
| 937 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''29''' |
|||
| 28 |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|03|24}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC11" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="FullPollData20170327">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/SBP-March-2017-Poll-Report-GE16-1.pdf |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=Polling Trends Suggest General Election Unlikely}}</ref><!-- <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20170327"> not initially available on Red C website, check for PDF during next week {{cite web |url= |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=}}</ref> --> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''26''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 13 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|03|08}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A11" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20170308">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-March-Report-2017.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes March 2017 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=12 March 2017 |accessdate=13 March 2017}}</ref> |
|||
|934 |
|||
|22 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''28''' |
|||
|23 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|1 |
|||
|2 |
|||
|0 |
|||
|6 |
|||
|9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|02|28}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="Ipsos04" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref group="p" name="Poll201702">{{cite news |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-fine-gael-and-fianna-f%C3%A1il-almost-level-1.2994336|newspaper=The Irish Times |last=Leahy |first=Pat|date=2 March 2017 |accessdate=30 November 2017 |title=Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil almost level}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal March 2017">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll/poll-march-4th-2017 |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=4 March 2017 |accessdate=30 November 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,200 |
|||
| 28 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''29''' |
|||
| 21 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="ripoll">Renua is featured in Others.</ref> |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|02|23}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC10" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20170225">{{cite web|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/support-sf-surges-new-high-red-c-poll-380485|title=Support for SF surges to new high - Red C poll|last=Brennan|first=Michael|date=25 February 2017|website=|publisher="The Sunday Business Post"|accessdate=5 March 2017}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20170225">{{cite web |url=http://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/SBP-February-2017-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date=25 February 2017|accessdate=5 March 2017|title=Is Fine Gael Leadership Battle All Over or All to Play For?}}</ref><!-- <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20171122"> not initially available on Red C website, check for PDF during next week {{cite web |url= |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=}}</ref> --> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''26''' |
|||
| 19 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|02|16}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB03" |Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref group="p" name="Poll20170119">{{cite web |url=http://www.independent.ie/opinion/comment/after-the-ugliest-week-in-years-ff-reemerges-as-poster-boy-35462997.html|publisher=Sunday Independent |date=19 February 2017 |accessdate=24 February 2017 |title=After the ugliest week in years, FF re-emerges as poster boy'}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Poll 20170219 Full Data">{{cite web |url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/after_the_ugliest_week_in_years_ff_re-emerges_as_poster_boy-sunday_independent_february-2017.pdf?sfvrsn=2|publisher=Sunday Independent/Millward Brown |date=19 February 2017 |accessdate=24 February 2017|title=National Opinion Poll: February 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 960 |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''33''' |
|||
| 20 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2"/> |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|02|08}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A10" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20170208">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Feb-2017-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes February 2017 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=12 February 2017 |accessdate=13 February 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 955 |
|||
| 21 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''32''' |
|||
| 19 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|01|26}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC09" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20170128">{{cite web|url=https://www.businesspost.ie/news/red-c-poll-ff-big-winner-government-support-drops-377154|title=FF big winner as government support drops|last=Brennan|first=Michael|date=28 January 2017|website=|publisher="The Sunday Business Post"|accessdate=28 January 2017}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20170127">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/SBP-January-2017-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date=26 January 2017|accessdate=7 February 2017|title=Government Under Pressure as Fianna Fail Make Gains}}</ref><!-- <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20171122"> not initially available on Red C website, check for PDF during next week {{cite web |url= |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=}}</ref> --> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''27''' |
|||
| 14 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 14 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2017|01|21}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A09" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20170122">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Jan-2017-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes January 2017 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=21 January 2017 |accessdate=22 January 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 921 |
|||
| 23 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''29''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 15 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|12|13}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A08" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20161218">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.7806-Sunday-Times-Nov-2016-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes December 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=18 December 2016 |accessdate=18 December 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 924 |
|||
| 26 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''28''' |
|||
| 19 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|12|06}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="Ipsos03" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref group="p" name="Poll20161208">{{cite news |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-fianna-f%C3%A1il-pulls-ahead-of-fine-gael-to-become-most-popular-party-1.2897198|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=8 December 2016 |accessdate=8 December 2016 |title=Fianna Fáil pulls ahead of Fine Gael to become most popular party}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal December 2016">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll/poll-8th-december-2016 |newspaper=The Irish Times |date=6 December 2016 |accessdate=30 November 2017}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,200 |
|||
| 27 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''30''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="ripoll"/> |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|11|25}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC08" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20161125">{{cite web|url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/SBP-November-2016-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=The Difficult Balancing Act for Fianna Fáil – Nov 16 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|publisher="RED C"|accessdate=29 November 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="PollPub20161127">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/SBP-November-2016-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf|title=The Difficult Balancing Act for Fianna Fáil – Nov 16 Poll|last=|first=|date=|website=|publisher="RED C"|accessdate=29 November 2016}}</ref><!-- <ref group="p" name="FullPollData20161127"> not yet available on Red C website, check during week {{cite web |url= |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date= |accessdate= |title=}}</ref> --> |
|||
| 1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''25''' |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| 16 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|11|09}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A07" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20161113">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.7806-Sunday-Times-Nov-2016-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes November 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=13 November 2016 |accessdate=14 November 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 924 |
|||
| 28 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''30''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|10|27}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC07" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20161030">{{cite web |url=https://www.businesspost.ie/politics/red-c-poll-aaa-pbp-surges-record-high-368725 |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=30 October 2016 |accessdate=29 October 2016 |title=AAA-PBP surges to record high }}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20161030">{{cite web |url=http://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/SBP-30th-Oct-2016-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date=23 October 2016|accessdate=11 November 2016 |title=Are AAA-PBP gains more than just a one off?}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,002 |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''26''' |
|||
| 13 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|10|20}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB02" |Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref group="p" name="Poll20161023">{{cite web |url=http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/exclusive-poll-fine-gael-sees-slip-in-support-despite-giveaway-budget-35153309.html|publisher=Sunday Independent |date=23 October 2016 |accessdate=23 October 2016 |title=Exclusive poll: Fine Gael sees slip in support despite 'giveaway Budget'}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Poll 20161023 Full Data">{{cite web |url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/coalition_could_have_used_budget_to_stamp_identity_on_voters-_but_it_failed_oct-2016.pdf|publisher=Sunday Independent/Millward Brown |date=23 October 2016 |accessdate=11 November 2016|title=National Opinion Poll: October 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 942 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''29''' |
|||
| 27 |
|||
| 20 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="mb02poll2"/> |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|10|12}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A06" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20161012">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.7792-Sunday-Times-October-2016-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes October 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=12 October 2016 |accessdate=29 October 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 917 |
|||
| 26 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''30''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|10|04}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="Ipsos02" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref group="p" name="Poll20161006">{{cite news |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-poll-fianna-f%C3%A1il-level-with-fine-gael-after-seven-point-drop-in-support-1.2818251|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=6 October 2016 |accessdate=6 October 2016 |title=Fianna Fáil level with Fine Gael after Seven Point drop in support}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal October 2016">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll/poll-october-5th|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=6 October 2016 |accessdate=6 October 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,200 |
|||
| '''26''' |
|||
| '''26''' |
|||
| 19 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="ripoll"/> |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="iapoll">The poll makes no distinction between different groupings of Independents, the [[Independent Alliance (Ireland)|Independent Alliance]] is included in the figure for Others.</ref> |
|||
| 15 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|09|22}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC06" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20160922">{{cite web |url=http://www.businesspost.ie/red-c-poll-ff-sees-support-slip-for-first-time-since-election/ |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=25 September 2016 |accessdate=25 September 2016 |title=FF sees support slip for first time since election }}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20160925">{{cite web |url=http://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/SBP-25th-Sept-2016-Poll-Report-GE16..pdf |publisher=Red C/The Sunday Business Post |date=25 September 2016|accessdate=25 September 2016 |title=No Momentum for Change Helps Govt. Survival Propects}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,002 |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''27''' |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|09|14}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A05" | Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20160918">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.7678-Sunday-Times-September-Report-2016.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes September 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=18 September 2016 |accessdate=18 September 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 911 |
|||
| 23 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''28''' |
|||
| 18 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|07|27}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC05" |Red C/Paddy Power<ref group="p" name="Poll20160729">{{cite news |url=http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/four-out-of-10-people-believe-taoiseach-should-quit-now-new-red-c-poll-34922360.html |title=Four out of 10 people believe Taoiseach should 'quit now' - new Red C poll |newspaper=Irish Independent |date=29 July 2016 |accessdate=30 July 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20160729">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Paddy-Power-29th-July-2016-Poll-Report.pdf |publisher=Paddy Power |date=29 July 2016 |accessdate=30 July 2016 |title=Fianna Fáil Most Popular Party}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,000 |
|||
| 27 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''28''' |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|07|13}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC04" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20160717">{{cite web |url=http://www.businesspost.ie/breaking-surge-in-ff-support-ratchets-up-pressure-on-kenny/ |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=17 July 2016 |accessdate=17 July 2016 |title=Surge in FF support ratchets up pressure on Kenny }}</ref><ref group="p" name="Poll20160717Data">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/SBP-17th-July-2016-Poll-Report-GE161.pdf |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=17 July 2016 |accessdate=30 July 2016 |title=General Election Opinion Poll}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| 26 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''29''' |
|||
| 13 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|07|13}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A04" | Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20160717">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J.7619-Sunday-Times-Report-July-2016.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes July 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=19 July 2016 |accessdate=19 July 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 909 |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''30''' |
|||
| 14 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|07|07}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="Ipsos01" |Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times<ref group="p" name="Poll20160707">{{cite news |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/massive-surge-in-support-for-fianna-f%C3%A1il-poll-shows-1.2712814|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=7 July 2016 |accessdate=7 July 2016 |title=Massive surge in support for Fianna Fáil, poll shows}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Irish Times Poll Portal">{{cite news |title=Irish Times Poll Portal |url=http://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/poll|newspaper=The Irish Times |date=6 October 2016 |accessdate=6 October 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,200 |
|||
| 24 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''33''' |
|||
| 16 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="ripoll"/> |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|06|29}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="MB01" |Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent<ref group="p" name="Poll20160629">{{cite web |url=http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/politics/poll-excluisve-public-confidence-in-independents-crashes-34851933.html|publisher=Sunday Independent |date=3 July 2016 |accessdate=4 July 2016 |title=Poll exclusive: Public confidence in Independents crashes}}</ref><ref group="p" name="Poll 20160629 Full Data">{{cite web|url=http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/fall_in_support_for_independent_while_main_parties_benefit_june_2016.pdf |publisher=Sunday Independent/Millward Brown |date=3 July 2016 |accessdate=29 May 2017 |title=National Opinion Poll: June 2016 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160711132945/http://www.millwardbrown.com/docs/default-source/ireland-downloads/opinion-polls/fall_in_support_for_independent_while_main_parties_benefit_june_2016.pdf |archivedate=11 July 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,000 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''30''' |
|||
| 26 |
|||
| 20 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="ripoll"/> |
|||
| <ref group="nb" name="iapoll"/> |
|||
| 8 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|06|15}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A03" | Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="banda20160615">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/Sunday-Times-Report-June-2016.pdf |title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes June 2016 Opinion Poll |last=McShane |first=Ian |date=15 June 2016 |accessdate=16 October 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 913 |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''26''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|05|26}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC03" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20160529">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/SBP-29th-May-2016-Poll-Report-GE16-1.pdf |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=29 May 2016 |accessdate=1 June 2016 |title=General Election Opinion Poll}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,004 |
|||
| '''26''' |
|||
| '''26''' |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 11 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|05|11}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A02" | Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="Poll20160515">{{cite news |url=http://www.thejournal.ie/political-poll-2770200-May2016/ |title=Fianna Fáil has overtaken Fine Gael in popularity |publisher=The Journal |date=14 May 2016 |accessdate=15 May 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="banda20160515">{{cite web |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J-7504-Sunday-Times-May-2016-Report.pdf | title=Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes May 2016 Opinion Poll | last=McShane |first=Ian |date=May 2016 |accessdate=15 May 2016}}</ref> |
|||
| 898 |
|||
| 26 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''27''' |
|||
| 16 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 0 |
|||
| 7 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|05|11}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC02" |Red C/Paddy Power<ref group="p" name="Poll20160513">{{cite news |url=http://www.independent.ie/irish-news/paddy-power-red-c-poll-voters-want-varadkar-to-replace-kenny-34711653.html |title=Paddy Power Red C poll: Voters want Varadkar to replace Kenny |newspaper=Irish Independent |date=13 May 2016 |accessdate=14 May 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20160513">{{cite web |url=http://www.redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Paddy-Power-13th-May-2016-Poll-Report-1.pdf |publisher=Paddy Power |date=13 May 2016 |accessdate=15 May 2016 |title=General Election Opinion Poll}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,015 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''27''' |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| 16 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 6 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 10 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|04|13}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="B&A01" |Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times<ref group="p" name="Poll20160416">{{cite news |url=http://www.rte.ie/news/2016/0416/782316-opinion-poll-times/ |title=Fianna Fáil overtakes Fine Gael in latest opinion poll |newspaper=The Sunday Times |date=16 April 2016 |accessdate=16 April 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20160416">{{cite news |url=http://banda.ie/wp-content/uploads/J-7429-Sunday-Times-April-2016-Report.pdf |newspaper=The Sunday Times |date=16 April 2016 |accessdate=15 May 2016 |title=General Election Opinion Poll}}</ref> |
|||
| 926 |
|||
| 23 |
|||
| style="background:#D3F2D0"| '''26''' |
|||
| 17 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 1 |
|||
| 8 |
|||
| 12 |
|||
|- |
|||
| | {{dts|format=dmy|2016|03|10}} |
|||
| data-sort-value="RedC01" |Red C/The Sunday Business Post<ref group="p" name="Poll20160312">{{cite news |url=http://www.businesspost.ie/another-general-election-would-produce-no-major-gains-for-ff-or-fg/ |title=Another general election would produce no major gains for FF or FG |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=12 March 2016 |accessdate=12 March 2016}}</ref><ref group="p" name="FullPollData20160312">{{cite web |url=http://redcresearch.ie/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/SBP-13th-March-2016-Poll-Report-GE16.pdf |publisher=The Sunday Business Post |date=12 March 2016 |accessdate=15 March 2016 |title=General Election Opinion Poll}}</ref> |
|||
| 1,006 |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''27''' |
|||
| 25 |
|||
| 15 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 4 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 3 |
|||
| 2 |
|||
| 5 |
|||
| 9 |
|||
|- style="background:#EFEFEF;" class=sortbottom |
|||
| | ''{{dts|format=dmy|2016|02|26}}'' |
|||
| data-sort-value="GeneralElection" | ''[[2016 Irish general election|General election]]'' |
|||
| |
|||
| style="background:#D9E9F4"| '''''25.5''''' |
|||
| ''24.3'' |
|||
| ''13.8'' |
|||
| ''6.6'' |
|||
| ''3.9'' |
|||
| ''3.0'' |
|||
| ''2.7'' |
|||
| ''2.2'' |
|||
| ''4.2'' |
|||
| ''13.7''<ref group="nb" name="i4cpoll00">This figure includes 1.5% for [[Independents 4 Change]].</ref> |
|||
|} |
|||
As methodologies and results differ, even where opinion polls are taken over the same dates, the results of the two most prolific polling companies have been graphed separately hereunder:<br> |
As methodologies and results differ, even where opinion polls are taken over the same dates, the results of the two most prolific polling companies have been graphed separately hereunder:<br> |
||
[[File:Red C Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018.png|Red C Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018]] |
[[File:Red C Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018.png|Red C Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018]] |
||
[[File:B&A Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018.png|B&A Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018]] |
[[File:B&A Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018.png|B&A Opinion Polling, Ireland, 2016 - 2018]] |
||
===Preferred Taoiseach=== |
|||
{|class="wikitable sortable collapsible" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;" |
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|- |
|||
! style="width:80px;" rowspan="2"|Date(s)<br />conducted |
|||
! style="width:200px;" rowspan="2"|Polling organisation/client |
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! style="width:60px;" rowspan="2"|Sample size |
|||
! style="width:60px;" class="unsortable"| [[Leo Varadkar]] |
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! style="width:60px;" class="unsortable"| [[Micheál Martin]] |
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! class="unsortable" style="width:20px;" rowspan="2"|Lead |
|||
|- |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="background:{{Fine Gael/meta/color}}; width:60px;"| |
|||
! class="unsortable" style="background:{{Fianna Fáil/meta/color}}; width:60px;"| |
|||
|- |
|||
|17 January 2020||[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/577fbd3846c3c4593822b548/t/5e24ae9b6810047965de7e77/1579462301537/S20021+PR360+Polling+research.pdf Amárach Research] |
|||
|1,000||45%||style="background:#D3F2D0"|'''55%'''||style="background:{{Fianna Fáil/meta/color}}; color:white;"|10% |
|||
|- |
|||
|} |
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==Footnotes== |
==Footnotes== |
Revision as of 12:26, 23 January 2020
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The 2020 Irish general election will be held on Saturday, 8 February 2020. The election was called following the dissolution of the 32nd Dáil by the President, at the request of the Taoiseach Leo Varadkar on 14 January 2020. 159 of 160 Dáil Éireann seats will be contested, with the outgoing Ceann Comhairle being re-elected automatically.
Background
Since May 2016, Fine Gael has been in a minority government with the support of Independent TDs, including the Independent Alliance. It has relied on a confidence and supply agreement with Fianna Fáil.
On 3 December 2019, a motion of no confidence in the Minister for Housing, Planning and Local Government Eoghan Murphy proposed by Catherine Murphy for the Social Democrats was defeated, with 53 votes in favour to 56 votes against and 35 registered abstentions.[1] In January 2020, Independent TD Michael Collins placed a motion of no confidence in the Minister for Health Simon Harris.[2] On 14 January, Taoiseach Leo Varadkar sought a dissolution of the Dáil which was granted by the president.[3] The election was set for Saturday, 8 February.[4]
Electoral system
The 160 members of the Dáil will be elected in 39 multi-member constituencies, each with between three and five seats, using the single transferable vote system in which voters rank candidates on their ballot papers. When the ballot papers are counted, an electoral quota is created by dividing the number of valid votes by the number of seats, plus one.
Any candidate equalling or receiving a number of votes exceeding the quota, after a count, is declared elected at that point.
If fewer candidates reach the quota than the number of seats to be filled, the last-placed candidate is removed (eliminated) from the next count and the second or subsequent preferences on those ballot papers are redistributed until a candidate is elected. If such a candidate now has more votes than the quota, their surplus is given to other candidates in order of ranking on the ballot papers.
This is repeated until sufficient candidates have passed the quota to fill the available seats[5] or where a seat remains to be filled in a constituency and no candidate is capable of achieving a quota as there is nobody left to eliminate for a distribution then the highest place candidate without a quota is deemed elected at that point.[6]
Constituency boundary changes
A Constituency Commission was convened in July 2016 under the provisions of the Electoral Act 1997,[7] with Judge Robert Haughton as chair, to redraw constituency boundaries after publication of initial population data from the 2016 census.[8]
The Commission has some discretion but is constitutionally bound to allow no more than a ratio of 30,000 people per elected member, and is by convention constrained not to breach traditional county boundaries save in rare cases, even if this leads to slight over-representation. The Commission report was released on 27 June 2017. It recommended an increase in the number of TDs from 158 to 160.[9][10] and it further recommended that these members are to be grouped into 39 Constituencies.
The Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2017, implementing these recommended changes was enacted in December 2017, just before Christmas.[11][12] The election of the 33rd Dáil will therefore be held using the new boundaries, for 160 seats. As the outgoing Ceann Comhairle, Seán Ó Fearghaíl, did not announce that he did not wish to be a member of the 33rd Dáil, he will be returned automatically, and only 159 of the 160 seats will be up for election.
Seats at the dissolution of the Dáil
This is the state of the parties when the 32nd Dáil was dissolved on the 14 January 2020.
Party and alliance forming the 31st government.
Party supporting the 31st government by Confidence and supply agreement
Party | Leader | Seats at dissolution of Dáil | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Teachtaí Dála | Senators | |||
Fine Gael | Leo Varadkar | 47 | 20 | |
Fianna Fáil | Micheál Martin | 45 | 13 | |
Sinn Féin | Mary Lou McDonald | 22 | 6 | |
style="background:Template:Labour Party (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | Labour Party | Brendan Howlin | 7 | 4 |
Solidarity–PBP | Collective leadership | 6 | 0 | |
Green | Eamon Ryan | 3 | 1 | |
Independent Alliance | N/A | 4 | 0 | |
Social Democrats | Catherine Murphy Róisín Shortall |
2 | 0 | |
Inds. 4 Change | Collective leadership | 1 | 0 | |
Aontú | Peadar Tóibín | 1 | 0 | |
Independent politicians in Ireland | N/A | 18 | 14 | |
Ceann Comhairle | N/A | 1 | 0 | |
style="background-color: Template:Vacant/meta/color" | | Vacant | N/A | 1 | 0 |
Total | 158 | 60 |
Retiring incumbents
The following members of the 32nd Dáil are not be seeking re-election.
Campaign
The campaign officially began after the dissolution of Dáil Éireann on 14 January 2020 and will last until polling day on 8 February 2020. It will be held just over a week after the United Kingdom (which includes Northern Ireland) has formally withdrawn from the European Union. The election will take place on a Saturday for the first time since the 1918 election.[31] Leo Varadkar said that the change of day was to prevent school closures (many schools in Ireland are used as polling stations) and to make it easy for third-level students and those working away from home to vote.[32]
Party manifestos and slogans
Party/group | Manifesto (external link) | 2020 Campaign Slogan(s) |
---|---|---|
Fine Gael | "A future to look forward to"[33] | |
Fianna Fáil | "An Ireland for all" (Éire do chách)[33] | |
Sinn Féin | ||
Labour Party | "Building an equal society" | |
People Before Profit[n 5] | https://eco.pbp.ie/ | "Planet Before Profit" |
RISE [n 5] | ||
Solidarity [n 5] | ||
Social Democrats | "Hope for better. Vote for better." | |
Green Party | "Want Green, Vote Green"[34] | |
Aontú | "The political system is broken. Let's fix It." |
Candidates' debates
2019 Irish General Election Debates | |||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present A Absent invitee N Non-inviteee | ||||||||||||||||||
FG Varadkar |
FF Martin |
SF McDonald |
L Howlin |
S-PBP - |
G Ryan |
SD Murphy & Shortall |
A Tóibín |
R - |
Refs | ||||||||||||
style="background:Template:Fine Gael/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Fianna Fáil/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Sinn Féin/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Labour Party (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Solidarity-People Before Profit/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Green Party (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Social Democrats (Ireland)/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Aontú/meta/color;"| | style="background:Template:Renua/meta/color;"| | |||||||||||||
22 Jan | VM1 | Pat Kenny | P | P | N | N | N | N | N | N | N | [35] | |||||||||
27 Jan | RTÉ 1 | Claire Byrne | P | P | P | P | P | P | P | N | N | ||||||||||
4 Feb | RTÉ 1 | tbc | P | P | N | N | N | N | N | N | N |
The first leaders debate took place on Virgin Media 1, on 22 January, but was restricted to Leo Varadkar and Micheál Martin.[36] A leaders debate featuring seven party leaders/representatives will take place on RTÉ 1, on Monday 27 January. Another debate is scheduled for 4 February, again on RTÉ 1, and again featuring only Varadkar and Martin. Mary-Lou McDonald, leader of Sinn Féin, has objected to her exclusion, and Sinn Féin have threatened legal action if they are excluded from this debate.[37]
Opinion polls
As methodologies and results differ, even where opinion polls are taken over the same dates, the results of the two most prolific polling companies have been graphed separately hereunder:
Footnotes
- ^ The outgoing Ceann Comhairle will be returned automatically.
- ^ The Constituency Commission's recommendations were enacted in December 2017, increasing the size of the next Dáil to 160 seats.
- ^ The 48 seats for Fine Gael includes the outgoing Ceann Comhairle Seán Barrett, elected in 2011 for Fine Gael, who was returned automatically.
- ^ Seán Ó Fearghaíl was elected as Ceann Comhairle, and is no longer counted as a Fianna Fáil TD.
- ^ a b c People Before Profit, Solidarity and RISE are contesting this election as Solidarity–People Before Profit, but will issue Manifestos in their own right.
Opinion poll sources
References
- ^ "Confidence in the Minister for Housing, Planning and Local Government: Motion (Resumed) [Private Members] – Votes – Dáil Éireann (32nd Dáil) – 3 December 2019". Houses of the Oireachtas. Retrieved 22 December 2019.
- ^ "TD calling for no-confidence vote in Simon Harris". RTÉ News. 9 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
- ^ "President signs warrant for the dissolution of the 32nd Dáil". President of Ireland. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
- ^ "Minister Murphy makes an order appointing Saturday 8 February as the General election polling day". Department of Housing, Planning and Local Government. 14 January 2020. Retrieved 22 January 2020.
- ^ "Dáil Éireann (House of Representatives)". Inter-Parliamentary Union. Retrieved 24 March 2019.
- ^ "Electoral Act 1992 [Part XIX]". Irish Statute Book. 5 November 1992. Retrieved 15 January 2020.
- ^ "Constituency Commission Established 14 July 2016". Retrieved 17 July 2016.
- ^ "Constituency Commission". www.constituency-commission.ie.
- ^ "Introduction and summary of recommendations" (PDF). Constituency Commission 2011. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
- ^ "Dáil constituencies where no change is recommended" (PDF). Constituency Commission 2011. Retrieved 12 March 2016.
- ^ "Electoral (Amendment) (Dáil Constituencies) Act 2017". Irish Statute Book. 23 December 2017. Retrieved 13 January 2020.
- ^ "The January polls and the Impact of the Constituency Commission 2017 report changes: Constituency-level analysis of the Irish Times-Ipsos MRBI (24th January 2018) and Sunday Times- Behaviour & Attitudes (21st January 2018) opinion polls". Irish Elections: Geography, Facts and Analyses. 26 January 2018. Retrieved 27 January 2017.
- ^ McMorrow, Conor (7 March 2018). "Sinn Féin's Ó Caoláin will not contest next election". RTÉ News. Retrieved 9 March 2018.
- ^ O'Regan, Eilish (13 January 2020). "Dr Michael Harty will not seek re-election as TD". Irish Independent. Retrieved 13 January 2020.
- ^ "Sinn Féin's O'Brien will not contest next general election". RTÉ News. 6 January 2020.
- ^ "Fine Gael's Jim Daly will not contest next general election". RTÉ News. 20 September 2019.
- ^ "Independent TD Tommy Broughan announces retirement from Dáil". The Irish Times. 22 January 2020.
- ^ "Finian McGrath confirms he won't stand in February election". Irish Examiner. 14 January 2020.
- ^ "Maureen O'Sullivan announces she will not run for re-election in Dublin Central". The Irish Times. 16 January 2020.
- ^ "Labour TD Brendan Ryan will not contest general election". RTÉ News. 8 January 2020.
- ^ "Maria Bailey is not seeking re-election to the Dáil". RTÉ News. 22 January 2020.
- ^ "Leo Varadkar's tenure as Taoiseach may soon be over". Irish Examiner. 6 December 2019.
- ^ "Martin Ferris says he will stand down as TD". The Irish Times. Retrieved 19 November 2017.
{{cite news}}
: Cite has empty unknown parameter:|ldate=
(help) - ^ "Michael Noonan to step down as Finance Minister - and won't run again for Dáil". Irish Independent. Retrieved 19 November 2017.
- ^ Mullooly, Ciaran (5 July 2018). "Penrose says he will not contest next general election". RTÉ News. Retrieved 5 July 2018.
- ^ "Adams says he will step down as Sinn Féin President". RTÉ News. 18 November 2017. Retrieved 19 November 2017.
- ^ "Fine Gael in Castlebar begin search for new candidate after Enda Kenny announcement". The Connacht Telegraph. 6 November 2017. Retrieved 28 November 2017.
- ^ "Sligo Leitrim Fine Gael TD wont contest next general election". Shannon Side. Retrieved 28 June 2018.
- ^ "FG's John Deasy will not seek re-election due to health concerns". The Irish Times. 28 November 2017. Retrieved 28 November 2017.
- ^ "John Halligan retires after 30 years in politics". The Irish Times. 15 January 2020. Retrieved 15 January 2020.
- ^ "Election 2020: Saturday voting not a solution for low voter turnout". The Irish Times. 20 January 2020.
The cases of Ireland's very limited experience with Saturday voting to date, which includes the second Nice Referendum in 2002, the Children's Referendum in 2012 and a Tipperary South by-election in 2001, did not enhance voter turnout.
- ^ "Taoiseach explains thinking behind Saturday election". BreakingNews.ie. 14 January 2020.
- ^ a b "It's game on as campaigning begins in Election 2020". RTÉ. Retrieved 14 January 2020.
- ^ @greenparty_ie (16 January 2020). "#WantGreenVoteGreen" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- ^ "Varadkar Opens Door To Grand Coalition". Irish Examiner. Retrieved 23 January 2020.
- ^ "Personal drug use and a potential grand coalition: The key moments from the first head-to-head TV debate". The Journal. 22 January 2020. Retrieved 23 January 2020.
- ^ O'Connell, Hugh (22 January 2020). "Sinn Féin issues legal letter to RTÉ over debate exclusion". Irish Independent. Retrieved 23 January 2020.